Revenues, costs and profits Theme 3

Where it is examined
A-level Paper 1 (and Paper 3)
Level
A level only
Specification
Section 3.3, 4 statements
Since 2016
34 question parts: 8 essays, 11 levels-marked responses, 3 multiple-choice items

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Every essay set on this topic

SeriesPaperQMarksTitle
June 2025Paper 31(d)25Evaluate the microeconomic and macroeconomic effects of high levels of inflation. Refer to the UK or any other developed economy in your answer.
June 2025Paper 31(e)25Evaluate the microeconomic and macroeconomic effects of a regional trade agreement between the UK and the EU.
June 2024Paper 1725A small hotel in Scarborough has seen its energy bills increase from £2 000 to £8 000 per month. Small businesses do not have the energy management teams of larger companies to negotiate better deals. (Source adapted from: https://www.ft.com/content/d07797e7- 2eb7-4240-b15d-692b39510def) Evaluate the microeconomic effects of rising energy bills on the hotel industry or an industry of your choice.
June 2024Paper 32(d)25Evaluate the microeconomic and macroeconomic effects of high interest rates in Ghana, or another developing country of your choice.
June 2024Paper 32(e)25Evaluate the microeconomic and macroeconomic effects of Ghana joining the African Continental Free Trade Agreement (Extract F).
June 2022Paper 31(d)25Evaluate the microeconomic and macroeconomic effects of a depreciation of the pound. Refer to restaurants or other food delivery services in your answer.
June 2022Paper 32(d)25Evaluate the microeconomic and macroeconomic effects of decreasing interest rates in Kenya, or another developing country of your choice.
October 2020Paper 31(d)25Evaluate the likely microeconomic and macroeconomic effects of a rise in interest rates in Turkey.

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June 2025 · Paper 1 · Q1(a) 4 marks AO1=2, AO2=2 Calculation
Data and extracts for question 11 The diagram below shows the cost and revenue curves for a pizza in a popular high street restaurant. The restaurant currently pursues an objective of revenue maximisation. Costs/ revenues MC AC 14 10 8 7 AR 0 98 130 Quantity of pizzas sold MR
(a) Calculate the change in total supernormal profit if the restaurant changes its objective from revenue maximisation to profit maximisation. You are advised to show your working. (4)
June 2025 · Paper 1 · Q1(b) 1 mark Multiple choice
Data and extracts for question 11 The diagram below shows the cost and revenue curves for a pizza in a popular high street restaurant. The restaurant currently pursues an objective of revenue maximisation. Costs/ revenues MC AC 14 10 8 7 AR 0 98 130 Quantity of pizzas sold MR
(b) Refer to the previous diagram. There is a reduction in the demand for pizza. Ceteris paribus, which one of the following will happen to the restaurant’s average revenue and marginal revenue as a result of this change? (1) A Average revenue and marginal revenue both fall B Average revenue and marginal revenue stay the same C Average revenue falls and marginal revenue increases D Average revenue increases and marginal revenue falls
June 2025 · Paper 3 · Q1(d) 25 marks AO1=4, AO2=4, AO3=8, AO4=9 25-mark essay Either/or
Data and extracts for question 1Sources for use with SECTION A Read Figures 1 and 2 and the following Extracts A, B, C and D before answering Question 1. The cost of living in the UK Figure 1: The price per litre of unleaded petrol in the UK, in pence, 2016–2023 200 Pence per litre 180 160 140 120 100 0 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 (Source adapted from: RAC) Figure 2: UK inflation, as measured by CPI, and wage growth (excluding bonuses), 3-month averages, 2012–2022 10 Inflation % (9.4%) 8 6 Wage growth (4.7%) 4 2 0 –2 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 (Source adapted from: ONS) Extract A Supermarket restrictions on multibuy deals and advertising Government rules limiting the location of unhealthy foods in shops began in 2022. Less healthy products are no longer promoted in key locations, such as checkouts, store entrances, aisle ends and their online equivalents. Rules banning multibuy deals on foods and drinks high in fat, salt or sugar (HFSS) – including buy one get 5 one free (BOGOF), ‘3 for 2’, and restrictions on free refills for soft drinks – were due in October 2023. The restrictions banning HFSS adverts on TV before 9pm and paid-for adverts online were set for January 2024. (Source adapted from: https://www.gov.uk/government/news/government-delays- restrictions-on-multibuy-deals-and-advertising-on-tv-and-online) Extract B Supermarket pay in 2023 Supermarkets have been increasing their hourly pay rates and most now pay significantly more than the National Minimum Wage, which was set at £10.42 in April 2023. Tesco made its biggest ever investment in employee pay in 2023, spending 5 £230 million to finance an increase in its basic hourly rate of pay, to £11.02 per hour, rising to £11.95 in London. The pay increase is the latest boost in employment benefits as supermarkets continue to compete for in-store workers, with Sainsbury’s and Asda both increasing pay to above £11 per hour in July 2023, while Aldi pays £11.40 an hour. 10 Supermarkets have found themselves facing criticism over pay that did not rise in line with inflation. Some workers are taking industrial action, such as strikes, working closely with trade unions. (Source adapted from: https://www.grocerygazette.co.uk/2023/02/22/supermarket-pay-rate-2023/) Extract C Supermarket petrol pricing In 2023 David Potts, the boss of Morrisons, admitted that supermarkets increased profits at the petrol pumps as he was questioned in a parliamentary committee alongside executives from Tesco, Sainsbury’s and Asda who denied they were making more profit from keeping petrol prices high. 5 A Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) report indicates that supermarkets’ profits have doubled to 8% on fuel since 2017. It is expected to recommend that supermarkets must share local fuel prices on a comparison website in order to increase transparency and help bring down prices – a strategy tried successfully in Northern Ireland. All the supermarkets said they would welcome such a move. 10 In 2023, the RAC motoring group said that a price checker would be welcome but blamed high prices on the domination of petrol retailing in the UK by a few large supermarkets. “When the wholesale price of diesel fell this spring, we saw average retailer margin reach 22p a litre which was more than three times the long-term margin of 7p. This cannot be allowed to continue when households are having to 15 contend with a cost of living crisis,” an RAC spokesperson said. At the committee, one politician, Jane Hunt, said: “In 1978 there were many more supermarkets. Now there are very few…are you in fact a cartel?” (Source adapted from: https://www.theguardian.com/business/2023/jun/27/morrisons- boss-admits-supermarket-chains-have-hiked-profits-on-petrol) Extract D EU trade relations with the UK The Trade and Cooperation Agreement 2021 between the EU and the UK means that there are no tariffs or quotas on goods moving between the EU and UK, provided those goods meet the ‘rules of origin’ of a good, based on where the products or materials used in their production come from. They prevent goods 5 manufactured in outside countries being transported through the UK (or the EU) to avoid paying tariffs. To benefit from the zero tariff, businesses must show the origin of their goods. A product qualifies as ‘originating’ if it is ‘wholly obtained’ in the UK and EU or has been substantially transformed in one or both markets. That is why UK businesses 10 that re-export goods from outside countries with little or no further processing, may still face tariffs when trading with EU member states. ‘Rules of origin’ can be time consuming and complex. Some businesses cannot or do not wish to claim zero tariff because of the excessive administrative costs to firms. (Source adapted from: https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/new-customs-rules-for-trade-with-the-eu/)
(d) Evaluate the microeconomic and macroeconomic effects of high levels of inflation. Refer to the UK or any other developed economy in your answer. (25)
June 2025 · Paper 3 · Q1(e) 25 marks AO1=4, AO2=4, AO3=8, AO4=9 25-mark essay Either/or
Data and extracts for question 1Sources for use with SECTION A Read Figures 1 and 2 and the following Extracts A, B, C and D before answering Question 1. The cost of living in the UK Figure 1: The price per litre of unleaded petrol in the UK, in pence, 2016–2023 200 Pence per litre 180 160 140 120 100 0 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 (Source adapted from: RAC) Figure 2: UK inflation, as measured by CPI, and wage growth (excluding bonuses), 3-month averages, 2012–2022 10 Inflation % (9.4%) 8 6 Wage growth (4.7%) 4 2 0 –2 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 (Source adapted from: ONS) Extract A Supermarket restrictions on multibuy deals and advertising Government rules limiting the location of unhealthy foods in shops began in 2022. Less healthy products are no longer promoted in key locations, such as checkouts, store entrances, aisle ends and their online equivalents. Rules banning multibuy deals on foods and drinks high in fat, salt or sugar (HFSS) – including buy one get 5 one free (BOGOF), ‘3 for 2’, and restrictions on free refills for soft drinks – were due in October 2023. The restrictions banning HFSS adverts on TV before 9pm and paid-for adverts online were set for January 2024. (Source adapted from: https://www.gov.uk/government/news/government-delays- restrictions-on-multibuy-deals-and-advertising-on-tv-and-online) Extract B Supermarket pay in 2023 Supermarkets have been increasing their hourly pay rates and most now pay significantly more than the National Minimum Wage, which was set at £10.42 in April 2023. Tesco made its biggest ever investment in employee pay in 2023, spending 5 £230 million to finance an increase in its basic hourly rate of pay, to £11.02 per hour, rising to £11.95 in London. The pay increase is the latest boost in employment benefits as supermarkets continue to compete for in-store workers, with Sainsbury’s and Asda both increasing pay to above £11 per hour in July 2023, while Aldi pays £11.40 an hour. 10 Supermarkets have found themselves facing criticism over pay that did not rise in line with inflation. Some workers are taking industrial action, such as strikes, working closely with trade unions. (Source adapted from: https://www.grocerygazette.co.uk/2023/02/22/supermarket-pay-rate-2023/) Extract C Supermarket petrol pricing In 2023 David Potts, the boss of Morrisons, admitted that supermarkets increased profits at the petrol pumps as he was questioned in a parliamentary committee alongside executives from Tesco, Sainsbury’s and Asda who denied they were making more profit from keeping petrol prices high. 5 A Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) report indicates that supermarkets’ profits have doubled to 8% on fuel since 2017. It is expected to recommend that supermarkets must share local fuel prices on a comparison website in order to increase transparency and help bring down prices – a strategy tried successfully in Northern Ireland. All the supermarkets said they would welcome such a move. 10 In 2023, the RAC motoring group said that a price checker would be welcome but blamed high prices on the domination of petrol retailing in the UK by a few large supermarkets. “When the wholesale price of diesel fell this spring, we saw average retailer margin reach 22p a litre which was more than three times the long-term margin of 7p. This cannot be allowed to continue when households are having to 15 contend with a cost of living crisis,” an RAC spokesperson said. At the committee, one politician, Jane Hunt, said: “In 1978 there were many more supermarkets. Now there are very few…are you in fact a cartel?” (Source adapted from: https://www.theguardian.com/business/2023/jun/27/morrisons- boss-admits-supermarket-chains-have-hiked-profits-on-petrol) Extract D EU trade relations with the UK The Trade and Cooperation Agreement 2021 between the EU and the UK means that there are no tariffs or quotas on goods moving between the EU and UK, provided those goods meet the ‘rules of origin’ of a good, based on where the products or materials used in their production come from. They prevent goods 5 manufactured in outside countries being transported through the UK (or the EU) to avoid paying tariffs. To benefit from the zero tariff, businesses must show the origin of their goods. A product qualifies as ‘originating’ if it is ‘wholly obtained’ in the UK and EU or has been substantially transformed in one or both markets. That is why UK businesses 10 that re-export goods from outside countries with little or no further processing, may still face tariffs when trading with EU member states. ‘Rules of origin’ can be time consuming and complex. Some businesses cannot or do not wish to claim zero tariff because of the excessive administrative costs to firms. (Source adapted from: https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/new-customs-rules-for-trade-with-the-eu/)
(e) Evaluate the microeconomic and macroeconomic effects of a regional trade agreement between the UK and the EU. (25)
June 2024 · Paper 1 · Q6(c) 10 marks AO1=2, AO2=2, AO3=2, AO4=4 10-mark response
Data and extracts for question 6The electronics industry Extract A Rising prices of electronics devices Computer chips act as the “brain” in all electronic devices. Makers of electronic devices face significant increases in the price of computer chips as they try to source enough components, including games consoles, computers and smartphones. The price of some computer chips has jumped from $0.20 each to more than $1. The prices of electronic 5 devices have risen for a range of reasons, including higher material costs and the growing popularity of home entertainment. (Source: adapted from https://www.ft.com/content/8c718a74- cd95-4b2d-ac0e-de0682e4e3cd) Extract B Labour shortages in the electronics industry Every year, highly skilled and experienced employees in the electronics industry retire. The current tight labour market has made an already difficult problem of hiring suitable engineering and computing graduates worse, especially since the nature of the industry is becoming increasingly technical. As production becomes 5 more automated, electronics jobs are more likely to require problem solving and analysis than just assembling skills. However, artificial intelligence and other new technologies can help fill some of the skills gap. In addition, by giving hazardous, repetitive, grimy work to robots, human beings can focus on more creative, analytic tasks. 10 (Source: adapted from https://www.ericsson.com/en/blog/2021/12/ manufacturing-problems-that-keep-ceos-awake-at-night) Extract C Serious concerns over merger The Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) has said the takeover of the Cambridge- based computer chip designer Arm by its US rival Nvidia raises serious competition concerns. It has launched an in-depth investigation into the £29.5 billion deal. The CMA said the merger could reduce choice for firms reliant on computer chips, pushing 5 up prices of products including cars, games consoles and mobile phones. In addition, severe global shortages of computer chips has disrupted the manufacture of a range of electronic goods pushing up costs for firms. Despite this, large electronics firms benefit from economies of scale and are able to finance high-risk innovation and global advertising. 10 (Source adapted from: https://www.theguardian.com/ business/2021/aug/20/watchdog-expresses-concerns- over-nvidias-takeover-of-uk-chip-designer-arm ) Extract D The growing problem of electronic waste Electronic waste is the fastest growing element of the world’s household waste problem. The problem in the UK is particularly bad. The country produces 24.9 kg a person a year – nearly 10 kg more than the EU average. In 2018, 1.2 million tonnes of electrical devices were sold in the UK, and 500 000 tonnes made it to recycling centres. Some appliances 5 are more likely to be recycled than others. The recycling rate for big appliances, such as fridges and cookers, is about 80%. Of small appliances, barely one in five makes it to the recycling centre. As items such as toasters, hairdryers and headphones fit into household bins, they are not often taken to a recycling centre. This causes many problems, such as hazardous substances contaminating soil, water pollution and other external costs. 10 Policy makers have a long list of options to combat this problem including stricter regulation, environmental education, taxation and financial incentives. In some countries, for example, household rubbish is weighed and recycling initiatives are subsidised. (Source adapted from: https://www.ft.com/content/26e1aa74- 2261-11ea-92da-f0c92e957a96)
(c) Assess whether firms in the electronics industry benefit from economies of scale. (10)
June 2024 · Paper 1 · Q7 25 marks AO1=4, AO2=4, AO3=8, AO4=9 25-mark essay Either/or
7 A small hotel in Scarborough has seen its energy bills increase from £2 000 to £8 000 per month. Small businesses do not have the energy management teams of larger companies to negotiate better deals. (Source adapted from: https://www.ft.com/content/d07797e7- 2eb7-4240-b15d-692b39510def) Evaluate the microeconomic effects of rising energy bills on the hotel industry or an industry of your choice.
June 2024 · Paper 3 · Q2(d) 25 marks AO1=4, AO2=4, AO3=8, AO4=9 25-mark essay Either/or
Data and extracts for question 2Ghana – cocoa and chocolate production Figure 3: World’s largest cocoa growers and chocolate producers Cocoa growers Chocolate producers Ivory Coast 46% Germany 17% Ghana 18% Belgium 11% Indonesia 14% Italy 7.4% Nigeria 7% US 7.2% (Source: adapted from International Cocoa Association www.icco.org December 2021 and The Telegraph.co.uk accessed 24/2/22) Extract D From a managed to a floating exchange rate Ghana’s currency, the cedi, has depreciated significantly against major currencies, especially the US dollar (US$), since the adoption of the floating exchange rate system in 1992. From 1983 to 1992 it operated a managed exchange rate. Since the liberalisation of the foreign exchange market there have substantial swings and on average the cedi has 5 depreciated 98% against the US dollar. The cedi to US dollar rate has been very volatile recently, causing macroeconomic instability and limiting economic growth. (Source adapted from: https://www.theigc.org/project/on-the-causes-and-effect-of- exchange-rate-volatility-on-economic-growth-evidence-from-ghana/ and https://www.scirp.org/journal/paperinformation.aspx?paperid=95492) Extract E There is a lot of money in chocolate but the growers of cocoa see very little of it. In 2020 the chocolate retail industry was worth £78 billion, but Ghana – the world’s second largest cocoa producer – earned just over £1 billion. Cocoa farmers in Ghana now make roughly $1 a day (this often includes being subsidised by the Ghanaian government). This is a familiar pattern for many African countries where the economy 5 is still shaped by a colonial relationship in which they export commodities to be processed elsewhere. Ghana currently processes about 30% of its cocoa crop into chocolate, meaning that the exports can earn high prices. Despite plans for expanding the domestic chocolate industry there are still many obstacles in the way. The equipment to make chocolate is 10 very expensive and there is neither a local sugar nor dairy industry. Imported milk and sugar would increase the cost of production significantly, with the added problem that foreign currency would be needed. Producing chocolate requires consistent refrigeration, and the high cost of the equipment to achieve that is a major obstacle for entrepreneurs without substantial funds. There is an inconsistent supply of energy in rural parts of 15 Ghana. An alternative, making teas and wines using cocoa, can make 20 times more revenue than the raw beans, but they do not have the mass market appeal and high profits of chocolate. Access to funds is a big problem and one farmer, Nana Aduna, says that high interest rates on bank loans are an issue for start-up businesses and at the moment he cannot 20 afford to borrow money. “You cannot grow a business when you have to service interest rates of 18%–20% or even more,” he says. But the government has pledged to address these structural issues, using supply side policies. The Trade and Industry Minister announced that industrialisation is the focus of government policy. “It only makes sense that the most important commodity in 25 our country, which is cocoa… should become the target for a major programme of industrialisation,” he says. The ‘One District One Factory’ programme aims to kickstart industrialisation by providing the infrastructure for Ghana’s farms, by establishing processing plants in some of the big cocoa-growing areas. It has become easier for the private sector to invest in food 30 processing, and there is a big tax rebate available to processing companies that set up in the country’s enterprise zones – designated areas to encourage economic activity – in a bid to help them export. (Source: adapted from https://www.newsbreak.com/news/2201853748349/ghana-s- farmers-eye-sweet-success-from-chocolate and https://www.indepthnews.net/ index.php/the-world/africa/4495-ghana-starts-with-cocoa-to-end-neocolonial- trading-ties and https://www.brookings.edu/blog/africa-in-focus/2020/09/03/ pathways-to-structural-transformation-of-the-ghanaian-economy-and- some-roadblocks/ and https://www.ghanaweb.com/GhanaHomePage/ business/Speculators-driving-interbank-retail-FX-rates-gap-1468375) Extract F A new trade bloc for Africa The African Continental Free Trade Agreement (AfCFTA) has been signed by all 55 member states of the African Union, including Ghana, Nigeria, and South Africa. This brings together 1.2 billion people with a combined gross domestic product (GDP) of more than $2 trillion as of 2023. 5 The agreement commits countries to removing tariffs on 90% of goods, with other goods to be phased in later. The agreement also liberalises services and aims to tackle non-tariff barriers which reduce trade between African countries, such as long delays at the borders. (Source adapted from: https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2018/3/20/ african-continental-free-trade-area-what-you-need-to-know)
(d) Evaluate the microeconomic and macroeconomic effects of high interest rates in Ghana, or another developing country of your choice. (25)
June 2024 · Paper 3 · Q2(e) 25 marks AO1=4, AO2=4, AO3=8, AO4=9 25-mark essay Either/or
Data and extracts for question 2Ghana – cocoa and chocolate production Figure 3: World’s largest cocoa growers and chocolate producers Cocoa growers Chocolate producers Ivory Coast 46% Germany 17% Ghana 18% Belgium 11% Indonesia 14% Italy 7.4% Nigeria 7% US 7.2% (Source: adapted from International Cocoa Association www.icco.org December 2021 and The Telegraph.co.uk accessed 24/2/22) Extract D From a managed to a floating exchange rate Ghana’s currency, the cedi, has depreciated significantly against major currencies, especially the US dollar (US$), since the adoption of the floating exchange rate system in 1992. From 1983 to 1992 it operated a managed exchange rate. Since the liberalisation of the foreign exchange market there have substantial swings and on average the cedi has 5 depreciated 98% against the US dollar. The cedi to US dollar rate has been very volatile recently, causing macroeconomic instability and limiting economic growth. (Source adapted from: https://www.theigc.org/project/on-the-causes-and-effect-of- exchange-rate-volatility-on-economic-growth-evidence-from-ghana/ and https://www.scirp.org/journal/paperinformation.aspx?paperid=95492) Extract E There is a lot of money in chocolate but the growers of cocoa see very little of it. In 2020 the chocolate retail industry was worth £78 billion, but Ghana – the world’s second largest cocoa producer – earned just over £1 billion. Cocoa farmers in Ghana now make roughly $1 a day (this often includes being subsidised by the Ghanaian government). This is a familiar pattern for many African countries where the economy 5 is still shaped by a colonial relationship in which they export commodities to be processed elsewhere. Ghana currently processes about 30% of its cocoa crop into chocolate, meaning that the exports can earn high prices. Despite plans for expanding the domestic chocolate industry there are still many obstacles in the way. The equipment to make chocolate is 10 very expensive and there is neither a local sugar nor dairy industry. Imported milk and sugar would increase the cost of production significantly, with the added problem that foreign currency would be needed. Producing chocolate requires consistent refrigeration, and the high cost of the equipment to achieve that is a major obstacle for entrepreneurs without substantial funds. There is an inconsistent supply of energy in rural parts of 15 Ghana. An alternative, making teas and wines using cocoa, can make 20 times more revenue than the raw beans, but they do not have the mass market appeal and high profits of chocolate. Access to funds is a big problem and one farmer, Nana Aduna, says that high interest rates on bank loans are an issue for start-up businesses and at the moment he cannot 20 afford to borrow money. “You cannot grow a business when you have to service interest rates of 18%–20% or even more,” he says. But the government has pledged to address these structural issues, using supply side policies. The Trade and Industry Minister announced that industrialisation is the focus of government policy. “It only makes sense that the most important commodity in 25 our country, which is cocoa… should become the target for a major programme of industrialisation,” he says. The ‘One District One Factory’ programme aims to kickstart industrialisation by providing the infrastructure for Ghana’s farms, by establishing processing plants in some of the big cocoa-growing areas. It has become easier for the private sector to invest in food 30 processing, and there is a big tax rebate available to processing companies that set up in the country’s enterprise zones – designated areas to encourage economic activity – in a bid to help them export. (Source: adapted from https://www.newsbreak.com/news/2201853748349/ghana-s- farmers-eye-sweet-success-from-chocolate and https://www.indepthnews.net/ index.php/the-world/africa/4495-ghana-starts-with-cocoa-to-end-neocolonial- trading-ties and https://www.brookings.edu/blog/africa-in-focus/2020/09/03/ pathways-to-structural-transformation-of-the-ghanaian-economy-and- some-roadblocks/ and https://www.ghanaweb.com/GhanaHomePage/ business/Speculators-driving-interbank-retail-FX-rates-gap-1468375) Extract F A new trade bloc for Africa The African Continental Free Trade Agreement (AfCFTA) has been signed by all 55 member states of the African Union, including Ghana, Nigeria, and South Africa. This brings together 1.2 billion people with a combined gross domestic product (GDP) of more than $2 trillion as of 2023. 5 The agreement commits countries to removing tariffs on 90% of goods, with other goods to be phased in later. The agreement also liberalises services and aims to tackle non-tariff barriers which reduce trade between African countries, such as long delays at the borders. (Source adapted from: https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2018/3/20/ african-continental-free-trade-area-what-you-need-to-know)
(e) Evaluate the microeconomic and macroeconomic effects of Ghana joining the African Continental Free Trade Agreement (Extract F). (25)
June 2023 · Paper 3 · Q1(c) 12 marks AO1=2, AO2=2, AO3=4, AO4=4 12-mark response
Data and extracts for question 1The UK economy Figure 1: UK gas prices in pence per therm, August 2002 to August 2022 600 500 400 Pence per 300 therm 200 100 0 Aug Aug Aug 2002 2012 2022 Figure 2: UK inflation, CPI, August 2002 to August 2022 10 9.9 8 6 (%) 4 2 0 –2 Aug Aug Aug 2002 2012 2022 Extract A Fiscal policy changes in the UK, Autumn 2022 After many changes in policy, people earning above £150 000 will now no longer benefit from the tax cut in the September 2022 mini‑budget, which proposed the removal of the 45% tax band. The proposed change in the main 20% standard rate of income tax moving to 19% has been postponed. 5 In April 2022, a 1.25% rise in national insurance contributions was implemented, labelled as a health and social care levy. It was cancelled in Autumn 2022. Britain’s poorest households would have lost £7.56 a year from the national insurance rise. The richest 10% of households, earning an average of £108 000, would have lost £1 800. Another measure in the Truss Government’s £30 billion tax cut proposals that would have 10 benefitted the rich, was the removal of the 2023 planned rise in corporation tax from 19% to 25%. The former chancellor wanted to cut the tax to 15% but this was the wrong time to do this. The former chancellor also removed the 2014 cap on bankers’ bonuses, clearly an unfair decision at the time when public sector workers were told to accept pay caps to keep inflation under control. 15 The reflationary fiscal policy triggered warnings that the Monetary Policy Committee of the Bank of England would raise interest rates further – having already raised them from 0.1% in 2021 to 2.25% in September 2022. This meant an end to the fiscal rules set by the government in the recent past: debt to be falling as a share of national income by 2024 and no borrowing for day‑to‑day spending. 20 (Source: adapted from ‘Tax cuts benefit high income earners the most’ R Merrick The Independent: 19 September 2022 and FT Source: adapted from Sebastian Payne and Chris Giles in London 29 August 2022) Extract B Inequality to rise in the UK The rising cost of living is expected to affect low‑income families the most. Inflation in Autumn 2022 is expected to hit 14% for families in the poorest tenth of the income distribution, compared with 8% for families in the richest tenth, driven in large part by rising energy costs and food prices. Around half of the food consumed in the UK is 5 imported, and the 20% fall in the value of the pound in 2022 has affected lower income groups more because food is a higher proportion of their spending. The government’s decision to freeze benefits, rather than allowing them to rise in line with current inflation, means that the support provided is a real terms cut for families currently receiving high levels of benefits. A two‑year freeze on energy price caps will now only last until April 10 2023, which would have kept the average energy bill at £2 500 rather than £3 500. (Source: adapted from IFS Report: Living standards, poverty and inequality in the UK: July 2022 and https://www.ft.com/content/6de5b52e- 64c8-4997-8939-e1c59172daa7?shareType=nongift)
(c) Discuss the likely impact of a rise in gas prices on a firm that uses a large amount of gas in its production process. Use a cost and revenue diagram to support your answer. (12)
June 2023 · Paper 3 · Q2(c) 12 marks AO1=2, AO2=2, AO3=4, AO4=4 12-mark response
Data and extracts for question 2Changes in the nature of UK towns and cities Figure 3: Growing and declining high street firms – net change in store numbers, 2013–2022 Barbers Beauty salons Cafés and tearooms Nail salons Restaurants Fashion shops Estate agents Post Office services Clothes – women Banks and other financial institutions –4 000 –3 000 –2 000 –1 000 0 1 000 2 000 3 000 4 000 5 000 Net increase/decrease in store numbers (Source: adapted from https://www2.deloitte.com/uk/en/pages/consumer- business/articles/what-next-for-the-high-street.html) Figure 4: House price changes in the UK (%), 2005 to 2022 15 10 5 0 (%) –5 –10 –15 –20 2005 2010 2015 2020 2022 (Source: adapted from https://www.theguardian.com/money/2022/sep/28/ uk-house-prices-may-fall-20-amid-mortgage-carnage-warn-experts) Extract C What next for the high street? A high street is typically found in all UK towns and cities. Shops normally encountered in a typical UK high street can include successful small firms such as independent food retailers, cafés, nail and beauty salons, restaurants and charity shops. They differ from out‑of‑town shopping centres by being more diverse, family‑run and offering local or 5 personalised services. Customers are often very loyal. However, the high street may often have limited access by car or expensive parking facilities. The rise of online retailers such as Amazon and eBay have placed huge pressures on UK high streets, with many well‑known shops – and even successful retail chains – forced to close due to lost business. Many high street firms cannot compete on price with online 10 retailers who – because they frequently have very low fixed costs – can significantly undercut the high street shops on price. Even before online shopping, competition was eroding high street activity, with out‑of‑town retail parks that were not necessarily cheaper but provide a larger range of shops and offer plentiful parking. They offer a shopping experience that other retailing 15 cannot match – pleasant, safe pedestrian shopping, a clean environment, fun activities for children and spend‑the‑day‑there potential. While the list of retail and leisure failures might suggest that the high street does not have a future, some analysts argue the opposite. Many believe that the high street is ideally placed to reinvent itself in response to the structural shift in working and 20 shopping patterns that has resulted from the global health crisis 2020–22. The perceived weaknesses of the high street model – its fragmented ownership, lack of centralised coordination and high vacancy rates – become strengths as they lower the barriers to entry for new concepts and operators. They also enable risk taking and innovation that will ultimately lead to a more flourishing and diverse environment on our local high 25 streets. It should be possible for small firms to flourish even when staff shortages are pushing up wages in the high street, and house price falls damage consumer confidence and spending on perceived luxuries. (Source: adapted from https://www.designingbuildings.co.uk/ and https://www2.deloitte. com/uk/en/pages/consumer-business/articles/what-next-for-the-high-street.html) Extract D UK house prices may fall up to 20% Turmoil on the UK financial markets has prompted analysts to predict that house prices could fall dramatically, and many lenders in the mortgage sector are withdrawing deals. People coming to the end of their fixed‑rate mortgages are seeing rises from 2% to over 5.5%, with increases in the cost of borrowing of over £5 200 a year by 2024 for the 5 average mortgage in the UK. Many people think UK house prices will never fall, but analysts say the fall could be between 10% and 20%. One mortgage lender said that a lack of housing supply will not keep house prices up when mortgage interest rates are somewhere between 5% and 7%. He claimed that ‘the decade‑long property bubble is about to burst […] It’s a buyer’s market now’. The 10 greatest impact will be seen in the southeast of England. (Source: adapted from https://www.theguardian.com/money/2022/sep/28/ uk-house-prices-may-fall-20-amid-mortgage-carnage-warn-experts) Extract E UK job vacancies hit record 1.1 million as labour shortages increase The ratio of jobless people to vacancies is 1.45 to 1, lower than at any point in the last 40 years. Social care for example has 300 000 current unfilled posts. ‘Today’s figures show that labour shortages are now affecting the whole economy,’ said one analyst. ‘There are almost a million people fewer in the labour market, largely due to 5 younger people staying in education and older people dropping out of the workforce.’ The inactivity rate is 21.1%, and many people are not returning to work after the global health crisis. ‘People seeking work do not have the skills or availability that employers need,’ said Kitty Ussher, chief economist at the Institute of Directors. Firms offering higher wages does not solve the issue. 10 (Source: adapted from https://www.ft.com/content/463f4fbd- 3a50-45b5-891c-5cb5ba623df8)
(c) Discuss possible methods of price and non‑price competition that firms could use to increase the value of sales on the high street. (12)
June 2022 · Paper 1 · Q5(b) 2 marks AO1=1, AO3=1 Short answer
Data and extracts for question 55 The makers of Fiat cars merged with the makers of Vauxhall cars in 2021. Fiat management had aggressively sought a merger to achieve economies of scale. The competition authorities in the EU investigated the merger. (Source: adapted from https://www.thedrive.com/news/34856/ the-merged-fiat-chrysler-and-peugeot-group-will-be-called-stellantis)
(b) Explain one type of internal economies of scale that the newly merged car company may achieve. (2)
June 2022 · Paper 1 · Q6(d) 12 marks AO1=2, AO2=2, AO3=4, AO4=4 12-mark response
Data and extracts for question 6UK branded coffee shop chains market Figure 1: Branded coffee shops by number of shops in the UK in 2021 Costa 2681 Starbucks 1025 Caffè Nero 648 Coffee 50 AMT shop chains 40 Soho Coffee 30 Coffee Republic 3748 Other chains 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 Number of shops (Source: adapted from https://www.statista.com/statistics/297863/ leading-coffee-shop-chains-in-the-united-kingdom-uk-store-number/) Figure 2: International coffee price (Arabica bean), US dollars per kilogram Month Price Change Jan 2020 3.13 – Feb 2020 2.99 –4.47% Mar 2020 3.27 9.36% Apr 2020 3.41 4.28% May 2020 3.30 –3.23% Jun 2020 3.12 –5.45% Jul 2020 3.24 3.85% Aug 2020 3.60 11.11% Sep 2020 3.67 1.94% Oct 2020 3.35 –8.72% Nov 2020 3.31 –1.19% Dec 2020 3.48 5.14% (Source: adapted from https://www.indexmundi.com/commodities/ ?commodity=other-mild-arabicas-coffee&months=12) Extract A Tough market conditions for coffee shops – but coffee quality is king UK coffee shop chains have experienced slow growth opportunities and rising costs. In 2019 the UK market leader, Costa Coffee, opened over 60% fewer stores than in 2018, while Starbucks opened just three new stores overall in 2019. By 2020, many costs were rising: staff shortages meant rising wages for baristas (trained 5 coffeemakers), a 6.2% National Minimum Wage increase for over 25-year-olds and rising rents. In a challenging UK economy, consumers placed coffee quality ahead of convenient location when choosing a coffee shop. This demonstrates the need for coffee shops to match rising expectations in the UK’s increasingly crowded coffee shop market in 10 order to stay competitive. Independent coffee shops (total 25 892 shops in 2020) remain a threat to the branded coffee shops as they pursue a unique luxury experience for customers. This will often focus on the atmosphere and customer service, luxury food and drink ranges and being a part of the local community. Independent coffee shops run on average profit as low as 2% of revenue, and many go out of business as new chains 15 arrive in a locality. In January 2020, Coca-Cola finalised its £3.9 billion takeover of market leader, Costa Coffee. The Coca-Cola company’s stated aims are to maximise long-term returns to shareholders while being mindful of overall responsibilities such as supporting sustainable communities. Major brands, such as Costa, continue to lead coffee shop 20 expansion in 2020 as competition intensifies. (Source: adapted from https://www.worldcoffeeportal.com/Latest/InsightAnalysis/2020/ February/5-UK-coffee-shop-market-dynamics-to-watch-in-2020) Extract B Greggs aiming for ‘coffee shop experience’ Greggs is looking to increase its branded coffee shop market share after the British bakery chain achieved record profits and overtook Starbucks in the amount of coffee it served in the UK. Although Greggs will continue to focus on the food-to-go market, it will be investing in better coffee machines and providing WiFi. It wants one in three 5 new outlets to have more seating. The company believes that it has the ability to take market share in two ways, by expanding its coffee range and at the same time enhancing the coffee shop experience. Greggs is modelling its plan on rival chain Pret A Manger, which has changed from focusing on food-to-go sales to mainly eating in. Greggs has transformed itself from an unremarkable seller of bread and pastries into one of the UK’s 10 most popular food-on-the-go chains, in part thanks to its embrace of vegan, gluten-free and healthy options as well as clever marketing that have changed its image. (Source: adapted from Financial Times, 3 March 2020 https://www.ft.com/ content/6fb6d73a-5d24-11ea-8033-fa40a0d65a98)
(d) Using a cost and revenue diagram, discuss the likely impact of ‘rising costs’ for coffee shops on their profitability (Extract A, line 2). (12)
June 2022 · Paper 3 · Q1(c) 12 marks AO1=2, AO2=2, AO3=4, AO4=4 12-mark response
Data and extracts for question 1The food delivery industry Figure 1: Market share for third‑party food delivery services in the UK, 2019 1.2% 10.2% 21.3% 67.3% Just Eat Deliveroo Uber Eats Others (Source: adapted from https://onefourzerogroup.com/the‑takeaway‑takeover/) Extract A National Minimum Wage rises are more significant for 23 to 25-year-olds In 2021, the National Minimum Wage main rate, also known as the National Living Wage, rose by 2.2% to £8.91, following a 6.2% rise in 2020. By reducing the age at which people are eligible for the National Living Wage to 23 in 2021, it is estimated that an additional 7.5% of 23 to 25-year-olds could get a 71p an hour pay rise. This amounts to an 8.7% 5 increase, which may cause further financial worries for employers. (Source: adapted from https://www.ndna.org.uk/NDNA/News/Latest_news/2020/ Minimum_wages_to_rise_by_inflation_in_April.aspx) Extract B What is the true cost of the food delivery service? The food delivery industry has boomed in recent years. Just Eat, Uber Eats and Deliveroo all offer very similar services – third‑party food delivery firms that take up to 30% of the price of restaurant meals and deliver them to customers within a certain radius. The average spend per customer is around £15 with a £5 delivery fee, about five times 5 more expensive than cooking at home and the same price as eating in the restaurant. Cash rich, time poor professionals increasingly turn to food delivery. Food delivery comes with many layers of packaging. In the UK, there are 200 million meals annually with around 1.4 billion individual pieces of plastic for heat retention and protection when travelling, but does it really have to be plastic? People tend to 10 order more food, often high in fat, sugar and salt, and don’t even have to get up from their sofa. But there are concerns that the delivery firms are exploiting employees who have no alternative. There is an issue of low pay and informal contracts. Delivery drivers are classed as ‘independent contractors’, and therefore not subject to some employment 15 rights including a guaranteed minimum wage, sick pay, pensions or holiday pay. Drivers are paid either a flat hourly rate, or a fee per delivery. Factors such as delivery distance, speed, how busy it is and whether there are multiple drop‑offs are all factored into how much a driver is paid. Deliveroo says its wages amount to around £10 per hour, but drivers say that during 2020 their pay has been as low as £1 per hour. Drivers are not 20 paid extra for petrol or to maintain their vehicles. Many drivers are recent immigrants or students, who do not have property or savings to fall back on. The government could address this with widening minimum pay legislation to contracted workers, by setting codes of practice, or by setting recommended wage targets. Furthermore, there are health and safety issues for workers. Vehicle safety checks, 25 length of shifts and safety equipment are of concern. However, there are still people who take benefit from working flexibility. (Source: adapted from https://www.theguardian.com/australia‑news/2020/oct/25/home- food-delivery‑what‑is‑the‑most‑ethical‑way‑to‑order‑in and https://digitalcommons.molloy. edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1043&context=bus_fac) Extract C Integration in the third‑party food delivery industry The Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) is watching carefully to prevent any one firm having complete control of the food delivery industry. Just Eat, the market leader, agreed to merge with successful Dutch firm Takeaway.com in 2020, creating a new European leader by revenues. It also bought Grubhub in the US, with 20 million active 5 users. Just Eat uses an aggressive pricing strategy, undercutting delivery fees below the average cost of other firms in the market, that will force them to merge in order to gain some economies of scale. Amazon, having failed with its own delivery company Amazon Restaurants in 2018, has bought 16% of Deliveroo. The CMA took over a year to agree to the partial integration, 10 on the argument that Deliveroo would close down without external investment. Amazon has unique expertise in marketing, increasing customer share and, most importantly, efficiency in delivering things. Food delivery is often uneconomical because a single household puts in a single order from a single restaurant at any one time. Tech companies such as Amazon can improve the business: once a meal has been ordered, an 15 app often moves that restaurant to the top of the rankings for that neighbourhood, in the hope of getting a second and third delivery. So why do restaurants turn to these delivery firms? The sheer volume of customers these delivery firms can hold makes it a difficult deal to turn down. But resentment from small business restaurant owners, angry at being wholly dependent on tech companies, is 20 growing. Most restaurants would prefer that customers come in and pick up their orders themselves because they do not have to pay the 30% commission. Restaurant profit margins are small, and the effects of a 20% fall in the external value of the pound since 2016 on food costs are significant, given that over half of their food and drink is sourced outside the UK. 25 (Source: adapted from https://www.ft.com/content/c20f6848‑3c4b‑11ea‑a01a-bae547046735 https://www.ft.com/content/edf8a144‑a101‑4ef8‑80e3‑7d2f1565d35c and https://www.thisismoney.co.uk/money/markets/article‑8138703/Uber‑set‑sell- takeaway-division‑rival‑Deliveroo‑two‑years.html and https://www.ft.com/content/c20f6848-3c4b‑11ea‑a01a‑bae547046735 and https://www.ft.com/content/bed7c4d8-28c1-11ea-9a4f-963f0ec7e134 and https://www.economist.com/1843/2021/01/26/gulp‑the‑secret‑economics-of-food‑delivery)
(c) With reference to Extract C, discuss the likely effects of increasing integration within the food delivery market. (12)
June 2022 · Paper 3 · Q1(d) 25 marks AO1=4, AO2=4, AO3=8, AO4=9 25-mark essay Either/or
Data and extracts for question 1The food delivery industry Figure 1: Market share for third‑party food delivery services in the UK, 2019 1.2% 10.2% 21.3% 67.3% Just Eat Deliveroo Uber Eats Others (Source: adapted from https://onefourzerogroup.com/the‑takeaway‑takeover/) Extract A National Minimum Wage rises are more significant for 23 to 25-year-olds In 2021, the National Minimum Wage main rate, also known as the National Living Wage, rose by 2.2% to £8.91, following a 6.2% rise in 2020. By reducing the age at which people are eligible for the National Living Wage to 23 in 2021, it is estimated that an additional 7.5% of 23 to 25-year-olds could get a 71p an hour pay rise. This amounts to an 8.7% 5 increase, which may cause further financial worries for employers. (Source: adapted from https://www.ndna.org.uk/NDNA/News/Latest_news/2020/ Minimum_wages_to_rise_by_inflation_in_April.aspx) Extract B What is the true cost of the food delivery service? The food delivery industry has boomed in recent years. Just Eat, Uber Eats and Deliveroo all offer very similar services – third‑party food delivery firms that take up to 30% of the price of restaurant meals and deliver them to customers within a certain radius. The average spend per customer is around £15 with a £5 delivery fee, about five times 5 more expensive than cooking at home and the same price as eating in the restaurant. Cash rich, time poor professionals increasingly turn to food delivery. Food delivery comes with many layers of packaging. In the UK, there are 200 million meals annually with around 1.4 billion individual pieces of plastic for heat retention and protection when travelling, but does it really have to be plastic? People tend to 10 order more food, often high in fat, sugar and salt, and don’t even have to get up from their sofa. But there are concerns that the delivery firms are exploiting employees who have no alternative. There is an issue of low pay and informal contracts. Delivery drivers are classed as ‘independent contractors’, and therefore not subject to some employment 15 rights including a guaranteed minimum wage, sick pay, pensions or holiday pay. Drivers are paid either a flat hourly rate, or a fee per delivery. Factors such as delivery distance, speed, how busy it is and whether there are multiple drop‑offs are all factored into how much a driver is paid. Deliveroo says its wages amount to around £10 per hour, but drivers say that during 2020 their pay has been as low as £1 per hour. Drivers are not 20 paid extra for petrol or to maintain their vehicles. Many drivers are recent immigrants or students, who do not have property or savings to fall back on. The government could address this with widening minimum pay legislation to contracted workers, by setting codes of practice, or by setting recommended wage targets. Furthermore, there are health and safety issues for workers. Vehicle safety checks, 25 length of shifts and safety equipment are of concern. However, there are still people who take benefit from working flexibility. (Source: adapted from https://www.theguardian.com/australia‑news/2020/oct/25/home- food-delivery‑what‑is‑the‑most‑ethical‑way‑to‑order‑in and https://digitalcommons.molloy. edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1043&context=bus_fac) Extract C Integration in the third‑party food delivery industry The Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) is watching carefully to prevent any one firm having complete control of the food delivery industry. Just Eat, the market leader, agreed to merge with successful Dutch firm Takeaway.com in 2020, creating a new European leader by revenues. It also bought Grubhub in the US, with 20 million active 5 users. Just Eat uses an aggressive pricing strategy, undercutting delivery fees below the average cost of other firms in the market, that will force them to merge in order to gain some economies of scale. Amazon, having failed with its own delivery company Amazon Restaurants in 2018, has bought 16% of Deliveroo. The CMA took over a year to agree to the partial integration, 10 on the argument that Deliveroo would close down without external investment. Amazon has unique expertise in marketing, increasing customer share and, most importantly, efficiency in delivering things. Food delivery is often uneconomical because a single household puts in a single order from a single restaurant at any one time. Tech companies such as Amazon can improve the business: once a meal has been ordered, an 15 app often moves that restaurant to the top of the rankings for that neighbourhood, in the hope of getting a second and third delivery. So why do restaurants turn to these delivery firms? The sheer volume of customers these delivery firms can hold makes it a difficult deal to turn down. But resentment from small business restaurant owners, angry at being wholly dependent on tech companies, is 20 growing. Most restaurants would prefer that customers come in and pick up their orders themselves because they do not have to pay the 30% commission. Restaurant profit margins are small, and the effects of a 20% fall in the external value of the pound since 2016 on food costs are significant, given that over half of their food and drink is sourced outside the UK. 25 (Source: adapted from https://www.ft.com/content/c20f6848‑3c4b‑11ea‑a01a-bae547046735 https://www.ft.com/content/edf8a144‑a101‑4ef8‑80e3‑7d2f1565d35c and https://www.thisismoney.co.uk/money/markets/article‑8138703/Uber‑set‑sell- takeaway-division‑rival‑Deliveroo‑two‑years.html and https://www.ft.com/content/c20f6848-3c4b‑11ea‑a01a‑bae547046735 and https://www.ft.com/content/bed7c4d8-28c1-11ea-9a4f-963f0ec7e134 and https://www.economist.com/1843/2021/01/26/gulp‑the‑secret‑economics-of-food‑delivery)
(d) Evaluate the microeconomic and macroeconomic effects of a depreciation of the pound. Refer to restaurants or other food delivery services in your answer. (25)
June 2022 · Paper 3 · Q2(d) 25 marks AO1=4, AO2=4, AO3=8, AO4=9 25-mark essay Either/or
Data and extracts for question 2Sub‑Saharan Africa – growth and development Figure 2: Kenya population, millions, 1960 to 2020 60 53.7 50 42.0 40 millions 32.0 30 23.7 20 16.4 11.3 8.1 10 0 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 (Source: adapted from Population, total ‑ Kenya | Data (worldbank.org)) Extract D Growth and development in Africa: 'Africa has a massive opportunity as a low‑cost provider of services' The outlook for Africa’s economies is not as simple as the Lewis model of growth and development implies: do more manufacturing or stay poor. Many countries are expanding into areas that economists are starting to call 'industries without smoking 5 chimneys'. Some, such as flower‑exports, may not be classified as manufactured goods in export statistics. But the process of producing flowers looks a lot like factory work and demands many of the same management skills. These industries also deliver many of the benefits of normal manufacturing, including many well‑paid jobs, and greater opportunities. 10 (Source: adapted from https://www.economist.com/special‑report/2020/03/26/many‑of- africas-economies‑are‑doing‑well) Extract E The demography of Kenya – ‘Demography will shape Africa’s future’ Falling birth rates, when accompanied by rising literacy, can help kick‑start growth. In Kenya 39% of the population is below the age of 15, falling from 43% in 2009. The labour force (15–64 years) is 57% and is the fastest growing population group. 6% of the population is over the age of 60. The number of children per family has fallen sharply, 5 from 8.1 children in 1978 to 4.6 children in 2008, and it is projected to possibly reach 2.4 children by 2050. In the 1970s little more than half of children in sub‑Saharan Africa were enrolled in primary school. That share has shot up to almost 100%. The statistic is slightly misleading, since the percentage of children regularly attending schools is nearer 60%. 10 Why does Kenya’s population continue to rise rapidly, while family size declines? There are two reasons. First, due to high fertility in previous decades, there are many more families in Kenya today. So even though families are smaller, the total number of children continues to grow. Second, Kenyans are living longer, with better healthcare – for example, polio was eradicated in 2014. Life expectancy is projected to increase from 15 54 years today to 68 years by 2050. 28% of Kenya is urbanised, and is becoming rapidly more so. By the 2030s it is expected that 36% of Kenyans will live in towns or cities rather than the poorer rural areas. Rich countries are urban countries. No country has ever reached high income levels with low urbanisation. Large urban centres have two distinct economic advantages. First, as more 20 people interact, there is more scope for innovation. Young people need jobs, but they also create jobs. Kenya has an educated workforce and a dynamic service industry, which typically has lower barriers of entry than agriculture or manufacturing, and provides opportunities for young entrepreneurs. Second, larger groups of population living in close proximity allow for economies of scale. 25 In light of these facts, Kenya’s future pattern of population growth can be a force of good. A large urbanising and well‑educated population tends to generate a strong middle class and vibrant private sector. Economic development may be easier to achieve and sustain – though it is not guaranteed. (Source: adapted from https://www.economist.com/special‑report/2020/03/26/ africas‑population‑will‑double‑by‑2050 and https://kenya.unfpa.org/sites/default/files/pub‑pdf/state_of_kenya_population_ report_2020.pdf and https://www.worldbank.org/en/news/opinion/2010/04/28/ demographic‑transition‑growth‑kenya) Extract F Kenya has an absolute advantage in cut flowers In the UK, 80% of cut flowers come via the Netherlands, although a significant proportion come from Kenya. Some Kenyan flowers come straight to the UK on direct flights from Nairobi, where entire terminals at certain airports are dedicated to flights exporting flowers. 5 Kenya flower production has three major advantages over the Netherlands: areas of high altitude with cool nights, which many flowers benefit from, proximity to the equator for maximum hours of sunlight, and cheaper labour. This means an end to seasonal production and the beginning of a 365‑day‑a‑year absolute advantage. The Netherlands has cost advantages in machinery and transport equipment, not flowers. 10 Cut flowers are now Kenya’s second largest export after tea, contributing around 1% of the country’s GDP. They are also one of the country’s largest sources of employment, with over 100 000 people working directly in the flower industry and an estimated two million indirectly. (Source: adapted from: https://www.economist.com/middle‑east‑and‑africa/2021/02/11/ kenyas-floral‑exports‑are-blooming‑once‑more) Extract G Changes in interest rates in sub‑Saharan Africa When Robert Matsiko was a young man his grain‑milling business in eastern Africa was destroyed by fire. Now, after building it back up from the ashes, he is being hurt by high interest rates. To buy a new machine he must borrow from a bank at an annual rate of 22%. 'You fear to do that,' Mr Matsiko says. Many other entrepreneurs feel the same, 5 which stops their businesses from growing, although very small firms can get help from microfinance schemes. Kenya’s central bank rate has fallen from over 20% to 7% in the last decade, but the rates charged to small businesses and individuals are much higher than the central bank interest rate. In sub‑Saharan Africa, the gap between saving and borrowing rates 10 is higher than anywhere else. The average bank lends at 6.8% above the central bank interest rate. Mobile banking, credit‑information sharing and innovation have helped to bring borrowing costs down. But until birth rates fall, interest rates will stay relatively high, because families with many children cannot afford to save. (Source: adapted from https://www.economist.com/finance‑and‑economics/2020/05/21/ why-interest‑rates-are‑so-high‑in-africa)
(d) Evaluate the microeconomic and macroeconomic effects of decreasing interest rates in Kenya, or another developing country of your choice. (25)
November 2021 · Paper 1 · Q4(a) 2 marks AO2=2 Calculation
Data and extracts for question 44 Patrick Street Productions produces musicals. Its latest production is ‘It’s a Wonderful Life’ and the total cost of this production is $200 000. The ticket price is $40. The theatre has a capacity of 300 seats. The company aims for revenue maximisation. If this is achieved, revenue from ticket sales will cover 30% of total costs. Charitable donations contribute 12.5% towards total cost and a government subsidy ensures the production covers all of its costs. (Source adapted from: https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/a-bit-of- a-desperate-time-as-costs-rise-professional-theatre-companies-survive-rather-than- thrive-1.5489733)
(a) Calculate the total revenue from ticket sales for ‘It’s a Wonderful Life’, assuming it is shown only five times, all at full capacity. You are advised to show your working. (2)
November 2021 · Paper 1 · Q6(a) 5 marks AO1=1, AO2=2, AO3=2 Short answer
Data and extracts for question 6The travel and tourism industry Figure 1: Package holiday market share of the six largest providers, booked by UK residents, 2019 TUI 29% Jet2 16% Thomas Cook 13% Expedia 8% On The Beach 6% BA Holidays 4% (Source adapted from: https://knowledge.sharescope.co.uk/2019/10/16/finding-companies- that-control-their-own-destinies/The Times/ATOL) Figure 2: Jet2 package holiday prices to Sorrento Price 12 hours after Thomas Cook shutdown Price before Thomas Cook shutdown 2 Adults for 7 Nights from Monday 25 May 2020 2 Adults for 7 Nights from Monday 25 May 2020 Half Board Half Board 1 x Premium Double or Twin room 1 x Premium Double or Twin room Return flights from Edinburgh Return flights from Edinburgh View flight times View flight times 22 kg Bag Allowance 22 kg Bag Allowance 10 kg Hand Baggage 10 kg Hand Baggage ATOL Protected ATOL Protected Coach Transfers Coach Transfers Holiday price from £1,576 Per person price Holiday price from £1,648 Per person price £788 £824 Data accessed: 22nd and 23rd September 2019 Extract A Marginal productivity of cabin crew Cabin crew are responsible for loading passengers and providing in-flight meals. United Airlines is planning to reduce the number of its cabin crew members onboard international flights. The airline currently operates its planes with one more cabin crew member than its competitors. The marginal productivity of this additional crew member 5 may be low. By reducing the number of its cabin crew members United Airlines will be able to operate more efficiently and compete more effectively. (Source adapted from: https://simpleflying.com/united-airlines-to-reduce-number-of-crew- on-international-flights/) Extract B Thomas Cook’s environmental impact Thomas Cook Group plc’s operations included its airline and 560 high street travel agents providing flights, hotels and package holidays. The environmental impact of the travel industry is significant. It accounts for 8% of all global carbon emissions. Thomas Cook recognised the risks presented by climate change 5 and actively engaged in reducing their airline emissions. Its plans included using more efficient aircraft and using lower-carbon fuel. In 2018, Thomas Cook was included in the top 10 of the world’s most fuel-efficient airlines. (Source adapted from: https://www.thomascookgroup.com/investors/insight_external_ assest/Thomas+Cook+Sustainability+Report+2018.pdf) Extract C Why did Thomas Cook shut down? Thomas Cook Group plc ceased trading on 23 September 2019. The collapse of Thomas Cook left 600 000 travellers stranded overseas and approximately 21 000 worldwide employees were left without a job. Thomas Cook’s management said that the failure of rescue talks between banks, 5 shareholders and the UK Government meant it had no choice but to shut down the business. But in truth the tour operator’s problems go back much further. A disastrous merger in 2007, increased debts, the internet revolution in holiday booking and Brexit uncertainty all contributed to the failure of the business. 10 In 2007 it merged with MyTravel. Thomas Cook directors had an objective of rapid company growth over short-term profitability. The merger was supposed to create a European giant, promising £75 million-a-year cost savings and a springboard to challenge emerging internet rivals. In reality, Thomas Cook was merging with a company that had only made a profit once in the previous six years, and the deal left the Group 15 with huge debts. In May 2019, the firm reported a £1.5 billion loss. The role of the management in Thomas Cook’s collapse is being investigated by the UK Government. Thomas Cook executives’ salaries and bonuses have been questioned. Directors received salaries totalling £20 million in the five years before its collapse. The Chief Executive Officer (CEO) earned a £500 000 cash bonus in 2017 and about 20 £8.5 million in his five years with the company. It seems that around £4 million of this was in the form of shares. The share price reached £1.46 in 2018, but each share is now worthless. The CEO said that the directors had worked “exhaustively” to rescue Thomas Cook and create a long-term turnaround strategy. “It is a matter of profound regret to me and the 25 rest of the board that we were not successful.” The UK prime minister admitted that the government refused to grant £150 million as a subsidy to help rescue Thomas Cook in the short run. The UK prime minister stated: “Clearly, that is a lot of taxpayers’ money and sets up, as people will appreciate, a moral hazard in the case of future such commercial difficulties that companies face. I have 30 questions about whether it’s right that the directors, or whoever, the board, should pay themselves large sums when businesses can go down the tubes like that. One is driven to reflect on whether the directors of these companies are properly incentivised to sort such matters out”. (Source adapted from: https://www.theguardian.com/business/2019/sep/23/thomas-cook- as-the-world-turned-the-sun-ceased-to-shine-on-venerable-tour-operator and https://www.ft.com/content/a7dd2554-de23-11e9-b112-9624ec9edc59)
(a) Explain the likely impact of diminishing marginal productivity of labour on cabin crew staffing levels. Refer to Extract A in your answer. (5)
November 2021 · Paper 1 · Q6(d) 12 marks AO1=2, AO2=2, AO3=4, AO4=4 12-mark response
Data and extracts for question 6The travel and tourism industry Figure 1: Package holiday market share of the six largest providers, booked by UK residents, 2019 TUI 29% Jet2 16% Thomas Cook 13% Expedia 8% On The Beach 6% BA Holidays 4% (Source adapted from: https://knowledge.sharescope.co.uk/2019/10/16/finding-companies- that-control-their-own-destinies/The Times/ATOL) Figure 2: Jet2 package holiday prices to Sorrento Price 12 hours after Thomas Cook shutdown Price before Thomas Cook shutdown 2 Adults for 7 Nights from Monday 25 May 2020 2 Adults for 7 Nights from Monday 25 May 2020 Half Board Half Board 1 x Premium Double or Twin room 1 x Premium Double or Twin room Return flights from Edinburgh Return flights from Edinburgh View flight times View flight times 22 kg Bag Allowance 22 kg Bag Allowance 10 kg Hand Baggage 10 kg Hand Baggage ATOL Protected ATOL Protected Coach Transfers Coach Transfers Holiday price from £1,576 Per person price Holiday price from £1,648 Per person price £788 £824 Data accessed: 22nd and 23rd September 2019 Extract A Marginal productivity of cabin crew Cabin crew are responsible for loading passengers and providing in-flight meals. United Airlines is planning to reduce the number of its cabin crew members onboard international flights. The airline currently operates its planes with one more cabin crew member than its competitors. The marginal productivity of this additional crew member 5 may be low. By reducing the number of its cabin crew members United Airlines will be able to operate more efficiently and compete more effectively. (Source adapted from: https://simpleflying.com/united-airlines-to-reduce-number-of-crew- on-international-flights/) Extract B Thomas Cook’s environmental impact Thomas Cook Group plc’s operations included its airline and 560 high street travel agents providing flights, hotels and package holidays. The environmental impact of the travel industry is significant. It accounts for 8% of all global carbon emissions. Thomas Cook recognised the risks presented by climate change 5 and actively engaged in reducing their airline emissions. Its plans included using more efficient aircraft and using lower-carbon fuel. In 2018, Thomas Cook was included in the top 10 of the world’s most fuel-efficient airlines. (Source adapted from: https://www.thomascookgroup.com/investors/insight_external_ assest/Thomas+Cook+Sustainability+Report+2018.pdf) Extract C Why did Thomas Cook shut down? Thomas Cook Group plc ceased trading on 23 September 2019. The collapse of Thomas Cook left 600 000 travellers stranded overseas and approximately 21 000 worldwide employees were left without a job. Thomas Cook’s management said that the failure of rescue talks between banks, 5 shareholders and the UK Government meant it had no choice but to shut down the business. But in truth the tour operator’s problems go back much further. A disastrous merger in 2007, increased debts, the internet revolution in holiday booking and Brexit uncertainty all contributed to the failure of the business. 10 In 2007 it merged with MyTravel. Thomas Cook directors had an objective of rapid company growth over short-term profitability. The merger was supposed to create a European giant, promising £75 million-a-year cost savings and a springboard to challenge emerging internet rivals. In reality, Thomas Cook was merging with a company that had only made a profit once in the previous six years, and the deal left the Group 15 with huge debts. In May 2019, the firm reported a £1.5 billion loss. The role of the management in Thomas Cook’s collapse is being investigated by the UK Government. Thomas Cook executives’ salaries and bonuses have been questioned. Directors received salaries totalling £20 million in the five years before its collapse. The Chief Executive Officer (CEO) earned a £500 000 cash bonus in 2017 and about 20 £8.5 million in his five years with the company. It seems that around £4 million of this was in the form of shares. The share price reached £1.46 in 2018, but each share is now worthless. The CEO said that the directors had worked “exhaustively” to rescue Thomas Cook and create a long-term turnaround strategy. “It is a matter of profound regret to me and the 25 rest of the board that we were not successful.” The UK prime minister admitted that the government refused to grant £150 million as a subsidy to help rescue Thomas Cook in the short run. The UK prime minister stated: “Clearly, that is a lot of taxpayers’ money and sets up, as people will appreciate, a moral hazard in the case of future such commercial difficulties that companies face. I have 30 questions about whether it’s right that the directors, or whoever, the board, should pay themselves large sums when businesses can go down the tubes like that. One is driven to reflect on whether the directors of these companies are properly incentivised to sort such matters out”. (Source adapted from: https://www.theguardian.com/business/2019/sep/23/thomas-cook- as-the-world-turned-the-sun-ceased-to-shine-on-venerable-tour-operator and https://www.ft.com/content/a7dd2554-de23-11e9-b112-9624ec9edc59)
(d) With reference to Extract C, discuss the proposed government subsidy to prevent Thomas Cook from reaching its shut-down point. (12)
November 2021 · Paper 3 · Q2(c) 12 marks AO1=2, AO2=2, AO3=4, AO4=4 12-mark response
Data and extracts for question 2The German economy Figure 1: German government budget balance, percentage of GDP, 2010 to 2019 1.9 2 1.5 1.2 1.2 0.9 0.6 0 0 –0.1 –1 % of GDP –2 –4 –4.2 –6 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 (Source adapted from: The Economist Nov 14th 2019) Figure 2: German national debt, percentage of GDP, 2010 to 2019 85 80 75 70 % of GDP 65 60 55 0 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 (Source adapted from: The Economist Nov 14th 2019) Figure 3: Annual percentage change in real GDP, Germany and average of developed economies, 2005 to 2021 (forecasted data for 2020 and 2021) 4 2 0 % –2 –4 –6 2005 2010 2015 2020 Germany Average of developed economies (Source adapted from: IMF and German Federal Statistical Office) Figure 4: Unemployment rate in Germany, percentage of labour force, 2005 to 2020 (2020 figure is forecasted) 12.5 11 . 7 % 10 . 8 % 10.0 9 % 8 . 1 % 7 . 7 % 7 . 8 % 7.5 7 . 1 % 6 . 8 % 6 . 9 % 6 . 7 % 6 . 4 % 6 . 1 % 6 . 1 % % 5 . 7 % 5 . 2 % 5 % 5.0 2.5 0 (Source adapted from: bundesagentur für arbeit.de and https://www.ft.com/ content/5486b247-c73e-4887-a2b2-528b23e301a6) Extract C Why Germany keeps to budget rules despite a slowdown in growth Germany’s economic boom is over, as it has entered recession. During the last ten years of economic growth well over 4 million jobs were created. The fear of recession has revived a debate in Germany: should the government spend more to stimulate growth? It is written into the German constitution that the fiscal 5 deficit cannot be greater than 0.35% of GDP, once the effects of the economic cycle have been removed. Germany’s budget has been in surplus since 2014 and the government is always reluctant to increase spending which would create a deficit. In 2018, aided by booming employment and low interest costs on existing debt, the budget ran to a surplus 1.9% of GDP. 10 Germany’s main trading partners have long been angered by German fiscal policy. The French President criticised Germany’s budget and current account surpluses that “always occur at the expense of others”. Large parts of Germany’s infrastructure need significant investment. As the economy has slowed, a decision to run a balanced-budget policy has become harder to defend. In 15 wealthy regions of Germany, crumbling schools have been closed for fear of collapse, and information and mobile technology on a wide scale needs to be modernised. The World Economic Forum reported that accessibility of fibre optic broadband also “remains the privilege of the few”. However, private sector firms, such as major motor manufacturers, are still willing to invest in new technology and the profitability of some of these 20 firms, in the long run, benefits as a result. The state development bank puts Germany’s investment shortfall at €138 billion (£120 billion). Arguments for a much more expansionary fiscal policy have failed to influence government policy. Big government programmes, such as a recent package to reduce Germany’s carbon emissions, are only implemented when they satisfy fiscal rules. 25 (Source adapted from: The Economist Nov 14th 2019 and https://www.ft.com/content/3cec4908-d164-11e9-8367-807ebd53ab77 7th September 2019 and https://www.ft.com/content/198f072e-4e42-11ea-95a0-43d18ec715f5 and https://www.ft.com/content/d89d9404-c586-11e9-a8e9-296ca66511c9 and https://www.ft.com/content/8f87c03c-93dc-11e8-b67b-b8205561c3fe) Extract D Germany drops to number 7 in the Global Competitiveness Index Despite being the largest economy in the European Union, Germany’s competitiveness is declining, according to the World Economic Forum (WEF). Germany dropped four places in the WEF’s Global Competitiveness Index, coming in as the seventh-most competitive economy. Out of the 103 indicators used in the report, Germany received lower scores in 5 53 areas in 2019. (Source: https://www.dw.com/en/germany-falls-in-global-competitiveness- ranking/a-50745071 8 October 2019)
(c) Discuss the likely impact of investment in new technology on the profitability of firms in Germany, as described in Extract C line 20. Use a cost and revenue diagram to support your answer. (12)
October 2020 · Paper 1 · Q4(a) 2 marks AO1=1, AO3=1 Short answer Hard
Data and extracts for question 44 The following illustrates the daily average cost curve for a doughnut producer: Costs (£) Average Cost 0 Z Output
(a) Explain what happens to total cost at output levels greater than Z. (2)
October 2020 · Paper 1 · Q4(b) 1 mark AO2=1 Multiple choice
Data and extracts for question 44 The following illustrates the daily average cost curve for a doughnut producer: Costs (£) Average Cost 0 Z Output
(b) At output levels greater than Z, which one of the following correctly identifies what will happen to the cost? (1) Average fixed cost Average variable cost Marginal cost A Falls Falls Rises B Falls Rises Rises C Rises Rises Falls D Rises Rises Rises
October 2020 · Paper 1 · Q4(c) 2 marks AO2=2 Calculation
Data and extracts for question 44 The following illustrates the daily average cost curve for a doughnut producer: Costs (£) Average Cost 0 Z Output
(c) For a luxury doughnut producer the average selling price is £2. The average variable cost is 40% of the selling price and its fixed cost per day is £300. Calculate total costs per day assuming it produces 400 doughnuts per day. (2)
October 2020 · Paper 3 · Q1(d) 25 marks AO1=4, AO2=4, AO3=8, AO4=9 25-mark essay Either/or
Data and extracts for question 1Turkey – an emerging economy Figure 1: Turkey’s central bank lending rate, percent, 2013–2018 25 20 15 % 10 5 0 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Figure 2: Selected emerging economy exchange rates, percentage change against the US dollar: January 2018 compared to January 2016. Russian rouble South African rand Polish zloty Hong Kong dollar Chinese renminbi Indian rupee Turkish lira Argentine peso -60 -40 -20 0 20 Percentage changes (Source adapted from: FT.com) Extract A Can Turkey’s central bank avoid another rate rise? At an annual rate of 25%, Turkey’s inflation is alarming. However, it may have peaked. This may be a turning point for the economically struggling country, whose currency (the Turkish lira) has lost nearly a third of its value against the US dollar in 2018. The central bank may be able to avoid tightening monetary policy further, as a severe economic 5 adjustment is already well under way. Turkey is highly indebted in foreign currency. The Turkish government takes measures against excessive appreciation or depreciation of the Turkish lira to reduce financial stability risks. The financial market faces difficulties in trying to restore foreign investors’ confidence. Consumer prices increased by 2.7% in October 2018, a much lower rate than the 6.3% 10 recorded in September 2018. The lira has stabilised, having risen 16% since the central bank raised interest rates by 6.25 percentage points. However, the government wants lower borrowing costs to fuel credit growth and economic expansion. Timothy Ash at a London investment bank says at this point it’s “illogical” to raise interest rates again in Turkey. That’s because Turkey’s economy is already experiencing a severe slowdown. 15 In the long term Turkey’s economic growth is expected to be above that of other emerging markets such as Brazil, Russia and China. Turkey’s private sector is resilient. Between 2018–50 we expect Turkey to grow by an annual average of 3.1%. Brazil is expected to grow by an annual average of 2.1%, Russia by 1.6% and China by 2.8%. GDP growth will nevertheless be well below that recorded in 2004–07 and 2010–15. Average 20 growth in GDP per head will be substantially lower, mainly reflecting the expected rise in the total population. (Source adapted from: https://ftalphaville.ft.com/2018/11/06/1541508141000/Can‑Turkey‑s-central‑bank- avoid‑another‑rate‑hike‑/. 6 Nov 2018 Colby Smith and one sentence The president wants lower borrowing costs to fuel credit growth and economic expansion from https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/aug/07/turkey‑urged‑to‑announce-emergency-interest‑rate‑hike Larry Elliott 7/8/18 and http://country.eiu.com/article.aspx?articleid=157174199&Country=Turkey&topic=Economy&subtopic= Long-term+outlook&subsubtopic=Summary) Extract B Turkey aims to bin the plastic bag You get a free plastic bag whenever you go to a shop, even if it is just to buy a loaf of bread or a chocolate bar. In Turkey, plastic bags are everywhere, with millions being thrown away, and their use is causing a growing environmental problem. In Istanbul, the country’s biggest city with about 12 million people, around 10 000 tonnes 5 of waste are being collected every day. Plastic bags and other plastic waste make up 950 tonnes, or almost 10%, of the total waste. The Turkish government said it was looking at ways to discourage the consumption of single‑use plastic bags. One possible step currently under review is a ban of the black bags that are said to contain carcinogens. Another is that the state may raise taxes 10 on plastic products, which could lead to supermarkets charging consumers for the bags. In Corlu, a town north‑west of Istanbul, a local environmental group distributed 20 000 canvas bags to shoppers in one month. In some parts of Turkey, plastic bags are completely banned, with heavy fines for both firms and consumers who use them. (Source adapted from: tseibert@thenational.ae https://www.thenational.ae/world/europe/turkey‑aims‑to‑bin‑the‑plastic‑bag‑1.530059 accessed 11/11/18) Extract C Istanbul’s third airport set to be the busiest in the world Istanbul’s third airport is being constructed over an area of 76.5 million square metres, to the north of Istanbul. When complete, the new airport will have six runways and have an annual passenger capacity of up to 200 million people, making it potentially the world’s busiest airport. “This airport is going to be the most important hub between Asia and 5 Europe,” said one business leader. The airport design includes high vaulted ceilings and spacious, modern and efficient design – and its tulip‑shaped air traffic control tower won the 2016 International Architecture Award. It uses mobile applications and artificial intelligence for customers, is energy efficient and has a high‑tech security system. The site employs 36 000 people and 10 is estimated to cost the equivalent of £10 billion. However, the rush to meet the deadline set by the Turkish government is a major cause of accidents on the construction site, according to the construction workers’ union. (Source adapted from: https://www.lonelyplanet.com/news/2018/08/08/istanbuls‑huge‑new‑airport/ and https://www.voanews.com/a/istanbul‑to‑unveil‑new‑airport‑seeks‑to‑be‑world‑s‑biggest/4632308.html)
(d) Evaluate the likely microeconomic and macroeconomic effects of a rise in interest rates in Turkey. (25)
October 2020 · Paper 3 · Q2(c) 12 marks AO1=2, AO2=2, AO3=4, AO4=4 12-mark response
Data and extracts for question 2The UK economy Figure 3: GDP per hour worked, nominal values at PPPs, percentage above or below UK level, 2018 Japan Italy US France Germany -10 0 10 20 30 40 Percentages (Source adapted from: ONS.gov.uk) Figure 4: UK index of output per hour worked, base year 2016 = 100 130 120 110 100 Index 90 80 70 60 50 2000 2005 2010 2015 2018 Key Productivity if pre-crisis trend had continued Actual UK productivity (Source adapted from: ONS.gov.uk) Figure 5: Proportion of adults with low literacy and/or numeracy skills, by age, selected countries Aged 16-24 Aged 55-65 Italy US England Spain N. Ireland France Canada Germany Japan S Korea 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 (Source adapted from: OECD.org) (Figures 3, 4 and 5 Source: FT.com 2016 data published https://www.ft.com/content/6ada0002‑9a57‑11e8‑9702‑5946bae86e6d 2018) Extract D The end of the High Street? Homebase, the UK’s second‑largest do‑it‑yourself (DIY) retailer, made £20–40 million a year profit up to 2016. The Australian conglomerate Wesfarmers bought Homebase for £340 million in 2016, and began to rebrand 24 stores under its own name. It scaled back on curtain, cushion and other homeware sales in favour of power tools and building materials. 5 In 2018 Wesfarmers sold the DIY chain for £1, in the face of “extremely challenging” market conditions and excess store space. The chain was bought by restructuring specialist Hilco, which had also rescued the music chain HMV in 2013, and the stores have gone back to using the Homebase name. Over 70% of Homebase stores are currently losing money and the new owner wants to exit loss‑making stores and agree to rent reductions, as sales 10 fell 10% in 2018. Homebase has gone back to popular products and brands dropped by its previous owner Wesfarmers. The closures will add to the mounting job losses on Britain’s high streets. About 25 000 jobs have gone in the first seven months of 2018, according to analysis by an economics thinktank. A further 8 300 jobs are under threat at suppliers, with the multiplier effect 15 meaning that GDP is £1.5 billion less than projected. Several Marks & Spencer clothing stores closed their doors for the last time as the high‑street chain pushes ahead with a transformation plan. It plans to close 100 stores by 2022. Toys R Us, Poundworld and Maplin have shut down completely, while New Look, Mothercare and Carpetright have plans to close hundreds of stores as losses rise sharply. 20 Increasing rents and higher business rates have occurred at the same time as falling consumer confidence. Meanwhile, House of Fraser employees and pensioners are nervously awaiting more details about their future. The £90 million rescue deal by Sports Direct, the sportswear chain controlled by Mike Ashley, will protect 16 000 jobs for the time being. (Source adapted from: https://www.ft.com/content/00d0bb9e‑a6ee‑11e8‑8ecf‑a7ae1beff35b 24 August 2018 and https://www.theguardian.com/business/2018/aug/13/homebase‑close‑80‑stores‑high‑street‑job‑losses‑mount Patrick Collinson 13 Aug 2018)
(c) Discuss factors that are causing many high street retailers in the UK to close some branches or shut down completely. Use a cost and revenue diagram to support your answer. (12)
June 2019 · Paper 1 · Q4(b) 4 marks AO1=2, AO2=2 Calculation
Data and extracts for question 44 In 2016, the insurance group Esure undertook a demerger with its GoCompare price comparison website.
Following the demerger, GoCompare announced in 2017 a profit of £17.5 million, up 21.5% on 2016. Total revenue in 2017 was £75.8 million, up 4.1% on 2016. (Source: adapted from https://www.insuranceage.co.uk/insurer/3107496/ profits-up-at-go-compare) (b) Calculate, using the information provided, the total costs of GoCompare in 2016. (4)
June 2019 · Paper 1 · Q6(d) 12 marks AO1=2, AO2=2, AO3=4, AO4=4 12-mark response
Data and extracts for question 6Energy and telecommunication markets in the UK Figure 1: Average annual household bill from the Big Six UK energy suppliers, 2017 1250 1000 * 750 Average annual bill £ 500 250 0 Average annual bill on standard variable tariff Supplier’s cheapest annual average tariff *market cheapest annual tariff (Source: https://www.lovemoney.com/news/67298/standard-variable-tariff-compared- cheapest-deal-provider-savings) Extract A Energy price cap to fix ‘broken’ market in UK The Prime Minister recently said that the regulator Ofgem (Office of Gas and Electricity Markets) should limit electricity and gas suppliers’ most expensive tariffs. Under the planned new legislation, the energy bills of 11 million households will be capped for as long as five years. The government claimed this cap could save households 5 up to £100 a year. This legislation would force Ofgem to change the licence conditions for energy suppliers so that they are required to cap electricity and gas prices. The measure will apply to anyone on a standard variable tariff, the expensive plans that customers are moved to when cheaper, fixed-price deals end. Ofgem will need to consult energy companies on how the cap is calculated, the government said. The Prime Minister 10 repeated her claim that she had to act because the ‘market is broken’, a charge the big energy companies reject. “I have been clear that our broken energy market has to change – it has to offer fairer prices for millions of loyal customers who have been paying hundreds of pounds too much,” she said. However, Michael Lewis, chief executive of E.ON said “the government must guard 15 against any unintended consequences that undermine customer service and push up prices as a whole. A price cap will not be good for customers. It will reduce competition and innovation”. Smaller suppliers such as First Utility said the Big Six had only themselves to blame for the cap, because they had kept millions of people on standard variable tariffs. 20 (Source: adapted from ‘UK puts energy efficiency at heart of climate change strategy’, Adam Vaughan, Copyright Guardian News & Media Ltd 2017 https://www.theguardian.com/ money/2017/oct/12/may-energy-price-cap-ofgem-electricity-gas-tariffs) Figure 2: The monthly rental cost of a telephone landline BT Retail 20 19 Virgin Media 18 Orange/EE 17 Wholesale 16 Line Rental* 15 Price 14 (£) 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 *Wholesale line rental – the rental price BT Openreach charges telephone service providers (Source: https://www.ofcom.org.uk/about-ofcom/latest/features-and-news/ landline-prices-review) Extract B BT profit rises BT Group, which includes BT Openreach and BT Retail, reported a rise in profit as revenue increased following the integration of the consumer mobile business, EE. BT finalised the takeover of EE in August 2016, and the integration has resulted in BT controlling 35% of the mobile consumer market. The profit of the UK-based telecommunication group in its 5 second quarter 2017 rose to £566 million. BT Group chief executive Gavin Patterson said: “We will operate a multi-brand strategy with UK customers being able to choose a mix of BT, EE or Plusnet services, depending on which suits them best. The acquisition enables us to offer great value bundles of services and customers are set to be the winners as we compete for their business”. 10 (Source: adapted from www.marketwatch.com (Oct 27 – 2016) and http://home.bt.com/ news/bt-life/bt-to-retain-ee-brand-as-acquisition-confirmed-11364037422234) Extract C BT to slash landline charges for 1 million customers Rental charges for landline-only customers – households with a telephone-only contract but no BT broadband – will fall from £18.99 to £11.99 per month after the regulator attacked existing deals as ‘poor value for money’. This rental reduction will save a million landline-only customers £84 a year. 5 The regulator Ofcom (Office of Communications) said it stepped in because these bills for landline-only customers – nearly two-thirds of whom are over 65 – have “soared” in recent years. This is despite BT and other landline providers benefiting from significant cuts in the wholesale line rental cost of providing the service by BT Openreach. Many landline-only customers are elderly, and have been with BT for decades. Ofcom has 10 focused on BT because it accounts for two-thirds of the UK’s 1.5m landline-only customers. A spokesperson for Ofcom said “This position [of dominance] has allowed BT to increase prices without much risk of losing customers, and other providers have followed BT’s pricing lead. We expect BT’s price cut to mean other providers will follow suit”. Ofcom 15 said that over three-quarters of BT’s landline-only customers have never switched provider, which has left them a prime target for price rises. The regulator said that all major landline providers have increased their line rental charges by between 23% and 47% in recent years, while their own costs for providing the service have fallen about 27%. Ofcom said it is also looking at measures to help people shop around for better 20 deals with more confidence. (Source: adapted from ‘BT to slash landline charges for 1m customers’, Mark Sweney, Copyright Guardian News & Media Ltd 2017 https://www.theguardian.com/business/2017/ oct/26/bt-to-slash-landline-charges-for-1m-customers)
(d) Discuss one likely reason for the rise in BT’s profit (Figure 2, Extracts B and C). Use a cost and revenue diagram to support your answer. (12)
June 2018 · Paper 1 · Q3(a) 2 marks AO2=2 Calculation
Data and extracts for question 33 The average fee charged by high-street estate agents to homeowners for selling property is 1.3% of the final sale price. (Source: http://www.which.co.uk/money/mortgages-and-property/home- movers/guides/selling-a-house/estate-agent-fees-and-contracts)
(a) Assume the selling fee is 1.3%. Calculate the payment received by an estate agent on a property sold for £489 000. You are advised to show your working. (2)
June 2018 · Paper 1 · Q4(a) 4 marks AO1=2, AO2=2 Calculation
Data and extracts for question 44 Emily owns and operates a nail ink salon. The diagram shows the cost and revenue curves for treatments at her nail ink salon. Initially, Emily sets her price to maximise profits. Costs, Revenue per treatment (£) MC AC 17 12 9 8 AR 0 25 36 Quantity of treatments MR per day
(a) Calculate the change in total supernormal profit if Emily changes her objective from profit maximisation to revenue maximisation. You are advised to show your working. (4)
June 2018 · Paper 3 · Q2(b) 8 marks AO1=2, AO2=2, AO3=2, AO4=2 8-mark response Hard
Data and extracts for question 2Indonesia Figure 4: World coal prices, 2006–2016, US dollars per tonne 250 200 150 $ per tonne 100 50 0 2006 08 10 12 14 16 (Source: http://www.economist.com/news/world-week/21697025-business-week) Figure 5: Indonesia’s real GDP, annual percentage change 10 5 + % 0 change – in GDP 5 10 15 2006 08 10 12 14 16 (Source: http://www.economist.com/news/world-week/21697025-business-week) Extract D Indonesia’s economic outlook The Indonesian economy is expected to grow by an average of 4.8% a year between 2017 and 2021. Joko Widodo, president of Indonesia since 2014, is increasingly confident in his role and now has enough political support to pass some of his desired supply-side reforms. His government has been aggressively trying to improve the business and investment 5 environment by easing regulations and offering tax incentives, for example to firms investing in special economic zones. Indonesia receives US$2.3 billion a year in overseas development aid, which is mainly spent on education and healthcare. There is also ongoing aid from international institutions and non-government organisations paying for restructuring after the 2004 10 Indian Ocean earthquake and tsunami, which led to the loss of over 170 000 lives and much damage to economic livelihood. Aid agencies have supported the Indonesian government in providing healthcare free at the point of access for 88 million of the poorest people, free schooling for 12 years for each child, and tertiary education for students accepted into university. There is a scheme to provide each of Indonesia’s 15 15.5 million poorest households with a cash transfer of 200 000 rupiah (US$14.37) a month. The World Bank has approved US$800 million in infrastructure loans to Indonesia, with another US$950 million as conditional loans. The Asian Development Bank has committed itself to lending US$2 billion. In December Japan’s development agency lent Indonesia US$535 million to construct two power stations. 20 (Sources: adapted from http://country.eiu.com/Indonesia and http://www.economist.com/ news/special-report/21693404-after-decades-underinvestment- infrastructure-spending-picking-up-last) Extract E Indonesia’s economic policies as commodity prices collapse Indonesia is the world’s fourth largest exporter of coal and the raw material accounts for 11% of its exports. Its other main exports are crude oil, palm oil, rubber and tin. Its main commodity exports tripled in value between 2000 and 2010, and as exports boomed, so did the economy. But the value of commodity exports has fallen by more than half from 5 its peak. Coal now sells for just US$50 per tonne, against US$125 in 2011. In the decade to 2014, Indonesia’s real GDP grew by an annual average of 6%, but the collapse in commodity prices has slowed the economy. In 2015 growth was 4.8%, the slowest rate since 2009. But compared with many other commodity exporters, Indonesia is getting off lightly. 10 The value of the rupiah, Indonesia’s currency, against the US dollar has fallen by 30% since 2013, but has since stabilised. Other emerging market currencies have depreciated even more steeply over that period. Despite the weak exchange rate, Indonesia’s inflation rate has mostly remained within the central bank’s target range of 3-5%. The main impact of the rupiah’s fall has been to curb imports, helping limit Indonesia’s current account 15 deficit to around 2% of GDP despite weaker export earnings. A cautious fiscal policy during the boom years has allowed for a modest fiscal expansion to offset the effects of weak exports and investment. The national debt is just 26% of GDP. Mr Widodo knows that Indonesia cannot raise its long-term growth rate if the economy remains reliant on coal. It needs a broader range of manufacturing and service industries. 20 If new enterprise is to flourish, Indonesia must support local entrepreneurship. The labour market is inflexible. To start a business takes an average of 47 days, compared with four in Malaysia and two in Singapore. The President’s supply-side policies are improving the business climate. The average number of days needed to approve a new power plant has declined from 900 to 200. The government recently revised its “negative investment 25 list” of sectors in which foreign ownership is banned or restricted, fully opening up the rubber, film and restaurant sectors, among others. In 2015 he launched a series of measures to try to reduce government failure, including easing some regulations, streamlining licensing procedures for firms on industrial estates and providing tax incentives to invest in special economic zones. 30 The government has used savings from cutting fuel subsidies, worth over 4% of GDP, to fund extra capital spending. But the budget deficit still widened to 2.8% of GDP, very close to the legal limit of 3%. If public expenditure is to increase further, the government will need to raise more revenue. That will not be easy. Most workers and employers pay little or no tax. Only 27 million of Indonesia’s 255 million people are registered taxpayers, 35 and in 2014 just 900 000 of them paid what they owed, leaving it with a tax revenue to GDP ratio of around 10%. Big companies say that they are being squeezed harder by the tax authorities because they are an easier target. Infrastructure spending will help bring foreign investment and good jobs to Indonesia as well as encouraging exports. Indonesia’s infrastructure problem can be summed up 40 as too few roads and congested ports. In the short term, infrastructure spending puts people to work and boosts demand for raw materials. In the longer term this spending offers the chance to make up for decades of neglect and underinvestment. Indonesia has plans for 65 dams, 16 of which are already under construction. In 2015 work started on the Keureuto Dam, designed to boost agricultural productivity in Aceh. Recently fields 45 were flooded for the massive Jatigede Dam in West Java, after 20 years of delays. Once complete, the dam will irrigate 90 000 hectares of rice paddy, increasing efficiency by giving farmers two harvests a year instead of one. (Sources: adapted from http://www.economist.com/news/special-report/21693405- secure-growth-it-needs-indonesia-must-resist-its-protectionist-urges-roll- out and http://www.economist.com/news/special-report/21693404-after- decades-underinvestment-infrastructure-spending-picking-up-last)
(b) Examine the likely effects on the profitability of Indonesian rice farmers of the government’s increased investment in dams (Extract E, lines 43-48). Use a cost and revenue diagram to support your answer. (8)
June 2017 · Paper 1 · Q4(a) 4 marks AO1=2, AO2=2 Diagram
Data and extracts for question 44 In 2015 JCB, the construction equipment manufacturer, experienced a 6% fall in revenue. This resulted from a reduction in sales of construction equipment to emerging markets.
(a) Draw a cost and revenue diagram to show the likely impact of a reduction in sales of construction equipment on JCB’s profits. (4)
June 2017 · Paper 1 · Q5(a) 1 mark Multiple choice
Data and extracts for question 55 Figure 1 shows the distribution of the revenue received from the sale of a Starbucks cappuccino drink priced at £2.27 in 2015. Figure 1 Coffee 4% Milk 4% Packaging 8% Rent/rates 15% Admin/ overheads 15% Labour 24% VAT 17% Profit 13% (Source: adapted from Allegra strategies research and analysis, reported in The Times, 27th January 2015)
(a) Which one of the following is a fixed cost to Starbucks? (1) A Coffee B Milk C Packaging D Rent
June 2017 · Paper 1 · Q5(b) 2 marks AO1=1, AO3=1 Short answer
Data and extracts for question 55 Figure 1 shows the distribution of the revenue received from the sale of a Starbucks cappuccino drink priced at £2.27 in 2015. Figure 1 Coffee 4% Milk 4% Packaging 8% Rent/rates 15% Admin/ overheads 15% Labour 24% VAT 17% Profit 13% (Source: adapted from Allegra strategies research and analysis, reported in The Times, 27th January 2015)
(b) Explain the difference between fixed costs and variable costs. (2)
June 2017 · Paper 1 · Q5(c) 2 marks AO2=2 Calculation
Data and extracts for question 55 Figure 1 shows the distribution of the revenue received from the sale of a Starbucks cappuccino drink priced at £2.27 in 2015. Figure 1 Coffee 4% Milk 4% Packaging 8% Rent/rates 15% Admin/ overheads 15% Labour 24% VAT 17% Profit 13% (Source: adapted from Allegra strategies research and analysis, reported in The Times, 27th January 2015)
(c) With reference to Figure 1, calculate the profit (in pence) for a cappuccino drink. You are advised to show your working. (2)
June 2017 · Paper 3 · Q2(c) 12 marks AO1=2, AO2=2, AO3=4, AO4=4 12-mark response
Data and extracts for question 2The UK economy Figure 4: UK national debt as a percentage of GDP 90 Forecast 80 70 60 % of 50 GDP 40 30 20 10 0 (Source: http://budgetresponsibility.org.uk/docs/dlm_uploads/BriefGuide_020511.pdf) Figure 5: UK fiscal deficit, public sector net borrowing (PSNB) 80 Forecast 40 £ billion 0 –40 –80 –120 –160 (Source: http://budgetresponsibility.org.uk/docs/dlm_uploads/BriefGuide_020511.pdf) Figure 6: Labour productivity per head, selected countries UK Spain France Indices: 2008 Q1(base) = 100 120 115 110 105 100 Index 95 90 85 80 75 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 (Source: http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/Documents/ quarterlybulletin/2014/qb14q201.pdf) Extract C The National Living Wage (NLW) The Government has announced that from 2016 it will introduce a Living Wage Premium that will apply on top of the National Minimum Wage (NMW) for employees aged 25 and over to deliver a National Living Wage (NLW) for those people. The main NMW will continue to be set for all employees aged 21 and over, so that those aged 21 to 24 will 5 continue to be subject only to that rate. The effective minimum wage for the 25+ age group will therefore be over 13% higher in 2020 than would otherwise have been the case, and result in a 0.3% increase in wage costs overall. Further impacts on real GDP are estimated to be higher productivity (+0.3%) but lower average hours worked (-0.2%) and higher unemployment. Overall real 10 GDP is forecast to fall by 0.1% as a result of the NLW. However these forecasts depend on estimates of the likely elasticity of demand for labour. Academic evidence suggests that changes to the NMW since 1999 have led to only limited effects on demand for labour in the UK. The types of work that will be affected are relatively labour intensive, which may limit the scope for firms to substitute towards 15 using capital. Firms may also be expected to shift demand in favour of the under-25s given that they will not be subject to the NLW, which all else being equal would lead to a smaller reduction in overall labour demand. Some of the reduction in employees could also be partially offset by a rise in self-employment. But increasing the NLW to a higher proportion of median earnings may lead to bigger effects than have been experienced in 20 the past. (Sources: adapted from http://cdn.budgetresponsibility.independent.gov.uk/ July-2015-EFO-234224.pdf and http://budgetresponsibility.independent.gov.uk/) Extract D The productivity puzzle in the UK Since the onset of the 2007–2008 financial crisis, labour productivity growth in the UK has been exceptionally weak. Despite some modest improvements in 2013, whole-economy output per hour remains around 16% below the level implied by its pre-crisis trend. Even taking into account possible measurement issues and changes 5 in the size of the service sector, this shortfall is large and is often referred to as the ‘productivity puzzle’. Measures of productivity can be used to inform estimates of an economy’s ability to grow without generating excessive inflationary pressure, which makes understanding recent movements important for the conduct of monetary policy. During the initial phases 10 of the recession, companies appear to have acted flexibly by holding on to labour and lowering levels of capacity utilisation in response to weak demand conditions. But the protracted weakness in productivity and the strength in employment growth over the past two years suggest that other factors are likely to be having a more persistent impact on the level of productivity. These factors are reduced investment in both physical and 15 intangible capital, such as innovation and training, and failings in the labour market such as immobility of labour and under-employment of skilled workers. Some economists explain this by using the concept of an output gap. (Source: adapted from http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/ Documents/quarterlybulletin/2014/qb14q201.pdf)
(c) Discuss the likely impact of the National Living Wage on the profitability of firms. Use a cost and revenue diagram in your answer. (12)

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