Examiner's comment
The diagram in the mark scheme is for illustrative purposes and other valid models were allowed. Candidates could refer to profit rather than revenue or have the top right box blank as long as the pay-off matrix worked. Likewise, some candidates had price decrease first and then price increase, with the starting position bottom right. In addition, some candidates referred to collude or not collude. A common response was awarded 3 marks. However, marks were typically awarded as follows: Often where they colluded there was a higher figure than if they engaged in a price war so securing one mark. They then indicated one firm cheated and gained financially and as a consequence the other firm lost out, so securing a second mark and potentially a third if they had a similar situation if the other firm moved first. The key jump to 4 marks was what if the second firm retaliated and where it went wrong was when they failed to show the second firm countering in their financial interest. If they ended up financially worse off then there was not a logic as the movement for the second firm was not rational. The matrix had to work for the response to be awarded the full 4 marks. Application-wise, the pay-off matrix working was key rather than use of the $361 million. This response was awarded 1 mark for correctly analysing that by colluding and setting higher prices, Tyson and Pilgrim would gain financially more than if they were to engage in a price war. A second mark was awarded for stating that Tyson, being a first mover and undercutting Pilgrim's price, resulted in them making a financial gain of £12m and Pilgrim losing out (£5m). There is similar analysis for Pilgrim being a first mover thus securing a third mark. For the fourth mark there is a logic to Pilgrim retaliating and following Tyson's price cut, as they are now achieving £7m which is more than £5m. This response is awarded the full 4 marks. Practice pay-off matrix diagrams and ensure there is a clear logic in the numbers as to what firms are doing and why this is rational behaviour. This response is awarded the full 4 marks. This response was awarded 1 mark for analysing that by colluding and setting higher prices, Tyson and Pilgrim would gain financially more than if they were to engage in a price war. A second mark was awarded for estimating that Pilgrim, being a first mover and under-cutting Tyson's price, would result in making a financial gain of $400m and Pilgrim losing out ($100m). There is similar analysis for Tyson being a first mover thus securing a third mark. The fourth mark was not awarded as there was not a logic to Tyson retaliating and following Pilgrim's price cut. They now achieved $50m which is less than the $100m. Tyson and Pilgrim are now financially worse off so there is no logic to this analysis. This response was awarded 3 marks. Double check your two firm/two outcome game theory model to ensure it makes sense.
![Examiner's report extract for June 2022 Paper 1 question 4(a)]()
Notes from the mark scheme and report
- pay-off matrix: both high price gives $361m each, more than both low price (e.g. $300m)
- the cheat who cuts price first gains more and the other less, so collusion beats a price war
- report: the 4th mark was lost when the second firm's response was not in its own interest
Quantitative skills: QS 4 (construct and interpret a range of standard graphical forms); QS 9 (interpret, apply and analyse information in written, graphical tabular and numerical forms)