Supply, demand and price determination Theme 1

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A-level Paper 1 (and Paper 3); AS Paper 1
Level
AS and A level
Specification
Section 1.2, 3 statements
Since 2016
44 question parts: 2 essays, 5 levels-marked responses, 10 multiple-choice items

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Every essay set on this topic

SeriesPaperQMarksTitle
June 2019AS Paper 16(f)20Evaluate possible ways the government could intervene to reduce the excess demand for state-funded health care.
June 2018Paper 31(e)25With reference to the information provided and your own knowledge, evaluate the microeconomic and macroeconomic effects of increased UK demand for coffee at branded coffee shops.

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June 2025 · AS Paper 1 · Q4(a) 1 mark Multiple choice
(a) During the period from October to December 2022, production of coffee beans in the Philippines increased by 2.7% from the same quarter in 2021. Which one of the following is most likely to cause a shift to the right of the supply curve? (1) A A decrease in the demand for coffee B A subsidy to coffee bean producers C A tax on coffee bean production D The cost of production rises
June 2025 · AS Paper 1 · Q4(b) 3 marks AO1=1, AO2=1, AO3=1 Short answer
(b) Explain how the operation of market forces will eliminate an excess supply of coffee. (3)
June 2025 · AS Paper 1 · Q5(a) 1 mark Multiple choice
Data and extracts for question 55 In March 2019, 458 054 new car registrations were made, which subsequently fell by 44% in March 2020 due to the impact of the global health crisis. Demand for new vehicles can change quickly and can be caused by a variety of factors. (Source: adapted from https://fleetworld.co.uk/uk-new-car-registrations-slump-44-in-march/)
(a) Which one of the following factors may cause a shift in demand for new cars? (1) A Advertising B Cost of production C Indirect taxes D Subsidy to producers March new car registrations 2007 to 2023 600 000 500 000 400 000 400 000 287 825 300 000 200 000 100 000 0 ‘07 ‘08 ‘09 ‘10 ‘11 ‘12 ‘13 ‘14 ‘15 ‘16 ‘17 ‘18 ‘19 ‘20 ‘21 ‘22 ‘23 (Source: adapted from https://www.smmt.co.uk/vehicle-data/car-registrations/)
June 2025 · AS Paper 1 · Q5(b) 3 marks AO1=1, AO2=2 Calculation
Data and extracts for question 55 In March 2019, 458 054 new car registrations were made, which subsequently fell by 44% in March 2020 due to the impact of the global health crisis. Demand for new vehicles can change quickly and can be caused by a variety of factors. (Source: adapted from https://fleetworld.co.uk/uk-new-car-registrations-slump-44-in-march/)
(b) The diagram on the previous page shows new car registrations in March from 2007 to 2023. Using 2010 as the base year, calculate the index number for 2023. (3)
June 2024 · AS Paper 1 · Q2(a) 1 mark AO1=1 Definition
Data and extracts for question 22 Vanilla bean prices increased to a record $600 a kilogramme in 2018 after a cyclone hit the tropical island of Madagascar, damaging crops. Madagascar supplies 75% to 80% of the world vanilla bean market.
(a) Define the term ‘supply.’ (1)
June 2024 · AS Paper 1 · Q2(c) 2 marks AO1=1, AO2=1 Diagram
Data and extracts for question 22 Vanilla bean prices increased to a record $600 a kilogramme in 2018 after a cyclone hit the tropical island of Madagascar, damaging crops. Madagascar supplies 75% to 80% of the world vanilla bean market.
(c) Annotate the diagram below to show the effect of the cyclone on the price of vanilla beans. (2) Supply Price of vanilla beans e Pe Demand 0 Qe Quantity of vanilla beans
June 2024 · Paper 1 · Q6(a) 5 marks AO1=1, AO2=1, AO3=3 Diagram
Data and extracts for question 6The electronics industry Extract A Rising prices of electronics devices Computer chips act as the “brain” in all electronic devices. Makers of electronic devices face significant increases in the price of computer chips as they try to source enough components, including games consoles, computers and smartphones. The price of some computer chips has jumped from $0.20 each to more than $1. The prices of electronic 5 devices have risen for a range of reasons, including higher material costs and the growing popularity of home entertainment. (Source: adapted from https://www.ft.com/content/8c718a74- cd95-4b2d-ac0e-de0682e4e3cd) Extract B Labour shortages in the electronics industry Every year, highly skilled and experienced employees in the electronics industry retire. The current tight labour market has made an already difficult problem of hiring suitable engineering and computing graduates worse, especially since the nature of the industry is becoming increasingly technical. As production becomes 5 more automated, electronics jobs are more likely to require problem solving and analysis than just assembling skills. However, artificial intelligence and other new technologies can help fill some of the skills gap. In addition, by giving hazardous, repetitive, grimy work to robots, human beings can focus on more creative, analytic tasks. 10 (Source: adapted from https://www.ericsson.com/en/blog/2021/12/ manufacturing-problems-that-keep-ceos-awake-at-night) Extract C Serious concerns over merger The Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) has said the takeover of the Cambridge- based computer chip designer Arm by its US rival Nvidia raises serious competition concerns. It has launched an in-depth investigation into the £29.5 billion deal. The CMA said the merger could reduce choice for firms reliant on computer chips, pushing 5 up prices of products including cars, games consoles and mobile phones. In addition, severe global shortages of computer chips has disrupted the manufacture of a range of electronic goods pushing up costs for firms. Despite this, large electronics firms benefit from economies of scale and are able to finance high-risk innovation and global advertising. 10 (Source adapted from: https://www.theguardian.com/ business/2021/aug/20/watchdog-expresses-concerns- over-nvidias-takeover-of-uk-chip-designer-arm ) Extract D The growing problem of electronic waste Electronic waste is the fastest growing element of the world’s household waste problem. The problem in the UK is particularly bad. The country produces 24.9 kg a person a year – nearly 10 kg more than the EU average. In 2018, 1.2 million tonnes of electrical devices were sold in the UK, and 500 000 tonnes made it to recycling centres. Some appliances 5 are more likely to be recycled than others. The recycling rate for big appliances, such as fridges and cookers, is about 80%. Of small appliances, barely one in five makes it to the recycling centre. As items such as toasters, hairdryers and headphones fit into household bins, they are not often taken to a recycling centre. This causes many problems, such as hazardous substances contaminating soil, water pollution and other external costs. 10 Policy makers have a long list of options to combat this problem including stricter regulation, environmental education, taxation and financial incentives. In some countries, for example, household rubbish is weighed and recycling initiatives are subsidised. (Source adapted from: https://www.ft.com/content/26e1aa74- 2261-11ea-92da-f0c92e957a96)
(a) With reference to Extract A, explain the likely reasons for the change in price of electronic devices. Include a supply and demand diagram in your answer. (5)
June 2024 · AS Paper 1 · Q6(d) 6 marks AO1=2, AO2=2, AO3=2 Short answer
Data and extracts for question 6The market for plastic in the UK Figure 1: Trend in the purchase of single‑use plastic bags in millions, UK, 2014 to 2021 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 7 500 2 120 1 750 1 130 1 040 627 496 197 Extract A 10p charge continues to reduce use of plastic carrier bags The 5p charge on single‑use carrier bags was introduced in supermarkets in 2015. The charge was increased to 10p in 2021 and extended to all businesses. The UK Environment Minister said that the plastic bag charge has ended the irrational purchase of billions of single‑use carrier bags, thereby protecting our landscapes and 5 ensuring millions of pounds are redistributed to worthy causes. This was needed as without this legislation, the market is not able to effectively manage the situation. Consumers are now in the habit of bringing reusable carrier bags when shopping. In addition to single‑use carrier bag charges, major retailers have offered bottle deposit return schemes and refillable food and cleaning product options. These provide 10 incentives to consumers to reuse their plastic containers. However, retailers have suggested that most customers do not wish to pay more for cleaning products in reusable packaging. With the average household income falling by 4.3% in 2023, sales of refillable cleaning products are expected to fall from 200 000 to 130 000 this year. 15 (Source adapted from: https://www.circularonline.co.uk/news/) Extract B Plastic packaging tax Food manufacturers have criticised the implementation of a new UK environmental tax, warning it will force them to increase prices for consumers. The 2018 tax was designed to provide incentives to businesses to use recycled plastic in packaging. Businesses manufacturing or importing 10 tonnes or more a year of 5 plastic packaging that contains less than 30% recycled plastic are taxed at £200 a tonne. Plastic packaging containing more than this will be exempt from the tax. Helene Roberts, Chief Executive of Robinson Packaging, said increased prices for the consumer would be an unintended consequence of the tax. “It will just create inflationary pressures within the supply chain and firms may need to pass this on.” A wide range of 10 businesses are affected by the new tax, including retailers importing items such as bin liners, drink bottles and carrier bags. Food manufacturers are particularly impacted as the industry uses 40% of packaging in the UK. (Source adapted from: https://www.ft.com) Extract C Single‑use cups An estimated 2.5 billion single‑use cups are used in the UK every year by consumers buying coffee from chains and cafes, creating approximately 25 000 tonnes of waste. Research has found that while a 25p charge on single‑use cups increases the use of reusable coffee cups in coffee shops, a discount on reusable coffee cups has no impact at 5 all on their use. A 25p charge on single‑use cups increases the use of reusable coffee cups by 3.4%. Environmental messaging in cafes, for example posters about litter, increases the use of reusable coffee cups by 2.3%. The availability of reusable cups leads to an increase of 2.5% whereas the distribution of free reusable cups leads to a further increase of 4.3%. 10 “While the increases for individual measures were modest, the greatest behavioural change was when the measures were combined,” said Wouter Poortinga of Cardiff University. (Source adapted from: https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2017/mar/30/)
(d) With reference to Extract C, explain how incentives to use reusable coffee cups may lead to a fall in demand for single‑use cups. (6)
June 2023 · AS Paper 1 · Q1(c) 1 mark AO1=1 Definition
Data and extracts for question 11 In 2021, energy regulator Ofgem announced that the maximum price of energy will rise from £ 1 277 to £ 1 971 a year, for the average household bill. (Source: adapted from https://www.moneysavingexpert.com/ utilities/what-is-the-energy-price-cap/)
(c) Define the term ‘equilibrium price’. (1)
June 2023 · Paper 1 · Q4(a) 2 marks AO2=2 Calculation
Data and extracts for question 44 An annual season ticket for a train journey between London and Reading is planned to increase from £5 044 to £5 664 in 2023. (Source adapted from: https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/ how-much-could-rail-fares-increase-by-in-2023-and-why)
(a) With reference to the information provided, calculate the percentage change in the price of an annual season ticket. (2)
June 2023 · AS Paper 1 · Q6(e) 15 marks AO1=3, AO2=3, AO3=3, AO4=6 15-mark response
Data and extracts for question 6The market for television content Figure 1: Elasticities of demand for streamed television services, UK, 2021 Price elasticity of demand -0.6 Income elasticity of demand 1.6 (Source: adapted from https://www.consultancy.uk/news/24986/covid-19- presents-netflix-with-chance-to-hike-prices) Figure 2: Market shares of streamed content providers, Europe, 2021 39% Netflix 29% Amazon 9% Apple TV+ 7% Disney+ 3% DZN 2% Viaplay 1% TIM Vision 1% Sky Now Tv 1% HBO 1% IPLA 7% Others 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% Market share (Source: adapted from Statista 2021) Extract A The growth of streamed television content Netflix currently has 13 million UK subscribers, who typically pay £9.99 a month to the US based private sector firm. At this price, up to two users can view the television content at the same time. The demand for individual firms’ streamed television content boomed when people were forced to stay at home and has only begun to slow recently as more 5 firms enter the market e.g. Amazon Prime Video. The launch of Disney+ at the end of 2019, including original content such as the £74 million Star Wars TV spin-off The Mandalorian, resulted in the service adding more UK subscribers in a year in 2020 than any other streaming platform has ever managed. However, the costs of providing streaming television content have risen. Consumers now 10 expect original content, for example Stranger Things which costs around £10 million an episode to make. Furthermore, advertising in a saturated market is expensive. In 2021, Netflix put up the price of its most-popular package by £1 a month to £9.99. Fortunately for Netflix, its subscriber demand has proven price inelastic. Just 3% of customers in a survey said they would definitely cancel their subscription after Netflix’s 15 latest price rise. (Source: adapted from ‘As UK hits peak, Netflix the streaming giant will have to work harder’, The Guardian, Monday 3 January 2022) Extract B Is television content a public good? Public service broadcasting in the UK is made up of a number of parts. First, there are the main UK-wide public service broadcasters (PSBs). There is the publicly funded BBC, and the publicly owned Channel 4 which is funded through advertisements. The BBC was established in 1922 by a Royal Charter. It is mainly funded through the TV 5 licence fee, which costs £159 a year and is a compulsory charge for those who watch live TV on any device. Live TV and catch-up services are free to view and do not restrict household usage. Without the licence fee very few people would pay due to the free rider problem. The BBC’s Charter sets out its five public purposes: 10 • To provide impartial news and information • To support learning for people of all ages • To show the most creative, highest quality and distinctive televised content • To provide content for minority groups which would not be profitable for a private firm 15 • To reflect the UK, its culture and values to the world. (Source: adapted from https://publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm5801/cmselect/ cmcumeds/156/15604, and ‘BBC licence fee to be abolished in 2027 and funding frozen’, The Guardian, Sunday 16 January 2022) Extract C The environmental impact of streaming television content The carbon footprint produced by watching a month of Netflix programmes is equivalent to driving a car to Saturn. Every activity in the chain required to stream video, from the use of huge datacentres and transmission over Wi-Fi and broadband to watching the content on a device, requires electricity. The majority of this is generated by emitting CO2. 5 Modern flatscreen televisions use significant amounts of energy. There’s very little a government can do about this in a free market dominated by US firms. The focus of any government intervention could be to encourage alternative forms of entertainment and recreation, support the development of more energy efficient devices, to improve information on the environmental effects or to use regulation to limit 10 viewing hours. (Source: adapted from ‘Streaming’s dirty secret: how viewing Netflix top 10 creates vast quantity of CO2’, The Guardian, Friday 29 October 2021)
(e) Discuss likely reasons why the market price of streaming television content is increasing. Draw a supply and demand diagram to support your answer. (15)
June 2022 · Paper 1 · Q1(a) 1 mark AO3=1 Multiple choice
Data and extracts for question 11 Disney+ is a streaming service that distributes films and television series produced by the Walt Disney Studios. Disney+ subscribers (million) November 2019 10 December 2019 26.5 February 2020 28.6 April 2020 50 (Source adapted from: https://www.businessofapps.com/data/disney-plus-statistics/)
(a) Ceteris paribus, the most likely consequence of the above data is that Disney+ will experience an increase in its: (1) A fixed costs B income elasticity of demand C price elasticity of demand D revenue
June 2022 · Paper 1 · Q1(b) 4 marks AO1=2, AO2=2 Diagram
Data and extracts for question 11 Disney+ is a streaming service that distributes films and television series produced by the Walt Disney Studios. Disney+ subscribers (million) November 2019 10 December 2019 26.5 February 2020 28.6 April 2020 50 (Source adapted from: https://www.businessofapps.com/data/disney-plus-statistics/)
(b) Draw a supply and demand diagram to show the likely effect of the change in the number of subscribers on the market equilibrium for Disney+ services. (4)
June 2022 · AS Paper 1 · Q6(a) 5 marks AO1=1, AO2=2, AO3=2 Diagram
Data and extracts for question 6The market for fish Extract A Total allowable catches of North Sea cod halved in response to falling stocks In 2020, new lower limits on the quantity of cod that can be caught by the UK fishing fleet came into force. These limits on the fish catch, called total allowable catches (TACs), were agreed at the annual EU fisheries negotiations. It was the last December EU meeting attended by the UK before it left the EU. It was 5 agreed that cod catch limits will be cut by 50% in the North Sea, while reduced limits were agreed for cod in the Celtic Sea, Irish Sea and west of Scotland. However, there were increases for other types of fish, with TACs for haddock in the North Sea rising by 23% and for sole rising by 19%. UK Fisheries Minister George Eustice said: “This year there has been mounting scientific 10 evidence suggesting that cod is being overfished in many parts of the northeast Atlantic and we have responded to conserve stocks”. These new regulations applied to the UK while it remained part of the Common Fisheries Policy. In the future it will become an independent coastal state and negotiate on fisheries with the EU and other coastal states such as Norway. 15 (Source adapted from: https://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/news/north-sea-cod- stocks-quota-climate-change-brexit-a9252196.html) Figure 1 Atlantic over-fishing: share of total allowable catch (TAC) in excess of scientific advice (2019) Country Excess TAC (%) Excess TAC (tonnes) Sweden 52.4 17 369 106 925 United Kingdom 24.3 34 052 Ireland 21.7 49 914 Denmark 19.7 20 620 Germany 18.0 The Netherlands 13.5 31 910 3 009 Belgium 10.4 France 9.4 27 230 Spain 6.6 16 689 Portugal 3.8 3 662 (Source adapted from: Statista 2018) Extract B The tragedy of the commons The ‘tragedy of the commons’ may occur when there are common access resources (CARs). These are natural resources over which no private ownership has been established. Therefore, there are difficulties in excluding people from using or exploiting them. CARs include fisheries and common grazing lands. Oceans are so vast that it is 5 impractical for one fishing company to establish ownership and control. This means that others cannot be prevented from exploiting the ocean. Economists have suggested that with the lack of ownership of these resources, private producers will act in their own self-interest and exploit CARs to maximise profit. This exploitation is unsustainable. In other words, CARs provide an opportunity for individuals to create profit, while 10 creating negative externalities which impact on everybody else. This process is referred to as the ‘tragedy of the commons’. The ‘tragedy of the commons’ is at the core of a range of problems that are relevant and threatening to natural resources, environments and human health. In the case of overfishing, fishing companies are not made accountable for the state of the ocean. 15 They continue to fish as much as possible to maximise profit. Today, 90% of fish stocks are depleted. The reason for such a wide range of problems is because there is an environmental cost for everything. The ‘tragedy of the commons’ is the outcome of the fact that every resource is limited on this planet, coupled with the rising level of demand for these 20 resources. These issues are large-scale and require laws, regulation and international cooperation. (Source adapted from: http://felixonline.co.uk/articles/2019-12-09-tragedy-commons- drama-planet-not-enjoying/)
(a) Explain the likely impact of the new 2020 TACs on the price of cod. Include a supply and demand diagram in your answer. (5)
November 2021 · Paper 1 · Q2(a) 4 marks AO1=2, AO2=2 Diagram
Data and extracts for question 22 Cobalt is a key metal used in the batteries of electric cars. China is the world’s largest producer of electric cars but has recently cut subsidies to its manufacturers. The Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) produces more than 60% of the world’s supply of cobalt, from its small-scale mines. Many new small mines opened in 2018 as a result of improved expectations of profit. The following graph shows the price of cobalt between June 2018 and June 2019. 45 40 35 30 $ per pound 25 weight 20 (454 grams) 15 10 5 0 June 2018 June 2019
(a) With reference to the information provided, draw a supply and demand diagram to show why the price of cobalt fell between June 2018 and June 2019. (4)
November 2021 · Paper 1 · Q2(b) 1 mark AO1=1 Multiple choice
Data and extracts for question 22 Cobalt is a key metal used in the batteries of electric cars. China is the world’s largest producer of electric cars but has recently cut subsidies to its manufacturers. The Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) produces more than 60% of the world’s supply of cobalt, from its small-scale mines. Many new small mines opened in 2018 as a result of improved expectations of profit. The following graph shows the price of cobalt between June 2018 and June 2019. 45 40 35 30 $ per pound 25 weight 20 (454 grams) 15 10 5 0 June 2018 June 2019
(b) Between June 2018 and June 2019 the price of cobalt fell by: (1) A 25% B 37.5% C 62.5% D 166.7%
November 2021 · Paper 3 · Q1(b) 8 marks AO1=2, AO2=2, AO3=2, AO4=2 8-mark response
Data and extracts for question 1Hand car wash (HCW) firms in the UK Extract A What is the true human cost of your £5 hand car wash (HCW)? The UK’s hand car washes (HCWs) are extremely price competitive, but they have also been linked to modern slavery. Are they ever fair for workers? There is little agreement about how many HCWs there are in the UK. Estimates range from 10 000 to 20 000. This lack of accurate information about the industry makes 5 government regulation very difficult. Automated car washes, with their fierce rotating bristles, used to be the first option for drivers in a hurry. Now there is more choice. While the economy slows and incomes fail to keep up with inflation, demand for HCWs has grown. Many people see paying £5 for a car washed by someone else, rather than cleaning it at home, as a small expense which yields a high utility. But what is the true 10 cost of a £5 car wash – and what should we be paying? The growth of HCWs is partly the result of changes in the structure of industry in the UK. Many petrol stations have closed as drivers fill up at supermarkets. Garages and their forecourts have closed as cars become more reliable and locked into service agreements. The available sites for HCWs have therefore increased significantly and rents have fallen. 15 HCW entrepreneurs have identified available land and have benefitted from changes in the labour market, partly as a result of EU migration. UK drivers are now able to obtain cheap and effective hand car washing. For many migrants, car washes are a first job. “They accept car washing for a short period while they improve their language skills and move into other industries,” says Ian Clark, a professor of work and employment at 20 Nottingham Business School. “But there are also car-wash workers without networks who are in a dead end, working there for long periods.” Many drivers are only interested in getting the cheapest wash. If the price is very low, it probably means that workers are receiving less than the minimum wage and working in poor conditions. Crude calculations illustrate the problem. A £5 HCW employing five 25 workers for 10 hours a day would need to wash 79 cars a day to just cover the wage costs. This assumes the workers are paid the minimum wage. This is one car every seven and a half minutes. Even if the profit can be higher on valet services, the price of which can be as little as £12 for a full inside-and-out clean, it’s hard to see how a car wash price as low as £5 pays a living wage. This ignores all other costs which HCWs incur such as 30 business rates and rent. Evidence from car-wash workers is limited but Clark and others have been able to build a picture of some of the tougher conditions on drenched forecourts. “Like nail bars and small garment manufacturers, car washes are what we call ‘hard-to-reach places,’” Clark explains. As part of the research, Clark and his team spoke to workers from 45 HCWs in 35 the Midlands. Clark and his team met and observed workers who lacked waterproof boots or trousers, or hi-vis jackets and gloves. “They’re spraying around hydrochloric acid solution for alloy wheels, breathing in the vapour and fumes,” Clark says. Some workers were paid a little over half the minimum wage. 40 (Source adapted from: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/jul/16/true-human-cost- 5-pound-hand-car-wash-modern-slavery) Extract B Government intervention in the HCW industry There are three main areas of government intervention that might impact on labour intensive firms such as HCWs: First, there is the planning issue which focuses on the impact on the environment, for example, the disposal and recycling of waste water and chemicals. There could be 5 planning regulations to prevent the use of tarmac rather than concrete on forecourts. Tarmac allows waste water and chemicals to seep into the sub soil. It could also be a requirement to have a sludge trap to stop the waste entering waterways. Second, there is the health and safety issue for workers. Prolonged exposure to chemicals and lack of protective clothing puts the health of workers at risk. Performance targets 10 could involve minimum levels of protective clothing and rest breaks for the workers. Third, there is the issue of tax. The informal nature of the business type makes tax evasion easier. Not all UK HCWs violate regulations. There are legitimate, regulated HCW firms as well as examples of good practice by independent outlets. One national supermarket, Tesco, 15 has banned all independent hand car washes from its car parks. It is now in a partnership agreement with national car wash operator Waves. It uses a WashMark certificate of quality and compliance which was introduced by the industry to improve working conditions. Other major supermarkets are considering similar changes. One adviser believes £9 is a reasonable minimum price for a basic wash. Some pressure groups have 20 developed a mobile phone app where evidence of unreasonable conditions can be reported by drivers. Involving drivers in the issue, and making them demand fairer car washes, creates an incentive for good businesses to improve practices and come forward to get a WashMark certificate. 25 (Source adapted from: https://www.parliament.uk/documents/commons-committees/ environmental-audit/Hand-Car-Wash-evidence.pdf research into HCWs by Professor Ian Clark, Nottingham Business School May 2018)
(b) Examine two reasons why the demand for HCWs increases during a period when consumer ‘incomes fail to keep up with inflation’ (Extract A line 8). (8)
October 2020 · AS Paper 1 · Q5(c) 1 mark Multiple choice
Data and extracts for question 55 HS2 is a high-speed rail network linking the north and south of England. HS2 will be four years late and cost double the Department for Transport’s original estimate. (Source: https://www.transportxtra.com/publications/local-transport-today/news /58459/hs2-will-be-four-years-late-and-cost-double-the-dft-s-estimate-mps-told)
(c) The diagram below shows the demand for and supply of passenger rail services. Rail fares (£) S P2 P1 D2 D1 O Quantity of rail passengers Q1 Q2 The shift of the demand curve from D1 to D2 is most likely to result from a: (1) A government decision to impose a tax on workplace parking B government decision to increase subsidies for rail travel C planned expansion of the government’s railway track building programme D reduction in the tax imposed on a litre of petrol
October 2020 · Paper 1 · Q6(a) 5 marks AO1=1, AO2=1, AO3=3 Diagram
Data and extracts for question 6The UK Rail Industry Figure 1: UK government subsidy to Northern, a train operating company in Northern England 290 287.9 285 280 277.0 275 0 2017 2018 (Source adapted from: https://www.theyworkforyou.com/wrans/?id=2018-10-18.181280.h) Figure 2: Rail passenger kilometres travelled per year in the UK, billions 70 65 billion (2018) 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1985 1995 2005 2015 (Source adapted from: fullfact.org) Figure 3: Price of a single off-peak train journey, Edinburgh to Leeds Saturday 22nd December 2018 19:00 hours Adult Young Persons (16–25) Railcard £105.30 £69.50 (Source: https://www.lner.co.uk/buy-tickets/booking-engine) Extract A The case for nationalisation Privatisation has not made the rail industry cheaper to operate, despite the promise from one government source that it would see private companies bringing: “more competition, greater efficiency and a wider choice of services”. One reason, suggest the critics, is fragmentation. Instead of pushing British Rail into 5 the private sector as a single supplier the government chose to break it into three components of track, train operators and rolling stock i.e. the trains and carriages. This has encouraged each part of the rail industry to prioritise its own profits rather than collaborating to improve the system. Privatisation, meanwhile, never really worked. The rail network of 2 500 stations and 10 32 000 km of tracks was renationalised in 2001. This has encouraged the government’s transport secretary, a supporter of private sector involvement, to argue that the state Network Rail monopoly should be removed so that companies can bid to build new rail lines to upgrade the railway. The privately-owned train operators are now the subject of fierce criticism, due to 15 overcrowding and cancelled services. Private companies are supposed to compete to win a bid to be the train operator for a region for a short number of years. However in recent years the number of private companies bidding or renewing their contract as rail operators has fallen. In May 2018 the government rescued the East Coast line by renationalising it. The line had been run by the private rail operator Virgin Rail, which was 20 suffering lower passenger numbers and revenue than forecast. Some argue that there is a simple solution: reunite track and train in the only feasible manner, nationalisation. (Source adapted from: https://www.ft.com/content/d82848ca-f7ba-11e7-88f7-5465a6ce1a00) Extract B Southern Rail boss paid £495 000 The Chief Executive of Southern Rail, the private-sector train operator that has become associated with delays, losses, cancellations and strikes, was paid £495 000 last year. This increased calls for nationalisation and a maximum wage for executives at companies with government contracts. In contrast the average base pay for a train driver in the UK is 5 £47 705, although they can earn up to £63 000. Nearly a third of Southern Rail trains were late in 2016 as it tried to deal with a labour dispute that involved extensive strike action. The rail trade unions are opposed to planned changes to the role of train guards, which they claim will put passenger safety at risk. 10 (Source adapted from: Rob Davies, The Guardian 10 April 2017 https://www.theguardian.com/business/2017/apr/10/southern-rail-boss-double-pay-rise)
(a) Refer to Figure 1. Explain the likely effect of the change in subsidy levels between 2017 and 2018 on rail fares. Include a supply and demand diagram in your answer. (5)
October 2020 · Paper 1 · Q6(b) 8 marks AO1=2, AO2=2, AO3=2, AO4=2 8-mark response
Data and extracts for question 6The UK Rail Industry Figure 1: UK government subsidy to Northern, a train operating company in Northern England 290 287.9 285 280 277.0 275 0 2017 2018 (Source adapted from: https://www.theyworkforyou.com/wrans/?id=2018-10-18.181280.h) Figure 2: Rail passenger kilometres travelled per year in the UK, billions 70 65 billion (2018) 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1985 1995 2005 2015 (Source adapted from: fullfact.org) Figure 3: Price of a single off-peak train journey, Edinburgh to Leeds Saturday 22nd December 2018 19:00 hours Adult Young Persons (16–25) Railcard £105.30 £69.50 (Source: https://www.lner.co.uk/buy-tickets/booking-engine) Extract A The case for nationalisation Privatisation has not made the rail industry cheaper to operate, despite the promise from one government source that it would see private companies bringing: “more competition, greater efficiency and a wider choice of services”. One reason, suggest the critics, is fragmentation. Instead of pushing British Rail into 5 the private sector as a single supplier the government chose to break it into three components of track, train operators and rolling stock i.e. the trains and carriages. This has encouraged each part of the rail industry to prioritise its own profits rather than collaborating to improve the system. Privatisation, meanwhile, never really worked. The rail network of 2 500 stations and 10 32 000 km of tracks was renationalised in 2001. This has encouraged the government’s transport secretary, a supporter of private sector involvement, to argue that the state Network Rail monopoly should be removed so that companies can bid to build new rail lines to upgrade the railway. The privately-owned train operators are now the subject of fierce criticism, due to 15 overcrowding and cancelled services. Private companies are supposed to compete to win a bid to be the train operator for a region for a short number of years. However in recent years the number of private companies bidding or renewing their contract as rail operators has fallen. In May 2018 the government rescued the East Coast line by renationalising it. The line had been run by the private rail operator Virgin Rail, which was 20 suffering lower passenger numbers and revenue than forecast. Some argue that there is a simple solution: reunite track and train in the only feasible manner, nationalisation. (Source adapted from: https://www.ft.com/content/d82848ca-f7ba-11e7-88f7-5465a6ce1a00) Extract B Southern Rail boss paid £495 000 The Chief Executive of Southern Rail, the private-sector train operator that has become associated with delays, losses, cancellations and strikes, was paid £495 000 last year. This increased calls for nationalisation and a maximum wage for executives at companies with government contracts. In contrast the average base pay for a train driver in the UK is 5 £47 705, although they can earn up to £63 000. Nearly a third of Southern Rail trains were late in 2016 as it tried to deal with a labour dispute that involved extensive strike action. The rail trade unions are opposed to planned changes to the role of train guards, which they claim will put passenger safety at risk. 10 (Source adapted from: Rob Davies, The Guardian 10 April 2017 https://www.theguardian.com/business/2017/apr/10/southern-rail-boss-double-pay-rise)
(b) With reference to Figure 2, examine two possible factors which may have influenced demand for rail travel since 2008. (8)
June 2019 · Paper 1 · Q2(a) 4 marks AO1=2, AO2=2 Diagram
Data and extracts for question 22 In August 2017 Hurricane Harvey caused the closure of nearly a quarter of the oil production capacity in the United States.
(a) Draw a supply and demand diagram to show the likely microeconomic effects of the hurricane on the US oil market. (4)
June 2019 · AS Paper 1 · Q2(b) 1 mark AO1=1 Multiple choice
Data and extracts for question 22 The consensus that diesel emissions are bad for health has led to many cities planning to ban diesel vehicles from their centres. The mayors of Paris, Mexico City, Madrid and Athens have said they intend to ban these vehicles by 2025. (Source: adapted from http://www.autoexpress.co.uk/car-news/consumer-news/98747/ diesel-ban-clean-air-zone-expansion-could-see-diesel-cars-charged-to)
(b) A ban on diesel vehicles in city centres will reduce the demand for diesel fuel. This is because: (1) A consumers are irrational B consumers expect the price of diesel to rise C the goods are complements D the goods are substitutes
June 2019 · AS Paper 1 · Q2(c) 1 mark AO1=1 Definition
Data and extracts for question 22 The consensus that diesel emissions are bad for health has led to many cities planning to ban diesel vehicles from their centres. The mayors of Paris, Mexico City, Madrid and Athens have said they intend to ban these vehicles by 2025. (Source: adapted from http://www.autoexpress.co.uk/car-news/consumer-news/98747/ diesel-ban-clean-air-zone-expansion-could-see-diesel-cars-charged-to)
(c) Define the term ‘demand’. (1)
June 2019 · AS Paper 1 · Q6(e) 15 marks AO1=3, AO2=3, AO3=3, AO4=6 15-mark response
Data and extracts for question 6Health provision Figure 1: National Health Service (NHS) in England: Government spending and projected funding gap, £ billions, 2015 to 2020 140 Government spending required to meet forecast demand 130 120 £ billions 110 100 Government spending on the NHS 90 0 2015 2016 2018 2019 2017 2020 (Source: https://www.economist.com/news/britain/21706563-nhs-mess- reformers-believe-new-models-health-care-many-pioneered) Figure 2: Percentage of NHS patients in England waiting over 18 weeks for non-emergency treatment 12% 10% 10.1% Jan 2017 8% 5.7% Jan 2013 6% 4% 2% 0% Jan 2013 Jan 2014 Jan 2015 Jan 2016 Jan 2017 (Source: https://www.statista.com/chart/8813/more-and- more-people-made-to-wait-by-the-nhs/) Extract A Hospitals already full National Health Service (NHS) managers’ warned that bed occupancy rates are approaching 99% in some parts of the country, compared with recommended levels of 85%. In 2017 the number of patients waiting for non-urgent treatment passed the four million mark, the highest figure for almost a decade. 5 The chief executive of the NHS suggested that waiting list targets for routine operations such as hip and knee replacements would have to be sacrificed in order to protect other services, including accident and emergency (A&E) and cancer care. However, the government has insisted waiting time targets must still be met. Recently the Chancellor awarded the NHS £2.8 billion over three years, including £1.6 billion 10 in 2018 - less than the £4 billion which NHS officials had asked for to keep up with an ageing population and new medical technologies. NHS managers said there was now very little spare capacity in the system, warning of shortages of paramedics, doctors, A&E consultants and nurses. (Source: adapted from http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/12/07/hospitals- already-full-bursting-pressures-mount-warn-nhs-chiefs/) Extract B How health care is funded Most countries have a mixed economy of health provision typically funded from taxation, patient fees and private health insurance. The NHS was launched in the UK in 1948 to ensure direct state provision by the government of health care ‘free at the point of use’. The NHS is mainly funded from 5 general taxation. However, some NHS patients pay for some of their medical care, such as prescriptions to buy medicine. In the ongoing debate about how best to fund the NHS, some people have proposed introducing a £12 charge for visiting a General Practitioner (GP) doctor. Proponents argue that such a charge would deter overuse of GP services by those who do not have 10 genuine health needs. It would also raise additional money for the NHS and create incentives which will stimulate innovation and more choice. Estimates suggested that a £12 charge on the 450 million visits a year to GPs could have raised enough to cover hospitals’ overspend in 2016. Based on exemptions for prescriptions, 90% of patients will not be charged including the elderly, children and low 15 income groups. There would also be administrative costs of collecting the charge and verifying exemptions. These arrangements would significantly reduce the amount a charge would generate, assuming no one paying would be dissuaded from visiting their GP. The proportion of people in the UK taking out private health insurance (PHI) to pay for private health care has increased to 10.6%, despite significant increases in the 20 prices of treatment in private hospitals. Some economists argue that the government should provide subsidies to encourage people to take out private health insurance. This would reduce the burden on the NHS by taking some people out of the state system. Furthermore it is argued that private health care increases choice for users, encourages competition and drives up standards of care. 25 A typical PHI policy for a healthy 35-year-old costs about £650 a year but this rises steeply to £2 300 for those aged 70, when claims are far more likely. The level of contribution is based on their risk of requiring health care. PHI also tends to incur high management and administrative costs due to the resources required to assess risk and claims. Also there is the possibility of market failure given asymmetric information. 30 (Source: adapted from https://www.kingsfund.org.uk/ publications/how-health-care-is-funded) Extract C Public parks are a public good Public parks are places which people can use for free to exercise or to relax. Parkrun Limited organises free weekly runs in local parks attracting hundreds of joggers per park to enjoy healthy exercise. The government is proposing to ban local authorities charging Parkrun for the use of public parks to fund the maintenance of public parks. The 5 government considers that it is appropriate for the public to pay a reasonable sum for the private use of a facility such as a tennis court or a football pitch which may be used exclusively. However, the government does not consider it appropriate for a local authority to charge a volunteer community group ‘seeking to provide a free weekly event’ for the use of a public park. Parkrun share the park with other park users. Although a running 10 course may be marked out there is no restriction on other people using the park. (Source: adapted from © Crown Copyright Running Free – Government consultation on preserving the free use of public parks, April 2017, https://www.gov.uk/ government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/608372/ Parkrun_ConDoc.pdf and http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/04/14/ councils-banned-charging-runners-take-part-regular-saturday/)
(e) Discuss likely reasons why the prices of treatments in private sector hospitals are increasing. Draw a supply and demand diagram to support your answer. (15)
June 2019 · AS Paper 1 · Q6(f) 20 marks AO1=4, AO2=4, AO3=6, AO4=6 20-mark essay Either/or
Data and extracts for question 6Health provision Figure 1: National Health Service (NHS) in England: Government spending and projected funding gap, £ billions, 2015 to 2020 140 Government spending required to meet forecast demand 130 120 £ billions 110 100 Government spending on the NHS 90 0 2015 2016 2018 2019 2017 2020 (Source: https://www.economist.com/news/britain/21706563-nhs-mess- reformers-believe-new-models-health-care-many-pioneered) Figure 2: Percentage of NHS patients in England waiting over 18 weeks for non-emergency treatment 12% 10% 10.1% Jan 2017 8% 5.7% Jan 2013 6% 4% 2% 0% Jan 2013 Jan 2014 Jan 2015 Jan 2016 Jan 2017 (Source: https://www.statista.com/chart/8813/more-and- more-people-made-to-wait-by-the-nhs/) Extract A Hospitals already full National Health Service (NHS) managers’ warned that bed occupancy rates are approaching 99% in some parts of the country, compared with recommended levels of 85%. In 2017 the number of patients waiting for non-urgent treatment passed the four million mark, the highest figure for almost a decade. 5 The chief executive of the NHS suggested that waiting list targets for routine operations such as hip and knee replacements would have to be sacrificed in order to protect other services, including accident and emergency (A&E) and cancer care. However, the government has insisted waiting time targets must still be met. Recently the Chancellor awarded the NHS £2.8 billion over three years, including £1.6 billion 10 in 2018 - less than the £4 billion which NHS officials had asked for to keep up with an ageing population and new medical technologies. NHS managers said there was now very little spare capacity in the system, warning of shortages of paramedics, doctors, A&E consultants and nurses. (Source: adapted from http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/12/07/hospitals- already-full-bursting-pressures-mount-warn-nhs-chiefs/) Extract B How health care is funded Most countries have a mixed economy of health provision typically funded from taxation, patient fees and private health insurance. The NHS was launched in the UK in 1948 to ensure direct state provision by the government of health care ‘free at the point of use’. The NHS is mainly funded from 5 general taxation. However, some NHS patients pay for some of their medical care, such as prescriptions to buy medicine. In the ongoing debate about how best to fund the NHS, some people have proposed introducing a £12 charge for visiting a General Practitioner (GP) doctor. Proponents argue that such a charge would deter overuse of GP services by those who do not have 10 genuine health needs. It would also raise additional money for the NHS and create incentives which will stimulate innovation and more choice. Estimates suggested that a £12 charge on the 450 million visits a year to GPs could have raised enough to cover hospitals’ overspend in 2016. Based on exemptions for prescriptions, 90% of patients will not be charged including the elderly, children and low 15 income groups. There would also be administrative costs of collecting the charge and verifying exemptions. These arrangements would significantly reduce the amount a charge would generate, assuming no one paying would be dissuaded from visiting their GP. The proportion of people in the UK taking out private health insurance (PHI) to pay for private health care has increased to 10.6%, despite significant increases in the 20 prices of treatment in private hospitals. Some economists argue that the government should provide subsidies to encourage people to take out private health insurance. This would reduce the burden on the NHS by taking some people out of the state system. Furthermore it is argued that private health care increases choice for users, encourages competition and drives up standards of care. 25 A typical PHI policy for a healthy 35-year-old costs about £650 a year but this rises steeply to £2 300 for those aged 70, when claims are far more likely. The level of contribution is based on their risk of requiring health care. PHI also tends to incur high management and administrative costs due to the resources required to assess risk and claims. Also there is the possibility of market failure given asymmetric information. 30 (Source: adapted from https://www.kingsfund.org.uk/ publications/how-health-care-is-funded) Extract C Public parks are a public good Public parks are places which people can use for free to exercise or to relax. Parkrun Limited organises free weekly runs in local parks attracting hundreds of joggers per park to enjoy healthy exercise. The government is proposing to ban local authorities charging Parkrun for the use of public parks to fund the maintenance of public parks. The 5 government considers that it is appropriate for the public to pay a reasonable sum for the private use of a facility such as a tennis court or a football pitch which may be used exclusively. However, the government does not consider it appropriate for a local authority to charge a volunteer community group ‘seeking to provide a free weekly event’ for the use of a public park. Parkrun share the park with other park users. Although a running 10 course may be marked out there is no restriction on other people using the park. (Source: adapted from © Crown Copyright Running Free – Government consultation on preserving the free use of public parks, April 2017, https://www.gov.uk/ government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/608372/ Parkrun_ConDoc.pdf and http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/04/14/ councils-banned-charging-runners-take-part-regular-saturday/)
(f) Evaluate possible ways the government could intervene to reduce the excess demand for state-funded health care. (20)
June 2018 · Paper 1 · Q3(b) 1 mark Multiple choice
Data and extracts for question 33 The average fee charged by high-street estate agents to homeowners for selling property is 1.3% of the final sale price. (Source: http://www.which.co.uk/money/mortgages-and-property/home- movers/guides/selling-a-house/estate-agent-fees-and-contracts)
In August 2016 the Office for National Statistics reported that the average house price in London was £489 000, whereas in the North East of England it was £127 000. (b) The ratio of the average house price in London to the average house price in the North East of England is: (1) A 0.26 B 3.62 C 3.85 D 7.40
June 2018 · Paper 1 · Q3(c) 2 marks AO1=1, AO3=1 Short answer
Data and extracts for question 33 The average fee charged by high-street estate agents to homeowners for selling property is 1.3% of the final sale price. (Source: http://www.which.co.uk/money/mortgages-and-property/home- movers/guides/selling-a-house/estate-agent-fees-and-contracts)
(c) Explain one likely reason for the difference in average house prices between London and the North East of England. (2)
June 2018 · Paper 1 · Q5(a) 1 mark Multiple choice
Data and extracts for question 55 The following graph shows the global sales of personal computers (PCs) between 2011 and 2015. 400 350 352.4 350.4 315.1 300 308.2 276.7 250 millions 200 of PCs 150 100 50 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 (Source: adapted from IDC and reported in The Times, 14th January 2016)
(a) The percentage decrease in sales of PCs between 2011 and 2015 is: (1) A 21.5 B 27.3 C 31.5 D 75.7
June 2018 · Paper 1 · Q5(b) 2 marks AO1=1, AO3=1 Short answer
Data and extracts for question 55 The following graph shows the global sales of personal computers (PCs) between 2011 and 2015. 400 350 352.4 350.4 315.1 300 308.2 276.7 250 millions 200 of PCs 150 100 50 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 (Source: adapted from IDC and reported in The Times, 14th January 2016)
(b) Explain one likely reason for the decrease in sales of PCs. (2)
June 2018 · AS Paper 1 · Q6(a) 5 marks AO1=1, AO2=2, AO3=2 Diagram
Data and extracts for question 6Energy markets Figure 1: Annual surplus or shortage of uranium, measured in millions of kilograms 25 Kg millions 15 5 0 -5 -15 -25 Figures from 2016 are forecast (Source: adapted from http://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2016/11/20/uranium- the-unloved-metal-whose-price-is-poised-to-go-radioactiv/) Extract A Uranium: the unloved metal Uranium is a fuel source for nuclear energy production. The price of uranium has fallen to a 13-year low. Uranium is a relatively common metal but locating it in the right concentrations can be difficult. Australia has the biggest known resource of uranium, followed by Kazakhstan. Kazakhstan’s production has increased significantly since 2007, 5 accounting for a large proportion of the surplus of this metal. Given the large stockpiles of uranium some firms have ceased production. The biggest impact on the uranium market has been the devastating accident at the nuclear power station in Fukushima, Japan, in 2011. The accident caused a leak of radiation. The accident reduced confidence in the entire nuclear industry, as high doses 10 of radiation leaks increase the risk of cancer. In addition the high cost of safely storing radioactive waste has delayed the building of new nuclear power stations. Japan initially closed all of its 50 nuclear power stations which reduced the demand for uranium. But it has since concluded that nuclear power must be part of its mix of energy suppliers. Despite this setback in 2016 work started on a new uranium mine in Spain to meet 15 the expected rise in demand for the metal. Uranium is a controlled material, so mining companies have to comply with many regulations before opening a new mine. When it opens in 2018, this will be the only uranium mine in Europe, producing 2.2 million kilos a year. It has been in development for more than a decade. Most developed countries, with the notable exception of Germany, have concluded that 20 nuclear power is an essential part of their energy supply. The US and UK are committed to building new nuclear power stations, the latter providing a £30 billion subsidy to build a new nuclear plant at Hinkley Point. China is also building a further 60 nuclear power stations. Supporters of nuclear power say it provides a reliable source of energy at a time when 25 the world’s population is increasing, unlike solar power and wind power which both vary with the weather. In addition they argue that no country can significantly reduce carbon emissions, which are causing climate change, without nuclear. France and the UK have committed themselves to shut down all coal-fired power stations by 2025. So demand for uranium over the next two decades seems guaranteed. 30 (Source: adapted from Uranium: the unloved metal whose price is poised to go radioactive, Jon Yeomans, The Telegraph, 20 November 2016 http://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2016/11/20/uranium-the- unloved-metal-whose-price-is-poised-to-go-radioactiv/) Extract B Irrational consumers pay the price The UK Government has announced that it might introduce maximum price controls on energy used by households. The UK’s largest energy suppliers are braced for what could be the industry’s most significant government intervention following a decade of rising energy bills and low 5 numbers of consumers switching between energy providers. The Prime Minister promised to intervene because the energy market is “manifestly not working” for consumers. Energy prices have risen by 158% in the last 15 years, and four million households, especially those on low incomes, are still on the most expensive energy rates. 10 Some energy analysts have warned the Government against taking a highly interventionist approach that could undermine the energy market and leave customers paying higher prices in the future. (Source: adapted from http://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2017/03/22/ governments-pledge-cut-energy-prices-risks-leaving-consumers/) Extract C The economics of climate change Rising carbon dioxide emissions result from the increase in the use of coal, gas and oil in transport and for energy production. In addition, deforestation, food production and processing methods make the problem worse. These carbon emissions are causing a rise in global average temperatures, known as climate change. Climate change could cause 5 hundreds of millions of people to suffer hunger, water shortages and coastal flooding. Three elements of policy are required for an effective global response to reduce carbon emissions. The first is the pricing of carbon, implemented through tax, trading pollution permits or regulation. The second policy is to support innovation and the deployment of low-carbon technologies. And the third is action to remove barriers to energy efficiency, 10 and to inform, educate and persuade individuals about what they can do to respond to climate change. (Source: adapted from www.sternreview.org.uk/)
(a) With reference to Figure 1 and Extract A, explain why the price of uranium has ‘fallen to a 13-year low’ (Extract A, lines 2 and 3) in 2016. Include a supply and demand diagram in your answer. (5)
June 2018 · Paper 1 · Q6(a) 5 marks AO1=1, AO2=1, AO3=3 Short answer
Data and extracts for question 6The UK energy market Figure 1: UK retail electricity and gas real price indices, 2004–2015 Gas Electricity Indices: 2010 (base) = 100 140 index 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 (Source: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/5773de34e5274a0da3000113/ final-report-energy-market-investigation.pdf) Figure 2: UK retail electricity and gas supply: market share by company, 2016 Company Electricity Gas % % British Gas 23 36 EON 16 13 SSE 16 13 EDF 12 8 Scottish Power 11 9 RWE (nPower) 10 9 Other companies 12 12 Total 100 100 (Sources: https://www.ofgem.gov.uk/chart/ electricity-supply-market-shares-company-domestic-gb and https://www.ofgem.gov.uk/data-portal/retail-market-indicators) Extract A Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) report into the UK energy market An investigation into the UK energy market by the CMA concluded that customers have been paying £1.4 billion a year more than they would in a fully competitive market. It found that 70% of domestic customers of the six largest energy firms were on an expensive standard rate. These customers could each save over £300 a year by switching 5 to a cheaper deal but appear reluctant to do so. However, the CMA investigation found no evidence of anti-competitive practices by firms. There has even been an increase in new entrant energy suppliers over recent years and their combined market share has reached 12% in both gas and electricity supply. To protect consumers, the CMA has introduced various measures to open up and 10 increase competition in the UK energy market. These include: • the creation of a database designed to help consumers switch energy suppliers – rival suppliers can directly contact these customers • the conversion of all homes to smart energy meters making it easier for customers to measure energy consumption and switch supplier 15 • new rules to protect the four million vulnerable customers using prepaid meters – this includes a temporary price cap until smart meters have been installed. (Source: adapted from ‘Competition and Markets Authority Final report into Energy Market Investigation’ https://www.gov.uk/government/ news/cma-publishes-final-energy-report-in-full) Extract B Proposals to regulate profits in the UK energy market Currently energy retail companies make an average profit of 7% of total revenue. The Chairman of the Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) suggested that these profits are as much as five times higher than they should be, given the companies’ limited role in marketing, metering and billing customers. He recommended a profit cap of 1.25% of 5 total revenue. However, Scottish Power criticised proposals for regulating profits saying that it would reduce investment in the energy industry and undermine long-term energy provision. The firm claimed that such a low rate of return is below the profit margin made by supermarkets. 10 All six large energy firms are vertically integrated – producing as well as distributing gas and electricity. This can provide efficiency benefits but also harm competition. (Source: adapted from ‘Profit cap doesn’t fit with new investment, energy boss warns’, by Robin Pagnamenta, The Times, 19th September 2016) Extract C Skills shortages in the UK energy sector The energy sector is facing a skills shortage of engineers and technicians. Some 29% of employers in the gas and electricity industries report unfilled job vacancies compared with an average of 18% across all industries. A lack of information and advice on career prospects for young people is partly to blame 5 - many graduates have a negative image of the work involved. There is also a lack of students taking science, technology, engineering and maths-based subjects at school and university. Less than one-fifth of the energy sector’s workforce are women. The energy sector is characterised by an ageing workforce - data from the UK Labour Force Survey reveal that around two-thirds of workers are aged over 50. These cannot 10 easily be replaced as a long time period is required for training and developing workers’ skills in a highly regulated industry. Urgent action is required by businesses and the government to reduce labour immobility to benefit the energy sector. This action could include policies to increase investment in training programmes, recruit skilled workers from overseas, change the industry image 15 and deal with its ageing workforce. (Source: adapted from ‘Sector insights: skills and performance challenges in the energy sector’, by the UK Commission for Employment and Skills, March 2015; https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_ data/file/416998/15.03.25._Energy_SLMI_-_evidence_report.pdf)
(a) With reference to Figure 1, explain one likely reason for the overall trend in the real price of gas and electricity. (5)
June 2018 · Paper 3 · Q1(e) 25 marks AO1=4, AO2=4, AO3=8, AO4=9 25-mark essay Either/or
Data and extracts for question 1Branded coffee shops Figure 1: Market share of UK branded coffee shops, 2015, percentages Others Costa Coffee 29% 31% Pret a Manger 5% Morrisons Starbucks 6% 13% Tesco Caffè Nero 7% 9% (Source: http://metro.co.uk/2015/12/14/the-uks-most-popular- coffee-shop-has-been-revealed-5564569/) Figure 2: Number of Starbucks coffee shops worldwide, 2003–2016 Number of coffee shops 30 000 25 085 25 000 23 043 21 366 19 767 20 000 18 066 17 003 16 63516 858 16 680 15 011 15 000 12 440 8 569 10 241 10 000 7 225 5 000 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 (Source: https://www.statista.com/statistics/266465/ number-of-starbucks-stores-worldwide/) Figure 3: Price comparison in selected London coffee retailers, February 2017 Coffee style Starbucks Costa Coffee Caffè Nero Greggs McDonald’s Espresso Double £2.00 £2.00 £1.70 £1.65 £0.99 Latte Medium £2.60 £2.50 £2.50 £1.80 £1.79 Latte Large £2.80 £2.70 £2.80 £2.10 £2.09 (Source: data collected from coffee shops in Holborn, London on 25 February 2017) Extract A Starbucks in Britain – a loss-making business? Coffee shops are among the most profitable parts of the food and drink industry, and few are doing quite as well as Starbucks, a US-based transnational company. Starbucks may be complaining of adverse global market conditions but that did not stop the world’s biggest coffee chain from reporting record annual profits in 2016. It made a profit of 5 almost US$4.2 billion for the year, up 16% on 2015. That was mainly the result of a strong performance in its biggest market, America, where revenue rose 11%. The fastest growth was in the China and Asia Pacific region, with revenue up 23%. Howard Schultz, the CEO of Starbucks, said its Chinese coffee shops were the most efficient and profitable. While Starbucks still makes most of its profit in the US, Mr Schultz has said expansion in China 10 will secure its future for “decades to come” and announced plans to more than double the number of shops in China to 5 000 by 2021. However its British subsidiary, at first glance, appears to be doing less well. It has announced its first ever profit in Britain in 2015 – of just £1 million – despite opening its first coffee shop in the UK in 1998. It now has 849 UK outlets. The main reason why 15 Starbucks has reported persistent losses in the UK is not due to a lack of demand for its coffee, but to minimise its tax bill. It is claimed that some of Starbucks’ revenue earned in the UK is transferred to its Dutch subsidiary, which is charged lower rates of tax. Starbucks is not finding life as easy in Britain as in the USA. It faces competition from home-grown chains such as Costa and Caffè Nero. Accusations of tax avoidance have also 20 damaged Starbucks’ sales to the benefit of its competitors. A survey found that a third less people rated Starbucks as their preferred coffee shop than they did before the tax- avoidance allegations were first published. These issues have forced Starbucks to change its strategy. It has slowed down its expansion plans in the UK and has closed 67 underperforming coffee shops over the past 25 year. It has also tried to repair its reputation by transferring its European headquarters from Amsterdam to London. (Sources: adapted from The Economist 14 February 2015 http://www.economist.com/ news/business-and-finance/21643271-tax and Starbucks company report 2016 and http://s21.q4cdn.com/369030626/files/doc_financials/ 2015/Starbucks-Fiscal-2015_Financial-Highlights.pdf) Extract B Tax on disposable coffee cups? Two and a half billion disposable cups are thrown away every year in the UK, that is, seven million every day. Only one in 400 is recycled. The UK Environment Minister has suggested that a coffee cup tax could work in a similar manner to the plastic bag charge. The 5 pence a bag charge has led to an 85% reduction in the number of bags 5 being given out since October 2015. It is estimated that introducing a tax on disposable coffee cups would cut usage by two billion every year. One environment spokesperson, Kate Parminter, said: “We’ve seen how dramatically a small charge has affected public behaviour when it comes to the plastic bags and it is clearly time to extend it to coffee cups. Most people purchase a tea or coffee and throw away the cup without even 10 thinking about it, but a charge would increase our awareness of the environmental impact.” In response, another MP welcomed her comments but said he did not believe a tax was the solution. He said: “My initial reaction is charging 5p or 10p for the cup will not work. It will not encourage people to take their own cups in if a coffee goes up from £2.60 to 15 £2.65. I suspect a more technological answer is what we need – either the composition of the disposable cups being changed so they’re more easily recyclable, or changing the technology in the recycling.” Disposable coffee cups contain a plastic coating inside the cups which prevent them from becoming soggy, making them difficult to recycle. There are just two specialist 20 facilities in the UK that have the required equipment to separate plastic from paper for recycling. Almost no recycled paper is used in the production of disposable cups, meaning that some 43 000 trees must be cut down annually to keep up with the demand. CO emissions of around 83 000 tonnes are generated every year for their production. 25 (Sources: adapted from http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/disposable-coffee- cups-could-be-taxed-like-plastic-bags-environment-minister-says-a6938126.html 05/09/16 and https://www.cchdaily.co.uk/lib-dems-call-5p-plastic-bag-tax-coffee-cups) Extract C German city of Freiburg takes action on cutting the use of disposable coffee cups The ‘Freiburg cup’, made from dishwasher-proof plastic, can be reused hundreds of times. Cups are issued with a one-euro deposit, and can be returned to any of the participating coffee shops in the German city. The cups, which are provided to coffee shops by local councils, are washed in the cafés and bakeries that have signed up to the scheme before 5 being reused. 56 coffee retailers have signed up, and 10 000 cups are being used. One of the main obstacles facing a wider-reaching scheme, however, is the number of café chains in Germany that are unwilling to use unbranded multi-use cups, particularly Starbucks and McDonald’s. Starbucks already offers a discounted coffee for customers with a multi-use cup, but only if it is bearing the unmistakable Starbucks logo. 10 (Source: adapted from http://www.dw.com/en/germanys-love-for-coffee-to-go- leaves-environmental-groups-demanding-action/a-36689719)
(e) With reference to the information provided and your own knowledge, evaluate the microeconomic and macroeconomic effects of increased UK demand for coffee at branded coffee shops. (25)
June 2017 · Paper 1 · Q1(a) 4 marks AO1=2, AO2=2 Calculation
Data and extracts for question 11 The table shows market data for e-cigarette kits. The original equilibrium price is £23. Quantity Quantity New quantity New quantity Price demanded per supplied per demanded per supplied per £ month (000) month (000) month (000) month (000) 25 5 9 24 6 8 23 7 7 22 8 6 21 9 5 As a result of a successful advertising campaign, demand increased by 3 000 e-cigarette kits at all prices. At the same time production costs fell leading to an increase in supply of 1 000 e-cigarette kits at all prices.
(a) Calculate the new equilibrium price and quantity following the successful advertising campaign and the fall in production costs. Use the last two columns for your working. (4)
June 2017 · AS Paper 1 · Q2(a) 1 mark AO1=1 Definition
Data and extracts for question 22 The table below shows UK wheat production between 2010 and 2015. Index numbers of wheat Wheat production Year production (‘000 tonnes) (2010 is base year) 2010 14 878 100 2011 15 257 2012 13 261 2013 11 921 80.1 2014 16 606 111.6 2015 16 129 108.4 (Source: adapted from https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/ system/uploadsattachment_data/file/466383/farming- statistics-2015-wheat-and-barley-production-uk.pdf)
(a) Define the term ‘base year’. (1)
June 2017 · AS Paper 1 · Q2(b) 2 marks AO2=2 Calculation
Data and extracts for question 22 The table below shows UK wheat production between 2010 and 2015. Index numbers of wheat Wheat production Year production (‘000 tonnes) (2010 is base year) 2010 14 878 100 2011 15 257 2012 13 261 2013 11 921 80.1 2014 16 606 111.6 2015 16 129 108.4 (Source: adapted from https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/ system/uploadsattachment_data/file/466383/farming- statistics-2015-wheat-and-barley-production-uk.pdf)
(b) Calculate the index numbers for 2011 and 2012, using 2010 as the base year. (2)
June 2017 · AS Paper 1 · Q2(c) 1 mark AO2=1 Multiple choice
Data and extracts for question 22 The table below shows UK wheat production between 2010 and 2015. Index numbers of wheat Wheat production Year production (‘000 tonnes) (2010 is base year) 2010 14 878 100 2011 15 257 2012 13 261 2013 11 921 80.1 2014 16 606 111.6 2015 16 129 108.4 (Source: adapted from https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/ system/uploadsattachment_data/file/466383/farming- statistics-2015-wheat-and-barley-production-uk.pdf)
(c) The percentage change in wheat production from 2014 to 2015 was: (1) A 0.03 B –2.87 C –2.95 D –477
June 2017 · AS Paper 1 · Q3(c) 2 marks AO2=2 Diagram
Data and extracts for question 33 In 2015 the UK government cut subsidies for the installation of solar energy panels.
(c) Annotate the diagram below to show the effect of removing the solar panel installation subsidy on the equilibrium price and quantity. (2) Solar panel installation market diagram Price of solar panels supply Pe demand Quantity of 0 solar panels Qe
June 2017 · AS Paper 1 · Q4(a) 3 marks AO1=1, AO2=1, AO3=1 Short answer
Data and extracts for question 44 The excess supply of carbon steel has recently caused its global price to fall below $530 per tonne. (Source: adapted from http://www.meps.co.uk/allproducts%20steel%20price.htm)
(a) Explain how the price mechanism responds to excess supply in a free market. (3)
June 2017 · AS Paper 1 · Q5(a) 3 marks AO1=1, AO2=1, AO3=1 Short answer
Data and extracts for question 55 Universities UK raised concerns about the proposal to reduce the maximum tuition fees (fee cap) for undergraduate courses in England from £9 000 to £6 000. It stated “This unfunded proposal to reduce the fee cap would damage the quality of experience our universities could deliver to students and remove opportunities for those seeking to benefit from a university education”. (Source: adapted from tuition fees 2015 Times letter Universities UK http://www.universitiesuk.ac.uk/highereducation/ Pages/UUKboardFeesLetter.aspx#.VjoQRbfhDIU)
(a) Explain why reducing the tuition fee cap may result in excess demand for university places. (3)
June 2017 · AS Paper 1 · Q6(a) 5 marks AO1=1, AO2=2, AO3=2 Diagram
Data and extracts for question 6The market for cigarettes Figure 1: Price elasticity of demand - a comparison between tobacco and e-cigarettes Price of packet of 20 Price of tobacco cigarettes e-cigarette kit £7.70–£9.50 £9.99–£19.99 Average price per Single cigarette equivalent tobacco cigarette price of an e-cigarette 48p 7p Price elasticity of demand Price elasticity of demand for tobacco cigarettes for e-cigarettes –0.35 –1.9 (Source: adapted from https://www.blucigs.co.uk/united-kingdom/kits/all-kits) Extract A Government intervention on tobacco There was a time when smoking was fashionable. Television and magazine advertisements glorified smoking. Everyone from your dad to your doctor smoked in all places – cars, restaurants and even hospitals. Tobacco is still the single biggest cause of cancer in the world and the leading cause of preventable deaths. Nearly 80% of the 1 billion smokers worldwide live in low- and 5 middle-income countries. Bans on tobacco advertising, promotion and sponsorship can reduce tobacco consumption. Comprehensive smoking bans covering indoor workplaces, public places and public transport have been introduced in 48 countries. Tobacco taxes are the most cost-effective way to reduce tobacco use, especially among 10 the young and people in low-income groups. A tax increase that raises tobacco prices by 10% decreases tobacco consumption by 4% in high-income countries and 5% in low- and middle-income countries. However, some 8 million people are expected to die each year by 2030 – because they have smoked tobacco or have been exposed to passive smoking. The use of alternative 15 products such as electronic cigarettes (e-cigarettes) are gaining in popularity but information about their effects is uncertain. Little research has yet been done about the long-term health effects of e-cigarettes and the nicotine dispensed by e-cigarettes is highly addictive. The illegal tobacco market still counts for 1 in every 10 cigarettes consumed globally. In addition, tobacco companies still spend tens of billions of dollars 20 each year on advertising and promoting tobacco products and sponsoring events. They continuously challenge the regulatory measures governments are taking. (Source: adapted from http://www.who.int/topics/tobacco/en/ and http://www.who.int/ mediacentre/commentaries/reducing-tobacco-use/en/) Extract B Free market approach Are free markets incompatible with good health? If the solution to every problem involves banning advertising, raising prices and restricting availability, you might easily conclude that the free market is the disease and government regulation is the cure. From this perspective, the providers of food, alcohol and tobacco are determined to push the most unhealthy products on the public at the lowest prices. 5 Contrary to this viewpoint, the profit motive is not unhealthy. Businesses have an obvious incentive to keep their customers alive and customers have a strong incentive to seek out healthier options. Any company that can make a scientifically sound health claim gains a competitive advantage over its rivals. Health sells. In contrast, government regulation can lead to negative health outcomes. Markets can correct themselves long before 10 government failures are even acknowledged. Over a million Britons, almost all of whom are smokers or ex-smokers, use e-cigarettes, as a less hazardous product than cigarettes and yet e-cigarettes face increased regulations and in many countries they are banned. It is neither consistent nor ethical to prevent smokers from switching to much safer alternatives. Efforts to regulate e-cigarettes are a far greater threat to public health than 15 the products themselves. We argue that the interests of consumers are nearly always better advanced by the provision of accurate information and free choice than by prohibitions and regulations. The government policy of small but steady tax rises on tobacco and ever-larger warning labels is becoming less effective and leads to unintended consequences. 20 (Source: adapted from http://www.iea.org.uk/blog/free-market-solutions-in-health- should-be-allowed-to-flourish, Christopher Snowdon, 11th July 2013)
(a) Explain why ‘bans on tobacco advertising’ (Extract A, line 7) may result in a decrease in the revenue of tobacco firms. Include a supply and demand diagram in your answer. (5)
June 2016 · AS Paper 1 · Q4(a) 3 marks AO1=1, AO2=2 Short answer
Data and extracts for question 44 A restaurant in London offers an “all you can eat buffet for £8.99”. At this price you can refill your plate as many times as you like.
(a) With reference to the statement above explain what is meant by ‘diminishing marginal utility’. (3)
June 2016 · AS Paper 1 · Q4(b) 1 mark Multiple choice
Data and extracts for question 44 A restaurant in London offers an “all you can eat buffet for £8.99”. At this price you can refill your plate as many times as you like.
(b) If the price of an “all you can eat buffet” fell from £8.99 to £6.99, which one of the following is likely to happen? (1) A There is an extension in demand B The demand curve shifts to the left C The supply curve shifts to the left D There is a contraction in demand
June 2016 · AS Paper 1 · Q6(b) 10 marks AO1=2, AO2=2, AO3=2, AO4=4 10-mark response
Data and extracts for question 6The market for housing Figure 1 – Estimates of the price elasticity of supply of new housing, selected countries 2.5 2.0 1.5 Price elasticity of supply 1.0 0.5 0.0 (Source: adapted from Caldera Sánchez, A. and Å. Johansson (2011), “The Price Responsiveness of Housing Supply in OECD Countries”, Figure 3, OECD Economics Department Working Papers, No. 837, OECD Publishing. http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/5kgk9qhrnn33-en) Figure 2 – Index of UK house prices (1993 = 100) 400 375 350 325 300 275 250 225 200 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 2007 2008 2008 2009 2009 2010 2010 2011 2011 2012 2012 2013 2013 2014 2014 2015 (Source: http://www.nationwide.co.uk/about/house-price-index/download-data#~ ) Extract A Problems facing UK first time buyers Over a third of aspiring first time buyers in the UK have given up hope of ever being able to save for a deposit to buy a property, new research has found. A deposit is the minimum amount that must be paid upfront when buying a property, which is a proportion of the price of the property. The UK Government has a Help to Buy scheme designed to help people buy a home. The 5 government subsidises the mortgage (loan) needed to buy a property, so buyers require a smaller amount saved as a deposit. Under this scheme, first time buyers need as little as a 5% deposit to qualify for a mortgage. This is due to end in the first few months of 2017. The research from mortgage insurer Genworth says this will mean a return to 20% deposits, which would see the average time needed to save for a deposit rise from three 10 years to over 10 years. “Trying to buy your first home in the current climate is like chasing a runaway train. Even with good salaries that could comfortably support a mortgage, thousands of aspiring first time buyers can only save modest sums, especially those who are already paying rent. This deposit trap is why many feel they are left with the all or nothing choice of 15 borrowing from family or waving goodbye to ever owning a home,” said Simon Crone, a vice president at Genworth. “Help to Buy has significantly improved access to mortgages with deposits that are actually realistic to save. The numbers using the scheme may be modest, but it has made significant inroads in the short-term to boost access at the lower end of the property 20 market,” he pointed out. (Source: adapted from http://www.propertywire.com/news/europe/ uk-first-time-buyers-201409309641.html September 2014) Extract B Housing and flood defences A radical new approach to housing and a £2.3 billion of investment in flood defences were announced as part of the UK Government’s new National Infrastructure Plan 2014. One key proposal is for the government to plan, build and sell homes. An initial programme on a government-owned former airfield near Cambridge will see the development of 10 000 homes. This approach will fast track the development by 5 providing certainty and making new homes available more quickly. The government will make the initial investment but expects that later costs will be met through the sale of land and homes. It will also evaluate the feasibility and economic effects of rolling out this model on a wider scale, to support and accelerate housing supply. The plan also commits to £2.3 billion of capital investment to over 1400 flood defence 10 projects in a 6-year programme of investment. As a result, over 300 000 homes will be better protected and over £30 billion of economic damages prevented. Major projects that will benefit include £42 million for the Oxford Flood Alleviation Scheme, £80 million for the Humber Estuary and over £17 million for Tonbridge, Yalding and the surrounding communities. 15 (Source: adapted from https://www.gov.uk/government/news/ambitious-plans-for-housing-flood-defence- and-roads-set-out-in-national-infrastructure-plan-2014)
(b) With reference to Extract A, assess the likely impact of the Help to Buy scheme on the market for rented properties in the UK. (10)
June 2016 · AS Paper 1 · Q6(d) 4 marks AO1=2, AO2=2 Calculation
Data and extracts for question 6The market for housing Figure 1 – Estimates of the price elasticity of supply of new housing, selected countries 2.5 2.0 1.5 Price elasticity of supply 1.0 0.5 0.0 (Source: adapted from Caldera Sánchez, A. and Å. Johansson (2011), “The Price Responsiveness of Housing Supply in OECD Countries”, Figure 3, OECD Economics Department Working Papers, No. 837, OECD Publishing. http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/5kgk9qhrnn33-en) Figure 2 – Index of UK house prices (1993 = 100) 400 375 350 325 300 275 250 225 200 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 2007 2008 2008 2009 2009 2010 2010 2011 2011 2012 2012 2013 2013 2014 2014 2015 (Source: http://www.nationwide.co.uk/about/house-price-index/download-data#~ ) Extract A Problems facing UK first time buyers Over a third of aspiring first time buyers in the UK have given up hope of ever being able to save for a deposit to buy a property, new research has found. A deposit is the minimum amount that must be paid upfront when buying a property, which is a proportion of the price of the property. The UK Government has a Help to Buy scheme designed to help people buy a home. The 5 government subsidises the mortgage (loan) needed to buy a property, so buyers require a smaller amount saved as a deposit. Under this scheme, first time buyers need as little as a 5% deposit to qualify for a mortgage. This is due to end in the first few months of 2017. The research from mortgage insurer Genworth says this will mean a return to 20% deposits, which would see the average time needed to save for a deposit rise from three 10 years to over 10 years. “Trying to buy your first home in the current climate is like chasing a runaway train. Even with good salaries that could comfortably support a mortgage, thousands of aspiring first time buyers can only save modest sums, especially those who are already paying rent. This deposit trap is why many feel they are left with the all or nothing choice of 15 borrowing from family or waving goodbye to ever owning a home,” said Simon Crone, a vice president at Genworth. “Help to Buy has significantly improved access to mortgages with deposits that are actually realistic to save. The numbers using the scheme may be modest, but it has made significant inroads in the short-term to boost access at the lower end of the property 20 market,” he pointed out. (Source: adapted from http://www.propertywire.com/news/europe/ uk-first-time-buyers-201409309641.html September 2014) Extract B Housing and flood defences A radical new approach to housing and a £2.3 billion of investment in flood defences were announced as part of the UK Government’s new National Infrastructure Plan 2014. One key proposal is for the government to plan, build and sell homes. An initial programme on a government-owned former airfield near Cambridge will see the development of 10 000 homes. This approach will fast track the development by 5 providing certainty and making new homes available more quickly. The government will make the initial investment but expects that later costs will be met through the sale of land and homes. It will also evaluate the feasibility and economic effects of rolling out this model on a wider scale, to support and accelerate housing supply. The plan also commits to £2.3 billion of capital investment to over 1400 flood defence 10 projects in a 6-year programme of investment. As a result, over 300 000 homes will be better protected and over £30 billion of economic damages prevented. Major projects that will benefit include £42 million for the Oxford Flood Alleviation Scheme, £80 million for the Humber Estuary and over £17 million for Tonbridge, Yalding and the surrounding communities. 15 (Source: adapted from https://www.gov.uk/government/news/ambitious-plans-for-housing-flood-defence- and-roads-set-out-in-national-infrastructure-plan-2014)
(d) With reference to Figure 2, calculate the percentage change in house prices between the first quarter of 2009 and the first quarter of 2015. You are advised to show your working. (4)

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