The labour market Theme 3

Where it is examined
A-level Paper 1 (and Paper 3)
Level
A level only
Specification
Section 3.5, 3 statements
Since 2016
25 question parts: 14 essays, 6 levels-marked responses, 2 multiple-choice items

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SeriesPaperQMarksTitle
June 2025Paper 1725High Speed 2 (HS2) was a £100 billion UK government rail project designed to expand the existing network. The journey time between London and Manchester would take just 1 hour and 11 minutes, 54 minutes quicker than today’s fastest time. Almost 900 homes, 1 000 businesses and around 60 ancient woodlands would be destroyed by its construction. (Source: adapted from https://www.independent.co.uk/climate-change/news/ hs2-railway-route-houses-demolish-woodland-destroy-environment- impact-london-birmingham-manchester-a8582316.html) Evaluate the likely microeconomic effects of building major infrastructure projects.
June 2025Paper 1825In 2023, the UK prime minister Rishi Sunak said that he wanted to see all students in England study some form of mathematics until they reach the age of 18 to ‘ensure that they leave school better equipped for the jobs of the future’. This would require additional spending on education. Just half of all 16 to 19 year-olds study mathematics. Yet in a world where data is everywhere and statistics are vital in every job, the workforce will require more analytical skills than ever before. (Source: adapted from https://educationhub.blog.gov.uk/2023/01/04/ studying-maths-to-18-what-you-need-to-know/) Evaluate the likely microeconomic effects of increased spending on education.
June 2025Paper 32(d)25Evaluate the microeconomic and macroeconomic reasons for the fall in poverty in India.
June 2025Paper 32(e)25Evaluate the microeconomic and macroeconomic effects of rapid increases in population in India.
June 2024Paper 31(d)25Evaluate the microeconomic and macroeconomic factors that explain gender-based wage differences in the UK oil and gas industry.
June 2023Paper 31(d)25Evaluate microeconomic and macroeconomic policies that could be used to reduce inequality in the UK.
June 2023Paper 32(d)25Evaluate the microeconomic and macroeconomic effects of falling house prices.
June 2023Paper 32(e)25Evaluate the microeconomic and macroeconomic effects of labour shortages in the UK, or a developed economy of your choice.
June 2022Paper 1825Some occupations in the UK are facing large labour shortages. Hard-to-fill vacancies include qualified chefs, software engineers, construction workers and qualified nurses. (Source: adapted from https://www.ft.com/content/ 36baacce-ddd0-11e8-9f04-38d397e6661c) Evaluate the factors that might influence the supply of labour in an occupation of your choice.
June 2022Paper 31(e)25Evaluate the microeconomic and macroeconomic effects of significant increases in the minimum wage. Refer to restaurants or other food delivery services in your answer.
November 2021Paper 1725The national living wage, the minimum wage for 25-year-olds and over, is expected to rise to more than £10.50 an hour in 2024 compared with £8.72 in 2020. The wage does not apply to the UK’s self-employed and ‘gig economy’ workers. Some economists said the increase was ambitious. Business groups warned that employers in sectors such as social care could be hit hard. In large parts of the north of England the living wage has already reached two-thirds of local median earnings, said Professor Shackleton. (Source adapted from: https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2020/mar/11/budget-2020- national-living-wage-national-insurance) Evaluate the disadvantages of a significant increase in the national living wage on a specific labour market, such as that for social care workers.
November 2021Paper 31(e)25Evaluate the microeconomic and macroeconomic effects of increased government intervention in an industry. Refer to HCWs or another industry of your choice.
October 2020Paper 32(e)25Evaluate the microeconomic and macroeconomic effects of a decline in the literacy and numeracy skills of a country’s young workers.
June 2019Paper 1725In July 2017 it was announced that only a third of the BBC’s 96 top earning presenters were women and that its seven highest-paid presenters were all men. According to the High Pay Centre, in 2018, UK chief executives can earn 120 times more than the average full-time worker earning £28 758. With reference to an industry of your choice, evaluate why wage differences exist within the UK labour market.

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June 2025 · Paper 1 · Q5(a) 4 marks AO1=2, AO2=1, AO3=1 Diagram
Data and extracts for question 55 The National Minimum Wage for people over 23 rose by 9.7% to £10.42 in April 2023. The industry most affected is hospitality. (Source: adapted from https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/the-national- minimum-wage-in-2023/the-national-minimum-wage-in-2023)
(a) Draw a labour market diagram to show the likely impact of the increase in the National Minimum Wage for hospitality employees. (4)
June 2025 · Paper 1 · Q5(b) 1 mark Multiple choice
Data and extracts for question 55 The National Minimum Wage for people over 23 rose by 9.7% to £10.42 in April 2023. The industry most affected is hospitality. (Source: adapted from https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/the-national- minimum-wage-in-2023/the-national-minimum-wage-in-2023)
(b) There has been a significant decrease in the supply of agricultural workers in the UK. Which one of the following is the most likely cause of this decrease? (1) A Increased demand for UK-grown strawberries B Increased job security for qualified workers in the industry C Increased productivity of workers in the industry D Increased wages in the retail industry
June 2025 · Paper 1 · Q6(b) 8 marks AO1=2, AO2=2, AO3=2, AO4=2 8-mark response
Data and extracts for question 6Sources for use with SECTION B Read the following figure (1) and extracts (A to C) before answering Question 6. Question 6 Digital markets Figure 1: UK sales of selected best-selling video games, 2022 Name of game Game publisher Sales (quantity) Game price FIFA 23 Electronic Arts (EA) 2 530 510 £59.99 COD: MW II Activision 1 675 323 £59.99 Mario Kart 8 Nintendo 426 748 £39.99 Gran Turismo 7 Sony 356 630 £69.99 Minecraft Microsoft 219 679 £14.99 (Source: adapted from https://www.statista.com/statistics/274072/most-popular-games-in- the-united-kingdom-uk-by-unit-sales) Extract A Digital markets Digital markets refer to firms producing and buying information technology services. Examples include digital banking, online retailing, computer games and mobile applications (apps). The emergence of digital markets has brought about increased competition across a wide range of products and services. They have also been beneficial 5 for consumers who now have greater choice and access to higher-quality products at lower prices, for example, fashion clothing and language tuition. But while the digital revolution has enabled greater competition, it also presents some challenges for competition law enforcement. (Source: adapted from https://pearsonblog.campaignserver.co.uk/digital- markets-reform-of-competition-laws/) Extract B Addictive video games When consumers want to play a new video game, there are three payment options to access the full gaming experience. There is the price for the game (see Figure 1), the subscription fee to play online with friends (e.g. £13.99 a month) and there are many in-game purchases. For example, a Spiderman ‘skin’ which costs £9.99 enhances 5 the appearance of the player. The high prices do not seem to deter many new buyers, especially in markets such as sports and multi-player action games. 40% of the world’s population are online gamers. Young players spend up to 10–16 hours a day on their games due to the addictive nature of the games. The video games can take up to five years to develop and cost over £150 million to 10 produce with 200 full time employees working on the software. Starting salaries for software developers can be £100 000. However, some simple video games and apps cost as little as £23 000 to develop and take about six months. All the major firms – EA, Microsoft, Nintendo and Sony – offer subscriptions that give access to new game releases. The US technology company, Microsoft, is one of the 15 dominant firms in the market for subscription services. In October 2023, it merged with the game designer, Activision, which already owns one of the world’s most popular video games (see Figure 1). The £65 billion merger is the largest in the history of the video games industry. However, Sony is concerned that the Microsoft-Activision merger may restrict access to popular video games owned by Microsoft and therefore reduce competition. 20 (Source: adapted from https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2023/apr/26/what- does-uks-ban-on-microsofts-activision-blizzard-takeover-mean-for-gaming?) Extract C The growth of automation Automation is the use of technology to perform tasks previously carried out by humans. Automation has the potential to bring great economic benefits to both consumers and firms, contributing up to £12 trillion to global GDP by 2030. This extra income will also create demand for many new jobs. However, there are also concerns that it could 5 displace many existing workers. Financial services jobs are most at risk from automation in the shorter term and transport jobs, such as train drivers, in the longer run. For example, the growth of online banking has already led to the closure of many high street bank branches. By the mid-2030s, up to 30% of all jobs could be automated, with slightly more impact on men. 10 Another form of revenue for Microsoft is the artificial intelligence (AI) program ChatGPT. The growth of AI will require highly skilled workers such as trainers and engineers. Microsoft’s annual gross profit for 2023 was £146 billion, a 7.69% increase on 2022. (Source: adapted from https://www.economist.com/business/2023/03/26/ big-tech-and-the-pursuit-of-ai-dominance)
(b) With reference to Extract C, examine two effects of increased ‘automation’ on the demand for labour. (8)
June 2025 · Paper 1 · Q7 25 marks AO1=4, AO2=4, AO3=8, AO4=9 25-mark essay Either/or
7 High Speed 2 (HS2) was a £100 billion UK government rail project designed to expand the existing network. The journey time between London and Manchester would take just 1 hour and 11 minutes, 54 minutes quicker than today’s fastest time. Almost 900 homes, 1 000 businesses and around 60 ancient woodlands would be destroyed by its construction. (Source: adapted from https://www.independent.co.uk/climate-change/news/ hs2-railway-route-houses-demolish-woodland-destroy-environment- impact-london-birmingham-manchester-a8582316.html) Evaluate the likely microeconomic effects of building major infrastructure projects.
June 2025 · Paper 1 · Q8 25 marks AO1=4, AO2=4, AO3=8, AO4=9 25-mark essay Either/or
8 In 2023, the UK prime minister Rishi Sunak said that he wanted to see all students in England study some form of mathematics until they reach the age of 18 to ‘ensure that they leave school better equipped for the jobs of the future’. This would require additional spending on education. Just half of all 16 to 19 year-olds study mathematics. Yet in a world where data is everywhere and statistics are vital in every job, the workforce will require more analytical skills than ever before. (Source: adapted from https://educationhub.blog.gov.uk/2023/01/04/ studying-maths-to-18-what-you-need-to-know/) Evaluate the likely microeconomic effects of increased spending on education.
June 2025 · Paper 3 · Q1(b) 8 marks AO1=2, AO2=2, AO3=2, AO4=2 8-mark response
Data and extracts for question 1Sources for use with SECTION A Read Figures 1 and 2 and the following Extracts A, B, C and D before answering Question 1. The cost of living in the UK Figure 1: The price per litre of unleaded petrol in the UK, in pence, 2016–2023 200 Pence per litre 180 160 140 120 100 0 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 (Source adapted from: RAC) Figure 2: UK inflation, as measured by CPI, and wage growth (excluding bonuses), 3-month averages, 2012–2022 10 Inflation % (9.4%) 8 6 Wage growth (4.7%) 4 2 0 –2 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 (Source adapted from: ONS) Extract A Supermarket restrictions on multibuy deals and advertising Government rules limiting the location of unhealthy foods in shops began in 2022. Less healthy products are no longer promoted in key locations, such as checkouts, store entrances, aisle ends and their online equivalents. Rules banning multibuy deals on foods and drinks high in fat, salt or sugar (HFSS) – including buy one get 5 one free (BOGOF), ‘3 for 2’, and restrictions on free refills for soft drinks – were due in October 2023. The restrictions banning HFSS adverts on TV before 9pm and paid-for adverts online were set for January 2024. (Source adapted from: https://www.gov.uk/government/news/government-delays- restrictions-on-multibuy-deals-and-advertising-on-tv-and-online) Extract B Supermarket pay in 2023 Supermarkets have been increasing their hourly pay rates and most now pay significantly more than the National Minimum Wage, which was set at £10.42 in April 2023. Tesco made its biggest ever investment in employee pay in 2023, spending 5 £230 million to finance an increase in its basic hourly rate of pay, to £11.02 per hour, rising to £11.95 in London. The pay increase is the latest boost in employment benefits as supermarkets continue to compete for in-store workers, with Sainsbury’s and Asda both increasing pay to above £11 per hour in July 2023, while Aldi pays £11.40 an hour. 10 Supermarkets have found themselves facing criticism over pay that did not rise in line with inflation. Some workers are taking industrial action, such as strikes, working closely with trade unions. (Source adapted from: https://www.grocerygazette.co.uk/2023/02/22/supermarket-pay-rate-2023/) Extract C Supermarket petrol pricing In 2023 David Potts, the boss of Morrisons, admitted that supermarkets increased profits at the petrol pumps as he was questioned in a parliamentary committee alongside executives from Tesco, Sainsbury’s and Asda who denied they were making more profit from keeping petrol prices high. 5 A Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) report indicates that supermarkets’ profits have doubled to 8% on fuel since 2017. It is expected to recommend that supermarkets must share local fuel prices on a comparison website in order to increase transparency and help bring down prices – a strategy tried successfully in Northern Ireland. All the supermarkets said they would welcome such a move. 10 In 2023, the RAC motoring group said that a price checker would be welcome but blamed high prices on the domination of petrol retailing in the UK by a few large supermarkets. “When the wholesale price of diesel fell this spring, we saw average retailer margin reach 22p a litre which was more than three times the long-term margin of 7p. This cannot be allowed to continue when households are having to 15 contend with a cost of living crisis,” an RAC spokesperson said. At the committee, one politician, Jane Hunt, said: “In 1978 there were many more supermarkets. Now there are very few…are you in fact a cartel?” (Source adapted from: https://www.theguardian.com/business/2023/jun/27/morrisons- boss-admits-supermarket-chains-have-hiked-profits-on-petrol) Extract D EU trade relations with the UK The Trade and Cooperation Agreement 2021 between the EU and the UK means that there are no tariffs or quotas on goods moving between the EU and UK, provided those goods meet the ‘rules of origin’ of a good, based on where the products or materials used in their production come from. They prevent goods 5 manufactured in outside countries being transported through the UK (or the EU) to avoid paying tariffs. To benefit from the zero tariff, businesses must show the origin of their goods. A product qualifies as ‘originating’ if it is ‘wholly obtained’ in the UK and EU or has been substantially transformed in one or both markets. That is why UK businesses 10 that re-export goods from outside countries with little or no further processing, may still face tariffs when trading with EU member states. ‘Rules of origin’ can be time consuming and complex. Some businesses cannot or do not wish to claim zero tariff because of the excessive administrative costs to firms. (Source adapted from: https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/new-customs-rules-for-trade-with-the-eu/)
(b) With reference to Extract B, examine two likely reasons why wages in supermarkets are above the National Minimum Wage of £10.42. (8)
June 2025 · Paper 3 · Q2(d) 25 marks AO1=4, AO2=4, AO3=8, AO4=9 25-mark essay Either/or
Data and extracts for question 2Sources for use with SECTION B Read Figure 3 and the following Extracts (E to G) before answering Question 2. The economy of India Figure 3: Selected economic data for India, 2006–2021 Human GDP per capita % people living in Year Development (US$) absolute poverty Index (HDI) value 2006 820.0 0.611 55.1 2016 1 714.3 0.624 27.7 2021 2 238.1 0.633 16.4 (Source adapted from: https://www.statista.com/statistics/1272613/india-multidimensional- poverty-index/; https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/; UN Human Development Reports) Extract E 135 million Indians escape absolute poverty in recent years Absolute poverty in India, measured by the number of people living on under US$2.15 a day, has fallen dramatically over the last 15 years. The government’s dedicated focus on improving access to sanitation, nutrition, cooking oil, banking services, drinking water and electricity has led to significant advances in these 5 areas. The $2.3 million provision of subsidised cooking oil has positively transformed lives, with a 14.6 percentage points improvement in the access to cooking oil. (Source adapted from: https://pib.gov.in/) Extract F Buffer stocks in India The Indian government is required to maintain a buffer stock of 11 million tonnes of wheat and 10 million tonnes of rice. The grains are purchased from farmers at the minimum support price and stored in secure warehouses across the country. India, once troubled by famine, has more recently managed to remain self-sufficient in 5 most food categories except edible oils, and is the world’s largest rice exporter. Even during the global health crisis 2020-2022, when the government distributed free food to nearly 800 million people, buffer stocks ran down but not out. Farmers are encouraged to produce more without any consideration of sustainability. (Source adapted from: https://ig.ft.com/india-population/) Extract G Population growth in India “The greatest obstacle in the path of overall economic development is the alarming rate of population growth,” was one Indian government minister’s view in 1967. In the 1970s, the Indian government took radical measures to try to prevent population growth, with little success. 5 Then, in the 1980s and 1990s, India began opening up its economy to the private sector. Policymakers began viewing a growing young population in the form of the so-called demographic dividend – when a majority of a country’s population is of working age (15-64 years) – as an engine for further economic development. In May 2023 India took over from China as the country with the highest population reaching 1.4 billion. However, 10 it needs enough well-paying jobs designed to serve the modern, urban economy. (Source adapted from: https://www.aljazeera.com/features/2023/4/18/overtaking-chinas- population-will-india-gain-or-lose)
(d) Evaluate the microeconomic and macroeconomic reasons for the fall in poverty in India. (25)
June 2025 · Paper 3 · Q2(e) 25 marks AO1=4, AO2=4, AO3=8, AO4=9 25-mark essay Either/or
Data and extracts for question 2Sources for use with SECTION B Read Figure 3 and the following Extracts (E to G) before answering Question 2. The economy of India Figure 3: Selected economic data for India, 2006–2021 Human GDP per capita % people living in Year Development (US$) absolute poverty Index (HDI) value 2006 820.0 0.611 55.1 2016 1 714.3 0.624 27.7 2021 2 238.1 0.633 16.4 (Source adapted from: https://www.statista.com/statistics/1272613/india-multidimensional- poverty-index/; https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/; UN Human Development Reports) Extract E 135 million Indians escape absolute poverty in recent years Absolute poverty in India, measured by the number of people living on under US$2.15 a day, has fallen dramatically over the last 15 years. The government’s dedicated focus on improving access to sanitation, nutrition, cooking oil, banking services, drinking water and electricity has led to significant advances in these 5 areas. The $2.3 million provision of subsidised cooking oil has positively transformed lives, with a 14.6 percentage points improvement in the access to cooking oil. (Source adapted from: https://pib.gov.in/) Extract F Buffer stocks in India The Indian government is required to maintain a buffer stock of 11 million tonnes of wheat and 10 million tonnes of rice. The grains are purchased from farmers at the minimum support price and stored in secure warehouses across the country. India, once troubled by famine, has more recently managed to remain self-sufficient in 5 most food categories except edible oils, and is the world’s largest rice exporter. Even during the global health crisis 2020-2022, when the government distributed free food to nearly 800 million people, buffer stocks ran down but not out. Farmers are encouraged to produce more without any consideration of sustainability. (Source adapted from: https://ig.ft.com/india-population/) Extract G Population growth in India “The greatest obstacle in the path of overall economic development is the alarming rate of population growth,” was one Indian government minister’s view in 1967. In the 1970s, the Indian government took radical measures to try to prevent population growth, with little success. 5 Then, in the 1980s and 1990s, India began opening up its economy to the private sector. Policymakers began viewing a growing young population in the form of the so-called demographic dividend – when a majority of a country’s population is of working age (15-64 years) – as an engine for further economic development. In May 2023 India took over from China as the country with the highest population reaching 1.4 billion. However, 10 it needs enough well-paying jobs designed to serve the modern, urban economy. (Source adapted from: https://www.aljazeera.com/features/2023/4/18/overtaking-chinas- population-will-india-gain-or-lose)
(e) Evaluate the microeconomic and macroeconomic effects of rapid increases in population in India. (25)
June 2024 · Paper 1 · Q6(b) 8 marks AO1=2, AO2=2, AO3=2, AO4=2 8-mark response
Data and extracts for question 6The electronics industry Extract A Rising prices of electronics devices Computer chips act as the “brain” in all electronic devices. Makers of electronic devices face significant increases in the price of computer chips as they try to source enough components, including games consoles, computers and smartphones. The price of some computer chips has jumped from $0.20 each to more than $1. The prices of electronic 5 devices have risen for a range of reasons, including higher material costs and the growing popularity of home entertainment. (Source: adapted from https://www.ft.com/content/8c718a74- cd95-4b2d-ac0e-de0682e4e3cd) Extract B Labour shortages in the electronics industry Every year, highly skilled and experienced employees in the electronics industry retire. The current tight labour market has made an already difficult problem of hiring suitable engineering and computing graduates worse, especially since the nature of the industry is becoming increasingly technical. As production becomes 5 more automated, electronics jobs are more likely to require problem solving and analysis than just assembling skills. However, artificial intelligence and other new technologies can help fill some of the skills gap. In addition, by giving hazardous, repetitive, grimy work to robots, human beings can focus on more creative, analytic tasks. 10 (Source: adapted from https://www.ericsson.com/en/blog/2021/12/ manufacturing-problems-that-keep-ceos-awake-at-night) Extract C Serious concerns over merger The Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) has said the takeover of the Cambridge- based computer chip designer Arm by its US rival Nvidia raises serious competition concerns. It has launched an in-depth investigation into the £29.5 billion deal. The CMA said the merger could reduce choice for firms reliant on computer chips, pushing 5 up prices of products including cars, games consoles and mobile phones. In addition, severe global shortages of computer chips has disrupted the manufacture of a range of electronic goods pushing up costs for firms. Despite this, large electronics firms benefit from economies of scale and are able to finance high-risk innovation and global advertising. 10 (Source adapted from: https://www.theguardian.com/ business/2021/aug/20/watchdog-expresses-concerns- over-nvidias-takeover-of-uk-chip-designer-arm ) Extract D The growing problem of electronic waste Electronic waste is the fastest growing element of the world’s household waste problem. The problem in the UK is particularly bad. The country produces 24.9 kg a person a year – nearly 10 kg more than the EU average. In 2018, 1.2 million tonnes of electrical devices were sold in the UK, and 500 000 tonnes made it to recycling centres. Some appliances 5 are more likely to be recycled than others. The recycling rate for big appliances, such as fridges and cookers, is about 80%. Of small appliances, barely one in five makes it to the recycling centre. As items such as toasters, hairdryers and headphones fit into household bins, they are not often taken to a recycling centre. This causes many problems, such as hazardous substances contaminating soil, water pollution and other external costs. 10 Policy makers have a long list of options to combat this problem including stricter regulation, environmental education, taxation and financial incentives. In some countries, for example, household rubbish is weighed and recycling initiatives are subsidised. (Source adapted from: https://www.ft.com/content/26e1aa74- 2261-11ea-92da-f0c92e957a96)
(b) Examine two factors which might influence the supply of labour in the electronics industry. (8)
June 2024 · Paper 3 · Q1(d) 25 marks AO1=4, AO2=4, AO3=8, AO4=9 25-mark essay Either/or
Data and extracts for question 1The energy market Figure 1: UK wholesale gas prices per therm, 2021, in pence 500p Price per therm 400p 352p 300p 200p 100p 0p Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Figure 2: Number of firms supplying gas and electricity in the UK, 2004–2021 80 60 40 20 0 2004 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 21 Gas and electricity Electricity Gas Extract A Rising gas prices UK consumers are some of the biggest users of gas. 85% of homes use gas central heating, and gas generates a third of the country’s electricity. North Sea gas is running out – and as Britain has replaced coal-fired energy production with wind power in order to reduce carbon emissions, it has become dependent on gas imports. 5 Almost all UK businesses face significant rises in fuel costs over the next few months, and there is no substitute for energy, at least in the short run – an almost perfect example of price inelastic demand. (Source: adapted from https://www.theecoexperts.co.uk/ blog/reasons-for-uk-gas-price-increase) Extract B The UK gas market is broken During the past decade the government has allowed new entrants into the retail energy market with business models that left them ill-prepared to achieve long term business growth. Now the UK must choose between letting its energy market collapse and offering large subsidies for energy retailers. 5 The problem began in the 1980s and 1990s, when privatisation created an oligopolistic energy market dominated by the “Big Six”, which paid their shareholders high dividends and their bosses excessive salaries. The government responded to anger over high energy bills with further liberalisation. Some of the new entrants were innovative, such as Bulb, which offered consumption-tracking apps, and Octopus, which discouraged 10 consumption when demand was high with dynamic pricing. But most were under- capitalised and produced no energy, merely buying it on global wholesale markets and selling it on. Some paid little attention to ensuring continuity of supply or forward buying of gas. The constraints on energy retailers worsened in 2017 with the closure of a big 15 gas-storage facility, which left the UK able to store just 2% of its annual demand. Other big gas importing countries, by contrast, can store 20%–30%. The risks rose further in 2019, when the government capped consumer prices in response to continued complaints about high energy bills. The perfect storm came in the summer of 2021. As economies opened up, global 20 demand for energy rose. Gas supply in Russia, a big producer, was disrupted, and unusually calm weather reduced UK wind turbine energy production to 11% of capacity. In August Ofgem, the industry regulator, said that from October the firms would be able to raise prices for households by 54%. But since then the wholesale price of gas paid by UK energy firms has risen by more than 70%. The result is that UK energy firms are tied 25 into contracts to supply gas to households at far less than they must pay to get it. (Source: adapted from https://www.economist.com/britain/britains-gas-market-is-broken/) Extract C The gender pay gap in the oil and gas industry Despite best efforts to try to attract more women into the oil and gas industry, females are still hugely under-represented in science, technology, engineering and maths careers, whether school leavers, graduates or experienced workers. Women hold under 25% of careers in these areas, and typically hold more non-technical roles, which can attract 5 lower salaries than technical disciplines. There is an even smaller female representation in the offshore workforce (3.6%) e.g. working on rigs in the North Sea, an area that pays higher salaries than onshore work. Despite continued efforts there is still a lack of female applications. Only 5% of the applications to the technical apprentice programme were female, of which half withdrew 10 their applications at the first stage of the recruitment process. There is also a low representation of females in senior leadership roles within the oil and gas industry, especially in technical positions. Women also generally take up part-time positions which are typically lower paid. This has resulted in the oil and gas industry having an average gap in hourly pay of 25%. 15 In the majority of developed countries, women have made substantial progress in the labour market since the 1970s, with both wages and labour force participation increasing relative to that for men. Notwithstanding these large improvements, women still earn less than ‘comparable’ men in all developed countries and, since the 2000s, progress for women in the labour market seems to have slowed. 20 (Source: adapted from https://www.harbourenergy.com/media/2a2nmavb/chr-18311- 01-gender-pay-gap-2020-v6-final.pdf and https://ftp.iza.org/dp10975.pdf)
(d) Evaluate the microeconomic and macroeconomic factors that explain gender-based wage differences in the UK oil and gas industry. (25)
June 2023 · Paper 1 · Q5(a) 1 mark AO2=1 Multiple choice
Data and extracts for question 55 Index of pay in the public and private sector. Nominal average weekly earnings (base year January 2018 = 100) 120 118 Private Sector 115 114 Index 110 Public Sector 105 100 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 (Source adapted from: https://www.ft.com/content/48dafbb9- 371d-4683-9afb-26652add888c)
(a) Which one of the following is the ratio of public sector pay relative to private sector pay in 2022? (1) A 1 : 0.97 B 1 : 1.04 C 1 : 4.0 D 1 : 14.0
June 2023 · Paper 1 · Q5(b) 4 marks AO1=2, AO2=1, AO3=1 Short answer
Data and extracts for question 55 Index of pay in the public and private sector. Nominal average weekly earnings (base year January 2018 = 100) 120 118 Private Sector 115 114 Index 110 Public Sector 105 100 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 (Source adapted from: https://www.ft.com/content/48dafbb9- 371d-4683-9afb-26652add888c)
(b) Over 90% of nurses work in the public sector. Nurses in the public sector have experienced wage rises lower than those in the private sector over the past 10 years. (Source adapted from: https://www.nuffieldtrust.org.uk/resource/chart-of- the-week-real-terms-nhs-staff-pay-from-2010-to-2020) Using the information provided and the concept of monopsony, explain why nurses in the public sector have had lower wage rises than those in the private sector. (4)
June 2023 · Paper 3 · Q1(d) 25 marks AO1=4, AO2=4, AO3=8, AO4=9 25-mark essay Either/or
Data and extracts for question 1The UK economy Figure 1: UK gas prices in pence per therm, August 2002 to August 2022 600 500 400 Pence per 300 therm 200 100 0 Aug Aug Aug 2002 2012 2022 Figure 2: UK inflation, CPI, August 2002 to August 2022 10 9.9 8 6 (%) 4 2 0 –2 Aug Aug Aug 2002 2012 2022 Extract A Fiscal policy changes in the UK, Autumn 2022 After many changes in policy, people earning above £150 000 will now no longer benefit from the tax cut in the September 2022 mini‑budget, which proposed the removal of the 45% tax band. The proposed change in the main 20% standard rate of income tax moving to 19% has been postponed. 5 In April 2022, a 1.25% rise in national insurance contributions was implemented, labelled as a health and social care levy. It was cancelled in Autumn 2022. Britain’s poorest households would have lost £7.56 a year from the national insurance rise. The richest 10% of households, earning an average of £108 000, would have lost £1 800. Another measure in the Truss Government’s £30 billion tax cut proposals that would have 10 benefitted the rich, was the removal of the 2023 planned rise in corporation tax from 19% to 25%. The former chancellor wanted to cut the tax to 15% but this was the wrong time to do this. The former chancellor also removed the 2014 cap on bankers’ bonuses, clearly an unfair decision at the time when public sector workers were told to accept pay caps to keep inflation under control. 15 The reflationary fiscal policy triggered warnings that the Monetary Policy Committee of the Bank of England would raise interest rates further – having already raised them from 0.1% in 2021 to 2.25% in September 2022. This meant an end to the fiscal rules set by the government in the recent past: debt to be falling as a share of national income by 2024 and no borrowing for day‑to‑day spending. 20 (Source: adapted from ‘Tax cuts benefit high income earners the most’ R Merrick The Independent: 19 September 2022 and FT Source: adapted from Sebastian Payne and Chris Giles in London 29 August 2022) Extract B Inequality to rise in the UK The rising cost of living is expected to affect low‑income families the most. Inflation in Autumn 2022 is expected to hit 14% for families in the poorest tenth of the income distribution, compared with 8% for families in the richest tenth, driven in large part by rising energy costs and food prices. Around half of the food consumed in the UK is 5 imported, and the 20% fall in the value of the pound in 2022 has affected lower income groups more because food is a higher proportion of their spending. The government’s decision to freeze benefits, rather than allowing them to rise in line with current inflation, means that the support provided is a real terms cut for families currently receiving high levels of benefits. A two‑year freeze on energy price caps will now only last until April 10 2023, which would have kept the average energy bill at £2 500 rather than £3 500. (Source: adapted from IFS Report: Living standards, poverty and inequality in the UK: July 2022 and https://www.ft.com/content/6de5b52e- 64c8-4997-8939-e1c59172daa7?shareType=nongift)
(d) Evaluate microeconomic and macroeconomic policies that could be used to reduce inequality in the UK. (25)
June 2023 · Paper 3 · Q2(d) 25 marks AO1=4, AO2=4, AO3=8, AO4=9 25-mark essay Either/or Hard
Data and extracts for question 2Changes in the nature of UK towns and cities Figure 3: Growing and declining high street firms – net change in store numbers, 2013–2022 Barbers Beauty salons Cafés and tearooms Nail salons Restaurants Fashion shops Estate agents Post Office services Clothes – women Banks and other financial institutions –4 000 –3 000 –2 000 –1 000 0 1 000 2 000 3 000 4 000 5 000 Net increase/decrease in store numbers (Source: adapted from https://www2.deloitte.com/uk/en/pages/consumer- business/articles/what-next-for-the-high-street.html) Figure 4: House price changes in the UK (%), 2005 to 2022 15 10 5 0 (%) –5 –10 –15 –20 2005 2010 2015 2020 2022 (Source: adapted from https://www.theguardian.com/money/2022/sep/28/ uk-house-prices-may-fall-20-amid-mortgage-carnage-warn-experts) Extract C What next for the high street? A high street is typically found in all UK towns and cities. Shops normally encountered in a typical UK high street can include successful small firms such as independent food retailers, cafés, nail and beauty salons, restaurants and charity shops. They differ from out‑of‑town shopping centres by being more diverse, family‑run and offering local or 5 personalised services. Customers are often very loyal. However, the high street may often have limited access by car or expensive parking facilities. The rise of online retailers such as Amazon and eBay have placed huge pressures on UK high streets, with many well‑known shops – and even successful retail chains – forced to close due to lost business. Many high street firms cannot compete on price with online 10 retailers who – because they frequently have very low fixed costs – can significantly undercut the high street shops on price. Even before online shopping, competition was eroding high street activity, with out‑of‑town retail parks that were not necessarily cheaper but provide a larger range of shops and offer plentiful parking. They offer a shopping experience that other retailing 15 cannot match – pleasant, safe pedestrian shopping, a clean environment, fun activities for children and spend‑the‑day‑there potential. While the list of retail and leisure failures might suggest that the high street does not have a future, some analysts argue the opposite. Many believe that the high street is ideally placed to reinvent itself in response to the structural shift in working and 20 shopping patterns that has resulted from the global health crisis 2020–22. The perceived weaknesses of the high street model – its fragmented ownership, lack of centralised coordination and high vacancy rates – become strengths as they lower the barriers to entry for new concepts and operators. They also enable risk taking and innovation that will ultimately lead to a more flourishing and diverse environment on our local high 25 streets. It should be possible for small firms to flourish even when staff shortages are pushing up wages in the high street, and house price falls damage consumer confidence and spending on perceived luxuries. (Source: adapted from https://www.designingbuildings.co.uk/ and https://www2.deloitte. com/uk/en/pages/consumer-business/articles/what-next-for-the-high-street.html) Extract D UK house prices may fall up to 20% Turmoil on the UK financial markets has prompted analysts to predict that house prices could fall dramatically, and many lenders in the mortgage sector are withdrawing deals. People coming to the end of their fixed‑rate mortgages are seeing rises from 2% to over 5.5%, with increases in the cost of borrowing of over £5 200 a year by 2024 for the 5 average mortgage in the UK. Many people think UK house prices will never fall, but analysts say the fall could be between 10% and 20%. One mortgage lender said that a lack of housing supply will not keep house prices up when mortgage interest rates are somewhere between 5% and 7%. He claimed that ‘the decade‑long property bubble is about to burst […] It’s a buyer’s market now’. The 10 greatest impact will be seen in the southeast of England. (Source: adapted from https://www.theguardian.com/money/2022/sep/28/ uk-house-prices-may-fall-20-amid-mortgage-carnage-warn-experts) Extract E UK job vacancies hit record 1.1 million as labour shortages increase The ratio of jobless people to vacancies is 1.45 to 1, lower than at any point in the last 40 years. Social care for example has 300 000 current unfilled posts. ‘Today’s figures show that labour shortages are now affecting the whole economy,’ said one analyst. ‘There are almost a million people fewer in the labour market, largely due to 5 younger people staying in education and older people dropping out of the workforce.’ The inactivity rate is 21.1%, and many people are not returning to work after the global health crisis. ‘People seeking work do not have the skills or availability that employers need,’ said Kitty Ussher, chief economist at the Institute of Directors. Firms offering higher wages does not solve the issue. 10 (Source: adapted from https://www.ft.com/content/463f4fbd- 3a50-45b5-891c-5cb5ba623df8)
(d) Evaluate the microeconomic and macroeconomic effects of falling house prices. (25)
June 2023 · Paper 3 · Q2(e) 25 marks AO1=4, AO2=4, AO3=8, AO4=9 25-mark essay Either/or Hard
Data and extracts for question 2Changes in the nature of UK towns and cities Figure 3: Growing and declining high street firms – net change in store numbers, 2013–2022 Barbers Beauty salons Cafés and tearooms Nail salons Restaurants Fashion shops Estate agents Post Office services Clothes – women Banks and other financial institutions –4 000 –3 000 –2 000 –1 000 0 1 000 2 000 3 000 4 000 5 000 Net increase/decrease in store numbers (Source: adapted from https://www2.deloitte.com/uk/en/pages/consumer- business/articles/what-next-for-the-high-street.html) Figure 4: House price changes in the UK (%), 2005 to 2022 15 10 5 0 (%) –5 –10 –15 –20 2005 2010 2015 2020 2022 (Source: adapted from https://www.theguardian.com/money/2022/sep/28/ uk-house-prices-may-fall-20-amid-mortgage-carnage-warn-experts) Extract C What next for the high street? A high street is typically found in all UK towns and cities. Shops normally encountered in a typical UK high street can include successful small firms such as independent food retailers, cafés, nail and beauty salons, restaurants and charity shops. They differ from out‑of‑town shopping centres by being more diverse, family‑run and offering local or 5 personalised services. Customers are often very loyal. However, the high street may often have limited access by car or expensive parking facilities. The rise of online retailers such as Amazon and eBay have placed huge pressures on UK high streets, with many well‑known shops – and even successful retail chains – forced to close due to lost business. Many high street firms cannot compete on price with online 10 retailers who – because they frequently have very low fixed costs – can significantly undercut the high street shops on price. Even before online shopping, competition was eroding high street activity, with out‑of‑town retail parks that were not necessarily cheaper but provide a larger range of shops and offer plentiful parking. They offer a shopping experience that other retailing 15 cannot match – pleasant, safe pedestrian shopping, a clean environment, fun activities for children and spend‑the‑day‑there potential. While the list of retail and leisure failures might suggest that the high street does not have a future, some analysts argue the opposite. Many believe that the high street is ideally placed to reinvent itself in response to the structural shift in working and 20 shopping patterns that has resulted from the global health crisis 2020–22. The perceived weaknesses of the high street model – its fragmented ownership, lack of centralised coordination and high vacancy rates – become strengths as they lower the barriers to entry for new concepts and operators. They also enable risk taking and innovation that will ultimately lead to a more flourishing and diverse environment on our local high 25 streets. It should be possible for small firms to flourish even when staff shortages are pushing up wages in the high street, and house price falls damage consumer confidence and spending on perceived luxuries. (Source: adapted from https://www.designingbuildings.co.uk/ and https://www2.deloitte. com/uk/en/pages/consumer-business/articles/what-next-for-the-high-street.html) Extract D UK house prices may fall up to 20% Turmoil on the UK financial markets has prompted analysts to predict that house prices could fall dramatically, and many lenders in the mortgage sector are withdrawing deals. People coming to the end of their fixed‑rate mortgages are seeing rises from 2% to over 5.5%, with increases in the cost of borrowing of over £5 200 a year by 2024 for the 5 average mortgage in the UK. Many people think UK house prices will never fall, but analysts say the fall could be between 10% and 20%. One mortgage lender said that a lack of housing supply will not keep house prices up when mortgage interest rates are somewhere between 5% and 7%. He claimed that ‘the decade‑long property bubble is about to burst […] It’s a buyer’s market now’. The 10 greatest impact will be seen in the southeast of England. (Source: adapted from https://www.theguardian.com/money/2022/sep/28/ uk-house-prices-may-fall-20-amid-mortgage-carnage-warn-experts) Extract E UK job vacancies hit record 1.1 million as labour shortages increase The ratio of jobless people to vacancies is 1.45 to 1, lower than at any point in the last 40 years. Social care for example has 300 000 current unfilled posts. ‘Today’s figures show that labour shortages are now affecting the whole economy,’ said one analyst. ‘There are almost a million people fewer in the labour market, largely due to 5 younger people staying in education and older people dropping out of the workforce.’ The inactivity rate is 21.1%, and many people are not returning to work after the global health crisis. ‘People seeking work do not have the skills or availability that employers need,’ said Kitty Ussher, chief economist at the Institute of Directors. Firms offering higher wages does not solve the issue. 10 (Source: adapted from https://www.ft.com/content/463f4fbd- 3a50-45b5-891c-5cb5ba623df8)
(e) Evaluate the microeconomic and macroeconomic effects of labour shortages in the UK, or a developed economy of your choice. (25)
June 2022 · Paper 1 · Q8 25 marks AO1=4, AO2=4, AO3=8, AO4=9 25-mark essay Either/or
8 Some occupations in the UK are facing large labour shortages. Hard-to-fill vacancies include qualified chefs, software engineers, construction workers and qualified nurses. (Source: adapted from https://www.ft.com/content/ 36baacce-ddd0-11e8-9f04-38d397e6661c) Evaluate the factors that might influence the supply of labour in an occupation of your choice.
June 2022 · Paper 3 · Q1(e) 25 marks AO1=4, AO2=4, AO3=8, AO4=9 25-mark essay Either/or
Data and extracts for question 1The food delivery industry Figure 1: Market share for third‑party food delivery services in the UK, 2019 1.2% 10.2% 21.3% 67.3% Just Eat Deliveroo Uber Eats Others (Source: adapted from https://onefourzerogroup.com/the‑takeaway‑takeover/) Extract A National Minimum Wage rises are more significant for 23 to 25-year-olds In 2021, the National Minimum Wage main rate, also known as the National Living Wage, rose by 2.2% to £8.91, following a 6.2% rise in 2020. By reducing the age at which people are eligible for the National Living Wage to 23 in 2021, it is estimated that an additional 7.5% of 23 to 25-year-olds could get a 71p an hour pay rise. This amounts to an 8.7% 5 increase, which may cause further financial worries for employers. (Source: adapted from https://www.ndna.org.uk/NDNA/News/Latest_news/2020/ Minimum_wages_to_rise_by_inflation_in_April.aspx) Extract B What is the true cost of the food delivery service? The food delivery industry has boomed in recent years. Just Eat, Uber Eats and Deliveroo all offer very similar services – third‑party food delivery firms that take up to 30% of the price of restaurant meals and deliver them to customers within a certain radius. The average spend per customer is around £15 with a £5 delivery fee, about five times 5 more expensive than cooking at home and the same price as eating in the restaurant. Cash rich, time poor professionals increasingly turn to food delivery. Food delivery comes with many layers of packaging. In the UK, there are 200 million meals annually with around 1.4 billion individual pieces of plastic for heat retention and protection when travelling, but does it really have to be plastic? People tend to 10 order more food, often high in fat, sugar and salt, and don’t even have to get up from their sofa. But there are concerns that the delivery firms are exploiting employees who have no alternative. There is an issue of low pay and informal contracts. Delivery drivers are classed as ‘independent contractors’, and therefore not subject to some employment 15 rights including a guaranteed minimum wage, sick pay, pensions or holiday pay. Drivers are paid either a flat hourly rate, or a fee per delivery. Factors such as delivery distance, speed, how busy it is and whether there are multiple drop‑offs are all factored into how much a driver is paid. Deliveroo says its wages amount to around £10 per hour, but drivers say that during 2020 their pay has been as low as £1 per hour. Drivers are not 20 paid extra for petrol or to maintain their vehicles. Many drivers are recent immigrants or students, who do not have property or savings to fall back on. The government could address this with widening minimum pay legislation to contracted workers, by setting codes of practice, or by setting recommended wage targets. Furthermore, there are health and safety issues for workers. Vehicle safety checks, 25 length of shifts and safety equipment are of concern. However, there are still people who take benefit from working flexibility. (Source: adapted from https://www.theguardian.com/australia‑news/2020/oct/25/home- food-delivery‑what‑is‑the‑most‑ethical‑way‑to‑order‑in and https://digitalcommons.molloy. edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1043&context=bus_fac) Extract C Integration in the third‑party food delivery industry The Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) is watching carefully to prevent any one firm having complete control of the food delivery industry. Just Eat, the market leader, agreed to merge with successful Dutch firm Takeaway.com in 2020, creating a new European leader by revenues. It also bought Grubhub in the US, with 20 million active 5 users. Just Eat uses an aggressive pricing strategy, undercutting delivery fees below the average cost of other firms in the market, that will force them to merge in order to gain some economies of scale. Amazon, having failed with its own delivery company Amazon Restaurants in 2018, has bought 16% of Deliveroo. The CMA took over a year to agree to the partial integration, 10 on the argument that Deliveroo would close down without external investment. Amazon has unique expertise in marketing, increasing customer share and, most importantly, efficiency in delivering things. Food delivery is often uneconomical because a single household puts in a single order from a single restaurant at any one time. Tech companies such as Amazon can improve the business: once a meal has been ordered, an 15 app often moves that restaurant to the top of the rankings for that neighbourhood, in the hope of getting a second and third delivery. So why do restaurants turn to these delivery firms? The sheer volume of customers these delivery firms can hold makes it a difficult deal to turn down. But resentment from small business restaurant owners, angry at being wholly dependent on tech companies, is 20 growing. Most restaurants would prefer that customers come in and pick up their orders themselves because they do not have to pay the 30% commission. Restaurant profit margins are small, and the effects of a 20% fall in the external value of the pound since 2016 on food costs are significant, given that over half of their food and drink is sourced outside the UK. 25 (Source: adapted from https://www.ft.com/content/c20f6848‑3c4b‑11ea‑a01a-bae547046735 https://www.ft.com/content/edf8a144‑a101‑4ef8‑80e3‑7d2f1565d35c and https://www.thisismoney.co.uk/money/markets/article‑8138703/Uber‑set‑sell- takeaway-division‑rival‑Deliveroo‑two‑years.html and https://www.ft.com/content/c20f6848-3c4b‑11ea‑a01a‑bae547046735 and https://www.ft.com/content/bed7c4d8-28c1-11ea-9a4f-963f0ec7e134 and https://www.economist.com/1843/2021/01/26/gulp‑the‑secret‑economics-of-food‑delivery)
(e) Evaluate the microeconomic and macroeconomic effects of significant increases in the minimum wage. Refer to restaurants or other food delivery services in your answer. (25)
November 2021 · Paper 1 · Q1(b) 4 marks AO1=2, AO2=1, AO3=1 Short answer
Data and extracts for question 11 Statement 1: Since Poland joined the European Union (EU) in 2004, over one million of its workforce have migrated to other countries in the EU. Statement 2: Many engineers have left Poland for higher paid jobs in other countries in the EU. (Source: https://www.forbes.com/sites/freylindsay/2019/08/09/polands-emigration-rate-is- falling-but-people-are-still-worried-about-the-brain-drain-bogeyman/#9550525792e6)
(b) Explain the likely impact of migration on the wage level of engineers in Poland. (4)
November 2021 · Paper 1 · Q7 25 marks AO1=4, AO2=4, AO3=8, AO4=9 25-mark essay Either/or
7 The national living wage, the minimum wage for 25-year-olds and over, is expected to rise to more than £10.50 an hour in 2024 compared with £8.72 in 2020. The wage does not apply to the UK’s self-employed and ‘gig economy’ workers. Some economists said the increase was ambitious. Business groups warned that employers in sectors such as social care could be hit hard. In large parts of the north of England the living wage has already reached two-thirds of local median earnings, said Professor Shackleton. (Source adapted from: https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2020/mar/11/budget-2020- national-living-wage-national-insurance) Evaluate the disadvantages of a significant increase in the national living wage on a specific labour market, such as that for social care workers.
November 2021 · Paper 3 · Q1(c) 12 marks AO1=2, AO2=2, AO3=4, AO4=4 12-mark response
Data and extracts for question 1Hand car wash (HCW) firms in the UK Extract A What is the true human cost of your £5 hand car wash (HCW)? The UK’s hand car washes (HCWs) are extremely price competitive, but they have also been linked to modern slavery. Are they ever fair for workers? There is little agreement about how many HCWs there are in the UK. Estimates range from 10 000 to 20 000. This lack of accurate information about the industry makes 5 government regulation very difficult. Automated car washes, with their fierce rotating bristles, used to be the first option for drivers in a hurry. Now there is more choice. While the economy slows and incomes fail to keep up with inflation, demand for HCWs has grown. Many people see paying £5 for a car washed by someone else, rather than cleaning it at home, as a small expense which yields a high utility. But what is the true 10 cost of a £5 car wash – and what should we be paying? The growth of HCWs is partly the result of changes in the structure of industry in the UK. Many petrol stations have closed as drivers fill up at supermarkets. Garages and their forecourts have closed as cars become more reliable and locked into service agreements. The available sites for HCWs have therefore increased significantly and rents have fallen. 15 HCW entrepreneurs have identified available land and have benefitted from changes in the labour market, partly as a result of EU migration. UK drivers are now able to obtain cheap and effective hand car washing. For many migrants, car washes are a first job. “They accept car washing for a short period while they improve their language skills and move into other industries,” says Ian Clark, a professor of work and employment at 20 Nottingham Business School. “But there are also car-wash workers without networks who are in a dead end, working there for long periods.” Many drivers are only interested in getting the cheapest wash. If the price is very low, it probably means that workers are receiving less than the minimum wage and working in poor conditions. Crude calculations illustrate the problem. A £5 HCW employing five 25 workers for 10 hours a day would need to wash 79 cars a day to just cover the wage costs. This assumes the workers are paid the minimum wage. This is one car every seven and a half minutes. Even if the profit can be higher on valet services, the price of which can be as little as £12 for a full inside-and-out clean, it’s hard to see how a car wash price as low as £5 pays a living wage. This ignores all other costs which HCWs incur such as 30 business rates and rent. Evidence from car-wash workers is limited but Clark and others have been able to build a picture of some of the tougher conditions on drenched forecourts. “Like nail bars and small garment manufacturers, car washes are what we call ‘hard-to-reach places,’” Clark explains. As part of the research, Clark and his team spoke to workers from 45 HCWs in 35 the Midlands. Clark and his team met and observed workers who lacked waterproof boots or trousers, or hi-vis jackets and gloves. “They’re spraying around hydrochloric acid solution for alloy wheels, breathing in the vapour and fumes,” Clark says. Some workers were paid a little over half the minimum wage. 40 (Source adapted from: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/jul/16/true-human-cost- 5-pound-hand-car-wash-modern-slavery) Extract B Government intervention in the HCW industry There are three main areas of government intervention that might impact on labour intensive firms such as HCWs: First, there is the planning issue which focuses on the impact on the environment, for example, the disposal and recycling of waste water and chemicals. There could be 5 planning regulations to prevent the use of tarmac rather than concrete on forecourts. Tarmac allows waste water and chemicals to seep into the sub soil. It could also be a requirement to have a sludge trap to stop the waste entering waterways. Second, there is the health and safety issue for workers. Prolonged exposure to chemicals and lack of protective clothing puts the health of workers at risk. Performance targets 10 could involve minimum levels of protective clothing and rest breaks for the workers. Third, there is the issue of tax. The informal nature of the business type makes tax evasion easier. Not all UK HCWs violate regulations. There are legitimate, regulated HCW firms as well as examples of good practice by independent outlets. One national supermarket, Tesco, 15 has banned all independent hand car washes from its car parks. It is now in a partnership agreement with national car wash operator Waves. It uses a WashMark certificate of quality and compliance which was introduced by the industry to improve working conditions. Other major supermarkets are considering similar changes. One adviser believes £9 is a reasonable minimum price for a basic wash. Some pressure groups have 20 developed a mobile phone app where evidence of unreasonable conditions can be reported by drivers. Involving drivers in the issue, and making them demand fairer car washes, creates an incentive for good businesses to improve practices and come forward to get a WashMark certificate. 25 (Source adapted from: https://www.parliament.uk/documents/commons-committees/ environmental-audit/Hand-Car-Wash-evidence.pdf research into HCWs by Professor Ian Clark, Nottingham Business School May 2018)
(c) Discuss the likely effects of changes in the level of migration on firms such as HCWs in the UK. Use a labour market diagram and the information provided to support your answer. (12)
November 2021 · Paper 3 · Q1(e) 25 marks AO1=4, AO2=4, AO3=8, AO4=9 25-mark essay Either/or
Data and extracts for question 1Hand car wash (HCW) firms in the UK Extract A What is the true human cost of your £5 hand car wash (HCW)? The UK’s hand car washes (HCWs) are extremely price competitive, but they have also been linked to modern slavery. Are they ever fair for workers? There is little agreement about how many HCWs there are in the UK. Estimates range from 10 000 to 20 000. This lack of accurate information about the industry makes 5 government regulation very difficult. Automated car washes, with their fierce rotating bristles, used to be the first option for drivers in a hurry. Now there is more choice. While the economy slows and incomes fail to keep up with inflation, demand for HCWs has grown. Many people see paying £5 for a car washed by someone else, rather than cleaning it at home, as a small expense which yields a high utility. But what is the true 10 cost of a £5 car wash – and what should we be paying? The growth of HCWs is partly the result of changes in the structure of industry in the UK. Many petrol stations have closed as drivers fill up at supermarkets. Garages and their forecourts have closed as cars become more reliable and locked into service agreements. The available sites for HCWs have therefore increased significantly and rents have fallen. 15 HCW entrepreneurs have identified available land and have benefitted from changes in the labour market, partly as a result of EU migration. UK drivers are now able to obtain cheap and effective hand car washing. For many migrants, car washes are a first job. “They accept car washing for a short period while they improve their language skills and move into other industries,” says Ian Clark, a professor of work and employment at 20 Nottingham Business School. “But there are also car-wash workers without networks who are in a dead end, working there for long periods.” Many drivers are only interested in getting the cheapest wash. If the price is very low, it probably means that workers are receiving less than the minimum wage and working in poor conditions. Crude calculations illustrate the problem. A £5 HCW employing five 25 workers for 10 hours a day would need to wash 79 cars a day to just cover the wage costs. This assumes the workers are paid the minimum wage. This is one car every seven and a half minutes. Even if the profit can be higher on valet services, the price of which can be as little as £12 for a full inside-and-out clean, it’s hard to see how a car wash price as low as £5 pays a living wage. This ignores all other costs which HCWs incur such as 30 business rates and rent. Evidence from car-wash workers is limited but Clark and others have been able to build a picture of some of the tougher conditions on drenched forecourts. “Like nail bars and small garment manufacturers, car washes are what we call ‘hard-to-reach places,’” Clark explains. As part of the research, Clark and his team spoke to workers from 45 HCWs in 35 the Midlands. Clark and his team met and observed workers who lacked waterproof boots or trousers, or hi-vis jackets and gloves. “They’re spraying around hydrochloric acid solution for alloy wheels, breathing in the vapour and fumes,” Clark says. Some workers were paid a little over half the minimum wage. 40 (Source adapted from: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/jul/16/true-human-cost- 5-pound-hand-car-wash-modern-slavery) Extract B Government intervention in the HCW industry There are three main areas of government intervention that might impact on labour intensive firms such as HCWs: First, there is the planning issue which focuses on the impact on the environment, for example, the disposal and recycling of waste water and chemicals. There could be 5 planning regulations to prevent the use of tarmac rather than concrete on forecourts. Tarmac allows waste water and chemicals to seep into the sub soil. It could also be a requirement to have a sludge trap to stop the waste entering waterways. Second, there is the health and safety issue for workers. Prolonged exposure to chemicals and lack of protective clothing puts the health of workers at risk. Performance targets 10 could involve minimum levels of protective clothing and rest breaks for the workers. Third, there is the issue of tax. The informal nature of the business type makes tax evasion easier. Not all UK HCWs violate regulations. There are legitimate, regulated HCW firms as well as examples of good practice by independent outlets. One national supermarket, Tesco, 15 has banned all independent hand car washes from its car parks. It is now in a partnership agreement with national car wash operator Waves. It uses a WashMark certificate of quality and compliance which was introduced by the industry to improve working conditions. Other major supermarkets are considering similar changes. One adviser believes £9 is a reasonable minimum price for a basic wash. Some pressure groups have 20 developed a mobile phone app where evidence of unreasonable conditions can be reported by drivers. Involving drivers in the issue, and making them demand fairer car washes, creates an incentive for good businesses to improve practices and come forward to get a WashMark certificate. 25 (Source adapted from: https://www.parliament.uk/documents/commons-committees/ environmental-audit/Hand-Car-Wash-evidence.pdf research into HCWs by Professor Ian Clark, Nottingham Business School May 2018)
(e) Evaluate the microeconomic and macroeconomic effects of increased government intervention in an industry. Refer to HCWs or another industry of your choice. (25)
October 2020 · Paper 1 · Q6(c) 10 marks AO1=2, AO2=2, AO3=2, AO4=4 10-mark response
Data and extracts for question 6The UK Rail Industry Figure 1: UK government subsidy to Northern, a train operating company in Northern England 290 287.9 285 280 277.0 275 0 2017 2018 (Source adapted from: https://www.theyworkforyou.com/wrans/?id=2018-10-18.181280.h) Figure 2: Rail passenger kilometres travelled per year in the UK, billions 70 65 billion (2018) 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1985 1995 2005 2015 (Source adapted from: fullfact.org) Figure 3: Price of a single off-peak train journey, Edinburgh to Leeds Saturday 22nd December 2018 19:00 hours Adult Young Persons (16–25) Railcard £105.30 £69.50 (Source: https://www.lner.co.uk/buy-tickets/booking-engine) Extract A The case for nationalisation Privatisation has not made the rail industry cheaper to operate, despite the promise from one government source that it would see private companies bringing: “more competition, greater efficiency and a wider choice of services”. One reason, suggest the critics, is fragmentation. Instead of pushing British Rail into 5 the private sector as a single supplier the government chose to break it into three components of track, train operators and rolling stock i.e. the trains and carriages. This has encouraged each part of the rail industry to prioritise its own profits rather than collaborating to improve the system. Privatisation, meanwhile, never really worked. The rail network of 2 500 stations and 10 32 000 km of tracks was renationalised in 2001. This has encouraged the government’s transport secretary, a supporter of private sector involvement, to argue that the state Network Rail monopoly should be removed so that companies can bid to build new rail lines to upgrade the railway. The privately-owned train operators are now the subject of fierce criticism, due to 15 overcrowding and cancelled services. Private companies are supposed to compete to win a bid to be the train operator for a region for a short number of years. However in recent years the number of private companies bidding or renewing their contract as rail operators has fallen. In May 2018 the government rescued the East Coast line by renationalising it. The line had been run by the private rail operator Virgin Rail, which was 20 suffering lower passenger numbers and revenue than forecast. Some argue that there is a simple solution: reunite track and train in the only feasible manner, nationalisation. (Source adapted from: https://www.ft.com/content/d82848ca-f7ba-11e7-88f7-5465a6ce1a00) Extract B Southern Rail boss paid £495 000 The Chief Executive of Southern Rail, the private-sector train operator that has become associated with delays, losses, cancellations and strikes, was paid £495 000 last year. This increased calls for nationalisation and a maximum wage for executives at companies with government contracts. In contrast the average base pay for a train driver in the UK is 5 £47 705, although they can earn up to £63 000. Nearly a third of Southern Rail trains were late in 2016 as it tried to deal with a labour dispute that involved extensive strike action. The rail trade unions are opposed to planned changes to the role of train guards, which they claim will put passenger safety at risk. 10 (Source adapted from: Rob Davies, The Guardian 10 April 2017 https://www.theguardian.com/business/2017/apr/10/southern-rail-boss-double-pay-rise)
(c) Assess whether complete nationalisation of the rail industry might protect employees. (10)
October 2020 · Paper 3 · Q2(e) 25 marks AO1=4, AO2=4, AO3=8, AO4=9 25-mark essay Either/or
Data and extracts for question 2The UK economy Figure 3: GDP per hour worked, nominal values at PPPs, percentage above or below UK level, 2018 Japan Italy US France Germany -10 0 10 20 30 40 Percentages (Source adapted from: ONS.gov.uk) Figure 4: UK index of output per hour worked, base year 2016 = 100 130 120 110 100 Index 90 80 70 60 50 2000 2005 2010 2015 2018 Key Productivity if pre-crisis trend had continued Actual UK productivity (Source adapted from: ONS.gov.uk) Figure 5: Proportion of adults with low literacy and/or numeracy skills, by age, selected countries Aged 16-24 Aged 55-65 Italy US England Spain N. Ireland France Canada Germany Japan S Korea 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 (Source adapted from: OECD.org) (Figures 3, 4 and 5 Source: FT.com 2016 data published https://www.ft.com/content/6ada0002‑9a57‑11e8‑9702‑5946bae86e6d 2018) Extract D The end of the High Street? Homebase, the UK’s second‑largest do‑it‑yourself (DIY) retailer, made £20–40 million a year profit up to 2016. The Australian conglomerate Wesfarmers bought Homebase for £340 million in 2016, and began to rebrand 24 stores under its own name. It scaled back on curtain, cushion and other homeware sales in favour of power tools and building materials. 5 In 2018 Wesfarmers sold the DIY chain for £1, in the face of “extremely challenging” market conditions and excess store space. The chain was bought by restructuring specialist Hilco, which had also rescued the music chain HMV in 2013, and the stores have gone back to using the Homebase name. Over 70% of Homebase stores are currently losing money and the new owner wants to exit loss‑making stores and agree to rent reductions, as sales 10 fell 10% in 2018. Homebase has gone back to popular products and brands dropped by its previous owner Wesfarmers. The closures will add to the mounting job losses on Britain’s high streets. About 25 000 jobs have gone in the first seven months of 2018, according to analysis by an economics thinktank. A further 8 300 jobs are under threat at suppliers, with the multiplier effect 15 meaning that GDP is £1.5 billion less than projected. Several Marks & Spencer clothing stores closed their doors for the last time as the high‑street chain pushes ahead with a transformation plan. It plans to close 100 stores by 2022. Toys R Us, Poundworld and Maplin have shut down completely, while New Look, Mothercare and Carpetright have plans to close hundreds of stores as losses rise sharply. 20 Increasing rents and higher business rates have occurred at the same time as falling consumer confidence. Meanwhile, House of Fraser employees and pensioners are nervously awaiting more details about their future. The £90 million rescue deal by Sports Direct, the sportswear chain controlled by Mike Ashley, will protect 16 000 jobs for the time being. (Source adapted from: https://www.ft.com/content/00d0bb9e‑a6ee‑11e8‑8ecf‑a7ae1beff35b 24 August 2018 and https://www.theguardian.com/business/2018/aug/13/homebase‑close‑80‑stores‑high‑street‑job‑losses‑mount Patrick Collinson 13 Aug 2018)
(e) Evaluate the microeconomic and macroeconomic effects of a decline in the literacy and numeracy skills of a country’s young workers. (25)
June 2019 · Paper 1 · Q7 25 marks AO1=4, AO2=4, AO3=8, AO4=9 25-mark essay Either/or
7 In July 2017 it was announced that only a third of the BBC’s 96 top earning presenters were women and that its seven highest-paid presenters were all men. According to the High Pay Centre, in 2018, UK chief executives can earn 120 times more than the average full-time worker earning £28 758. With reference to an industry of your choice, evaluate why wage differences exist within the UK labour market.
June 2018 · Paper 1 · Q6(e) 15 marks AO1=3, AO2=3, AO3=3, AO4=6 15-mark response
Data and extracts for question 6The UK energy market Figure 1: UK retail electricity and gas real price indices, 2004–2015 Gas Electricity Indices: 2010 (base) = 100 140 index 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 (Source: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/5773de34e5274a0da3000113/ final-report-energy-market-investigation.pdf) Figure 2: UK retail electricity and gas supply: market share by company, 2016 Company Electricity Gas % % British Gas 23 36 EON 16 13 SSE 16 13 EDF 12 8 Scottish Power 11 9 RWE (nPower) 10 9 Other companies 12 12 Total 100 100 (Sources: https://www.ofgem.gov.uk/chart/ electricity-supply-market-shares-company-domestic-gb and https://www.ofgem.gov.uk/data-portal/retail-market-indicators) Extract A Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) report into the UK energy market An investigation into the UK energy market by the CMA concluded that customers have been paying £1.4 billion a year more than they would in a fully competitive market. It found that 70% of domestic customers of the six largest energy firms were on an expensive standard rate. These customers could each save over £300 a year by switching 5 to a cheaper deal but appear reluctant to do so. However, the CMA investigation found no evidence of anti-competitive practices by firms. There has even been an increase in new entrant energy suppliers over recent years and their combined market share has reached 12% in both gas and electricity supply. To protect consumers, the CMA has introduced various measures to open up and 10 increase competition in the UK energy market. These include: • the creation of a database designed to help consumers switch energy suppliers – rival suppliers can directly contact these customers • the conversion of all homes to smart energy meters making it easier for customers to measure energy consumption and switch supplier 15 • new rules to protect the four million vulnerable customers using prepaid meters – this includes a temporary price cap until smart meters have been installed. (Source: adapted from ‘Competition and Markets Authority Final report into Energy Market Investigation’ https://www.gov.uk/government/ news/cma-publishes-final-energy-report-in-full) Extract B Proposals to regulate profits in the UK energy market Currently energy retail companies make an average profit of 7% of total revenue. The Chairman of the Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) suggested that these profits are as much as five times higher than they should be, given the companies’ limited role in marketing, metering and billing customers. He recommended a profit cap of 1.25% of 5 total revenue. However, Scottish Power criticised proposals for regulating profits saying that it would reduce investment in the energy industry and undermine long-term energy provision. The firm claimed that such a low rate of return is below the profit margin made by supermarkets. 10 All six large energy firms are vertically integrated – producing as well as distributing gas and electricity. This can provide efficiency benefits but also harm competition. (Source: adapted from ‘Profit cap doesn’t fit with new investment, energy boss warns’, by Robin Pagnamenta, The Times, 19th September 2016) Extract C Skills shortages in the UK energy sector The energy sector is facing a skills shortage of engineers and technicians. Some 29% of employers in the gas and electricity industries report unfilled job vacancies compared with an average of 18% across all industries. A lack of information and advice on career prospects for young people is partly to blame 5 - many graduates have a negative image of the work involved. There is also a lack of students taking science, technology, engineering and maths-based subjects at school and university. Less than one-fifth of the energy sector’s workforce are women. The energy sector is characterised by an ageing workforce - data from the UK Labour Force Survey reveal that around two-thirds of workers are aged over 50. These cannot 10 easily be replaced as a long time period is required for training and developing workers’ skills in a highly regulated industry. Urgent action is required by businesses and the government to reduce labour immobility to benefit the energy sector. This action could include policies to increase investment in training programmes, recruit skilled workers from overseas, change the industry image 15 and deal with its ageing workforce. (Source: adapted from ‘Sector insights: skills and performance challenges in the energy sector’, by the UK Commission for Employment and Skills, March 2015; https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_ data/file/416998/15.03.25._Energy_SLMI_-_evidence_report.pdf)
(e) With reference to Extract C and your own knowledge, discuss policies businesses and government might implement to reduce labour immobility to benefit the energy sector. (15)

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