The nature of economics and the economic problem Theme 1

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A-level Paper 1 (and Paper 3); AS Paper 1
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AS and A level
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Section 1.1, 3 statements
Since 2016
21 question parts: 0 essays, 1 levels-marked responses, 5 multiple-choice items

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June 2025 · AS Paper 1 · Q1(b) 3 marks AO1=1, AO2=1, AO3=1 Short answer
(b) Using an example from your own knowledge, explain the distinction between renewable and non-renewable resources. (3)
June 2025 · AS Paper 1 · Q6(d) 4 marks AO1=2, AO2=2 Short answer
Data and extracts for question 6Sources for use with SECTION B Read the following figures (1 and 2) and extracts (A and B) before answering Question 6. The market for meat and the growth of vegetarianism Figure 1 The impact of subsidies on farmer income, in England, 2018–2019 (£000 per farm) Cereals Dairy Grazing livestock Pigs Poultry Mixed -20 0 20 40 60 80 100 £000 per farm Key Profit Subsidies (Source: adapted from www.FT.com) Figure 2 Potential impact of indirect tax rises on meat prices per kg, 2023–2030 Before indirect After indirect Type of Meat tax increases tax increases Beef/Veal £24.24 £29.50 Chicken £7.60 £8.63 (Source: adapted from Tax beef, pork and chicken to help climate and health, EU urged – CGTN) Extract A The case for cutting out meat Around a third of Britons are reducing the amount of meat they eat or are cutting it out altogether. Are these consumers right to be cutting out meat? For a start, there are the greenhouse gases released as a result of producing food. The evidence is clear that switching to a plant-based diet would lower emissions. A UK study found that eating a 5 diet high in meat costs 7.2 kg carbon dioxide emissions per day, compared with 3.8 kg for vegetarians. It would also free up land for other uses. Nearly 80% of the world’s farmland is dedicated to rearing animals; a plant-based diet would cut the use of land for agriculture by 76%. The land currently used by grazing livestock could be used for “rewilding”, allowing the environment and animal species destroyed by meat farming to 10 recover. Our health and wealth would be better too. A study published in 2016 modelled what would happen to our health and the global economy if we all switched to vegetarian diets. The economic benefits of switching to plant-based diets could be as much as £700 billion to £1 trillion per year in terms of savings on healthcare costs and lost 15 working days due to ill health. Some economists recommend an increased indirect tax on animal products so that their prices reflect the cost of externalities. This could impact on European farmers, if adopted by the European Union. The tax could bring £35 billion to the EU, with around £15 billion of that going directly to farmers. The 20 rest would be used to bring down VAT on fruit and vegetables, and fund other policies to encourage healthy-eating diets both in and outside the EU. (Source: adapted from https://moneyweek.com/499842/the-economic- consequences-of-veganism December-28-2018) Extract B Businesses benefitting from meat-substitute products There is one group for whom the trend towards meat-substitute products is definitely a good thing: processed food manufacturers and retailers. Finest British beef burgers are priced at £6.61 per kg. The ‘fake burger’ (which is made mostly of pea protein) is priced at £21.81 per kg even though the ingredients used to 5 make them, such as mushrooms, peas and palm oil, are cheaper ingredients than meat. Despite high prices, demand continues to rise for these products. This might benefit shareholders, but is it doing any real good for the rest of us? A large food producer bought meat-substitute product maker Vegetarian Butcher in December 2018 and is moving towards a range with more meat-substitute products. 10 In 2017, Nestlé bought Sweet Earth, a California-based maker of vegetarian foods, and it is launching its own meat-substitute ‘Incredible Burger’. It expects its meat-substitute revenues to reach $1 billion by 2029. As subsidies are being cut in every area of farming, consumers ought to be willing to pay higher prices for all food products. If farmers are to stay in business, they need to find 15 additional sources of revenue such as oyster mushrooms, goji berries and basil. (Source: adapted from http://www.financialtimes.com/the-veganism-boom-does- more-for-food-company-profits-than-the-planet February-22-2019)
(d) Using examples from either Extract A or Extract B, explain what is meant by positive and normative economic statements. (4)
June 2024 · AS Paper 1 · Q1(a) 3 marks AO1=1, AO2=1, AO3=1 Short answer
Data and extracts for question 11 Scarcity of non‑renewable resources, such as oil, is a key reason why alternative resources have been developed by economies. In recent years, within the energy market there has been a large increase in the production of wind power.
(a) With reference to the information provided, explain the distinction between renewable and non‑renewable resources. (3)
June 2024 · AS Paper 1 · Q1(b) 1 mark AO1=1 Multiple choice
Data and extracts for question 11 Scarcity of non‑renewable resources, such as oil, is a key reason why alternative resources have been developed by economies. In recent years, within the energy market there has been a large increase in the production of wind power.
(b) Which one of the following best describes ‘scarcity’? (1) A An extension of the demand curve B Excess supply C Insufficient resources to satisfy wants D The misallocation of resources
June 2024 · AS Paper 1 · Q4(a) 1 mark AO1=1 Multiple choice
Data and extracts for question 44 Statement 1 Finland has schools with an average class size of 19.6 Statement 2 Other countries ought to set school class sizes similar to Finland. (Source adapted from: https://www.oph.fi/en/news/2019)
(a) Which one of the following best describes the two statements above? (1) Statement 1 Statement 2 A Normative Normative B Normative Positive C Positive Normative D Positive Positive
June 2024 · AS Paper 1 · Q4(b) 3 marks AO1=1, AO2=1, AO3=1 Short answer
Data and extracts for question 44 Statement 1 Finland has schools with an average class size of 19.6 Statement 2 Other countries ought to set school class sizes similar to Finland. (Source adapted from: https://www.oph.fi/en/news/2019)
5% of total government spending in Finland is on education and therefore other areas of the economy have reduced funding as a result, including the military despite an increase in recent global conflicts. (b) With reference to the information above, explain what is meant by ‘opportunity cost’. (3)
June 2024 · AS Paper 1 · Q5(b) 1 mark AO1=1 Definition
Data and extracts for question 55 Chief Executive Elon Musk said “affordability” was the biggest barrier to Tesla reaching a far larger market. Before recent price cuts for its electric vehicles, he said, “We weren’t sure about what the price elasticity of demand was for Tesla. We found that even small changes in price have a big impact on demand.” (Source adapted from: https://www.ft.com/)
(b) Define the term ‘ceteris paribus’. (1)
June 2023 · AS Paper 1 · Q3(b) 1 mark Multiple choice
Data and extracts for question 33 Disruption in the supply chains of essential goods and shortages of key medical products during the global health crisis have highlighted the links between countries and renewed the debate on the advantages and disadvantages of specialisation. (Source: adapted from https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/cbp-8978/)
(b) Which one of the following is a positive economic statement? (1) A Disruption to global supply chains will reduce the level of trade B Supply chain disruption is the most important issue facing governments C The free market leads to the best allocation of resources D The government ought to increase healthcare spending
June 2023 · Paper 3 · Q1(a) 5 marks AO1=2, AO2=2, AO3=1 Short answer
Data and extracts for question 1The UK economy Figure 1: UK gas prices in pence per therm, August 2002 to August 2022 600 500 400 Pence per 300 therm 200 100 0 Aug Aug Aug 2002 2012 2022 Figure 2: UK inflation, CPI, August 2002 to August 2022 10 9.9 8 6 (%) 4 2 0 –2 Aug Aug Aug 2002 2012 2022 Extract A Fiscal policy changes in the UK, Autumn 2022 After many changes in policy, people earning above £150 000 will now no longer benefit from the tax cut in the September 2022 mini‑budget, which proposed the removal of the 45% tax band. The proposed change in the main 20% standard rate of income tax moving to 19% has been postponed. 5 In April 2022, a 1.25% rise in national insurance contributions was implemented, labelled as a health and social care levy. It was cancelled in Autumn 2022. Britain’s poorest households would have lost £7.56 a year from the national insurance rise. The richest 10% of households, earning an average of £108 000, would have lost £1 800. Another measure in the Truss Government’s £30 billion tax cut proposals that would have 10 benefitted the rich, was the removal of the 2023 planned rise in corporation tax from 19% to 25%. The former chancellor wanted to cut the tax to 15% but this was the wrong time to do this. The former chancellor also removed the 2014 cap on bankers’ bonuses, clearly an unfair decision at the time when public sector workers were told to accept pay caps to keep inflation under control. 15 The reflationary fiscal policy triggered warnings that the Monetary Policy Committee of the Bank of England would raise interest rates further – having already raised them from 0.1% in 2021 to 2.25% in September 2022. This meant an end to the fiscal rules set by the government in the recent past: debt to be falling as a share of national income by 2024 and no borrowing for day‑to‑day spending. 20 (Source: adapted from ‘Tax cuts benefit high income earners the most’ R Merrick The Independent: 19 September 2022 and FT Source: adapted from Sebastian Payne and Chris Giles in London 29 August 2022) Extract B Inequality to rise in the UK The rising cost of living is expected to affect low‑income families the most. Inflation in Autumn 2022 is expected to hit 14% for families in the poorest tenth of the income distribution, compared with 8% for families in the richest tenth, driven in large part by rising energy costs and food prices. Around half of the food consumed in the UK is 5 imported, and the 20% fall in the value of the pound in 2022 has affected lower income groups more because food is a higher proportion of their spending. The government’s decision to freeze benefits, rather than allowing them to rise in line with current inflation, means that the support provided is a real terms cut for families currently receiving high levels of benefits. A two‑year freeze on energy price caps will now only last until April 10 2023, which would have kept the average energy bill at £2 500 rather than £3 500. (Source: adapted from IFS Report: Living standards, poverty and inequality in the UK: July 2022 and https://www.ft.com/content/6de5b52e- 64c8-4997-8939-e1c59172daa7?shareType=nongift)
(a) Explain the difference between a positive and a normative statement, using an example of each from Extract A. (5)
June 2022 · AS Paper 1 · Q4(a) 3 marks AO1=1, AO2=1, AO3=1 Short answer
Data and extracts for question 44 A large number of people should be vaccinated against a new virus, so that even those who are not vaccinated will benefit.
(a) With reference to the statement above, explain the difference between positive and normative statements. (3)
November 2021 · Paper 1 · Q1(a) 1 mark AO1=1 Multiple choice
Data and extracts for question 11 Statement 1: Since Poland joined the European Union (EU) in 2004, over one million of its workforce have migrated to other countries in the EU. Statement 2: Many engineers have left Poland for higher paid jobs in other countries in the EU. (Source: https://www.forbes.com/sites/freylindsay/2019/08/09/polands-emigration-rate-is- falling-but-people-are-still-worried-about-the-brain-drain-bogeyman/#9550525792e6)
(a) Which one of the following best describes the two statements above? (1) Statement 1 Statement 2 A Normative Normative B Normative Positive C Positive Normative D Positive Positive
October 2020 · AS Paper 1 · Q3(b) 3 marks AO1=1, AO2=1, AO3=1 Short answer
Data and extracts for question 33 The ‘Energy Company Obligation’ is the government’s term for its programme to make houses in the UK more energy efficient.
(b) Explain an opportunity cost to the government of granting subsidies to energy suppliers to install loft insulation. (3)
October 2020 · AS Paper 1 · Q6(b) 10 marks AO1=2, AO2=2, AO3=2, AO4=4 10-mark response
Data and extracts for question 6The market for higher education in the UK Figure 1: Average graduate earnings, according to subject studied, compared to average non-graduate earnings (per cent) 2018 selected subjects. Economics Medicine Architecture Business Top 5 Law Bottom 5 Psychology Philosophy English Agriculture Creative arts –20% 0% 20% 40% (Source: adapted from https://www.ifs.org.uk/publications/13731 The impact of undergraduate degrees on early-career earnings, Research report, November 2018) Figure 2: Student loans outstanding at the end of financial years 2013 to 2018 in England 120 000 100 000 80 000 60 000 102 357 87 629 74 960 40 000 63 776 53 668 45 418 20 000 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Financial year (Source: adapted from https://www.slc.co.uk/official-statistics/ student-loans-debt-and-repayment/england.aspx) Figure 3: Number of applications to UCAS according to median income of area lowest household highest household income below £23 000 income above £35 400 90 000 80 000 70 000 60 000 50 000 40 000 30 000 20 000 10 000 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 (Source: adapted from https://www.ucas.com/corporate/data-and-analysis/ucas-undergraduate- releases/2018-cycle-applicant-figures-january-deadline) Extract A Rethinking tuition fees The value of a degree is significant. The latest data shows that the median university graduate income was £10 000 more than the average non-graduate income in 2018. This ‘graduate premium’ means graduates will contribute significantly to the economy. In addition, the government will benefit greatly from additional tax revenues. 5 However, funding higher education continues to be a major issue. English universities charge some of the world’s highest fees. Interest rates on student loans are now 6.3%. There are a large number of courses where graduates are likely to earn less than non-graduates, despite an average of £50 000 of debt. The Department for Education estimates that 45% of the value of loans will not be 10 repaid. Outstanding student loans in England totalled more than £100 billion in 2018. By 2023 total outstanding student loans are forecast to rise to £120 billion. One option for revising student fees could be to charge higher fees for courses that are more expensive to teach or that have a better chance of higher earnings. That would make Science or Mathematics degrees more expensive to study than English or 15 Philosophy. At most universities the level of fees is likely to be the same flat rate of £9 250 per year. However, science-based courses need more expensive equipment and courses such as medicine require more teaching time and personal instruction. Tuition fees were introduced in 1998 at £1 000 per year. They are currently £9 250. 20 Economists estimate that the price elasticity of demand for higher education is about –0.5. Charging £9 250 a year for an undergraduate degree makes England very expensive by international standards. Scotland has no fees for Scottish students, and fees in Wales and Northern Ireland are significantly lower. Much of Europe has low or no fees and Germany, which used to charge fees, has abolished them, replacing them with a graduate tax. 25 The only country with comparable fees is the United States. Top private colleges can charge more than the equivalent of £30 000 per year while state colleges can charge local students less than fees in England. Despite this, student numbers at English universities have continued to increase from 450 000 in 1998 to over 700 000 in 2018. Students from all backgrounds are more likely to 30 go to university than ever before. However, applicants from low-income areas are much less likely to go to university than applicants from high-income areas. The Universities and Colleges Admissions Service (UCAS) found that in the most deprived 10% of postal areas about 20% of young people went to university in 2018, compared with 50% in the highest income areas. Research 35 by University College London revealed that even when candidates from low-income areas had the same exam results, they were much less likely to apply to university than candidates from high-income areas. (Source: adapted from https://www.theguardian.com/education/2018/dec/16/change-in-student-loan- accounting-could-add-10bn-to-national-debt) Extract B Low-income university students twice as likely to drop out than high-income ones The number of students from low-income areas who drop out of university before finishing their degree is at its highest in five years, indicating a considerable waste of scarce educational resources. This news comes at the same time as a drive to recruit students from poorer backgrounds, with universities spending a total of £725 million on 5 access initiatives in the past academic year alone. A number of top universities have started to lower their A level grade offers to students from low-income areas, in an attempt to encourage them to apply. However, there is a danger with ‘enticing’ disadvantaged students through lower grade offers, if universities are not going to provide ongoing support for them once they begin their courses. 10 The latest figures show that 9% of disadvantaged undergraduates do not continue in higher education beyond their first year. In comparison, the average drop-out rate among students from the high-income backgrounds was less than 5%. The gap continues to widen. A report, published by the Office for Fair Access, concluded that: ‘The significance of 15 this for students is huge. Higher education can be a transformational experience that opens doors to rewarding careers and social mobility, but this is only the case if students achieve successful outcomes.’ (Source: adapted from https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/06/28/number-poor-students-dropping- university-highest-level-five/)
According to Extract B, the drop-out rate of students from low-income households is much higher than that of high-income households. (b) Assess the likely impact of these drop-out rates on the allocation of resources within an economy. (10)
June 2019 · AS Paper 1 · Q6(a) 5 marks AO1=1, AO2=2, AO3=2 Short answer
Data and extracts for question 6Health provision Figure 1: National Health Service (NHS) in England: Government spending and projected funding gap, £ billions, 2015 to 2020 140 Government spending required to meet forecast demand 130 120 £ billions 110 100 Government spending on the NHS 90 0 2015 2016 2018 2019 2017 2020 (Source: https://www.economist.com/news/britain/21706563-nhs-mess- reformers-believe-new-models-health-care-many-pioneered) Figure 2: Percentage of NHS patients in England waiting over 18 weeks for non-emergency treatment 12% 10% 10.1% Jan 2017 8% 5.7% Jan 2013 6% 4% 2% 0% Jan 2013 Jan 2014 Jan 2015 Jan 2016 Jan 2017 (Source: https://www.statista.com/chart/8813/more-and- more-people-made-to-wait-by-the-nhs/) Extract A Hospitals already full National Health Service (NHS) managers’ warned that bed occupancy rates are approaching 99% in some parts of the country, compared with recommended levels of 85%. In 2017 the number of patients waiting for non-urgent treatment passed the four million mark, the highest figure for almost a decade. 5 The chief executive of the NHS suggested that waiting list targets for routine operations such as hip and knee replacements would have to be sacrificed in order to protect other services, including accident and emergency (A&E) and cancer care. However, the government has insisted waiting time targets must still be met. Recently the Chancellor awarded the NHS £2.8 billion over three years, including £1.6 billion 10 in 2018 - less than the £4 billion which NHS officials had asked for to keep up with an ageing population and new medical technologies. NHS managers said there was now very little spare capacity in the system, warning of shortages of paramedics, doctors, A&E consultants and nurses. (Source: adapted from http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/12/07/hospitals- already-full-bursting-pressures-mount-warn-nhs-chiefs/) Extract B How health care is funded Most countries have a mixed economy of health provision typically funded from taxation, patient fees and private health insurance. The NHS was launched in the UK in 1948 to ensure direct state provision by the government of health care ‘free at the point of use’. The NHS is mainly funded from 5 general taxation. However, some NHS patients pay for some of their medical care, such as prescriptions to buy medicine. In the ongoing debate about how best to fund the NHS, some people have proposed introducing a £12 charge for visiting a General Practitioner (GP) doctor. Proponents argue that such a charge would deter overuse of GP services by those who do not have 10 genuine health needs. It would also raise additional money for the NHS and create incentives which will stimulate innovation and more choice. Estimates suggested that a £12 charge on the 450 million visits a year to GPs could have raised enough to cover hospitals’ overspend in 2016. Based on exemptions for prescriptions, 90% of patients will not be charged including the elderly, children and low 15 income groups. There would also be administrative costs of collecting the charge and verifying exemptions. These arrangements would significantly reduce the amount a charge would generate, assuming no one paying would be dissuaded from visiting their GP. The proportion of people in the UK taking out private health insurance (PHI) to pay for private health care has increased to 10.6%, despite significant increases in the 20 prices of treatment in private hospitals. Some economists argue that the government should provide subsidies to encourage people to take out private health insurance. This would reduce the burden on the NHS by taking some people out of the state system. Furthermore it is argued that private health care increases choice for users, encourages competition and drives up standards of care. 25 A typical PHI policy for a healthy 35-year-old costs about £650 a year but this rises steeply to £2 300 for those aged 70, when claims are far more likely. The level of contribution is based on their risk of requiring health care. PHI also tends to incur high management and administrative costs due to the resources required to assess risk and claims. Also there is the possibility of market failure given asymmetric information. 30 (Source: adapted from https://www.kingsfund.org.uk/ publications/how-health-care-is-funded) Extract C Public parks are a public good Public parks are places which people can use for free to exercise or to relax. Parkrun Limited organises free weekly runs in local parks attracting hundreds of joggers per park to enjoy healthy exercise. The government is proposing to ban local authorities charging Parkrun for the use of public parks to fund the maintenance of public parks. The 5 government considers that it is appropriate for the public to pay a reasonable sum for the private use of a facility such as a tennis court or a football pitch which may be used exclusively. However, the government does not consider it appropriate for a local authority to charge a volunteer community group ‘seeking to provide a free weekly event’ for the use of a public park. Parkrun share the park with other park users. Although a running 10 course may be marked out there is no restriction on other people using the park. (Source: adapted from © Crown Copyright Running Free – Government consultation on preserving the free use of public parks, April 2017, https://www.gov.uk/ government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/608372/ Parkrun_ConDoc.pdf and http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/04/14/ councils-banned-charging-runners-take-part-regular-saturday/)
(a) With reference to Extract A and Figure 2, explain how the health care market in the UK illustrates the economic problem. (5)
June 2019 · Paper 1 · Q6(a) 5 marks AO1=1, AO2=2, AO3=2 Short answer
Data and extracts for question 6Energy and telecommunication markets in the UK Figure 1: Average annual household bill from the Big Six UK energy suppliers, 2017 1250 1000 * 750 Average annual bill £ 500 250 0 Average annual bill on standard variable tariff Supplier’s cheapest annual average tariff *market cheapest annual tariff (Source: https://www.lovemoney.com/news/67298/standard-variable-tariff-compared- cheapest-deal-provider-savings) Extract A Energy price cap to fix ‘broken’ market in UK The Prime Minister recently said that the regulator Ofgem (Office of Gas and Electricity Markets) should limit electricity and gas suppliers’ most expensive tariffs. Under the planned new legislation, the energy bills of 11 million households will be capped for as long as five years. The government claimed this cap could save households 5 up to £100 a year. This legislation would force Ofgem to change the licence conditions for energy suppliers so that they are required to cap electricity and gas prices. The measure will apply to anyone on a standard variable tariff, the expensive plans that customers are moved to when cheaper, fixed-price deals end. Ofgem will need to consult energy companies on how the cap is calculated, the government said. The Prime Minister 10 repeated her claim that she had to act because the ‘market is broken’, a charge the big energy companies reject. “I have been clear that our broken energy market has to change – it has to offer fairer prices for millions of loyal customers who have been paying hundreds of pounds too much,” she said. However, Michael Lewis, chief executive of E.ON said “the government must guard 15 against any unintended consequences that undermine customer service and push up prices as a whole. A price cap will not be good for customers. It will reduce competition and innovation”. Smaller suppliers such as First Utility said the Big Six had only themselves to blame for the cap, because they had kept millions of people on standard variable tariffs. 20 (Source: adapted from ‘UK puts energy efficiency at heart of climate change strategy’, Adam Vaughan, Copyright Guardian News & Media Ltd 2017 https://www.theguardian.com/ money/2017/oct/12/may-energy-price-cap-ofgem-electricity-gas-tariffs) Figure 2: The monthly rental cost of a telephone landline BT Retail 20 19 Virgin Media 18 Orange/EE 17 Wholesale 16 Line Rental* 15 Price 14 (£) 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 *Wholesale line rental – the rental price BT Openreach charges telephone service providers (Source: https://www.ofcom.org.uk/about-ofcom/latest/features-and-news/ landline-prices-review) Extract B BT profit rises BT Group, which includes BT Openreach and BT Retail, reported a rise in profit as revenue increased following the integration of the consumer mobile business, EE. BT finalised the takeover of EE in August 2016, and the integration has resulted in BT controlling 35% of the mobile consumer market. The profit of the UK-based telecommunication group in its 5 second quarter 2017 rose to £566 million. BT Group chief executive Gavin Patterson said: “We will operate a multi-brand strategy with UK customers being able to choose a mix of BT, EE or Plusnet services, depending on which suits them best. The acquisition enables us to offer great value bundles of services and customers are set to be the winners as we compete for their business”. 10 (Source: adapted from www.marketwatch.com (Oct 27 – 2016) and http://home.bt.com/ news/bt-life/bt-to-retain-ee-brand-as-acquisition-confirmed-11364037422234) Extract C BT to slash landline charges for 1 million customers Rental charges for landline-only customers – households with a telephone-only contract but no BT broadband – will fall from £18.99 to £11.99 per month after the regulator attacked existing deals as ‘poor value for money’. This rental reduction will save a million landline-only customers £84 a year. 5 The regulator Ofcom (Office of Communications) said it stepped in because these bills for landline-only customers – nearly two-thirds of whom are over 65 – have “soared” in recent years. This is despite BT and other landline providers benefiting from significant cuts in the wholesale line rental cost of providing the service by BT Openreach. Many landline-only customers are elderly, and have been with BT for decades. Ofcom has 10 focused on BT because it accounts for two-thirds of the UK’s 1.5m landline-only customers. A spokesperson for Ofcom said “This position [of dominance] has allowed BT to increase prices without much risk of losing customers, and other providers have followed BT’s pricing lead. We expect BT’s price cut to mean other providers will follow suit”. Ofcom 15 said that over three-quarters of BT’s landline-only customers have never switched provider, which has left them a prime target for price rises. The regulator said that all major landline providers have increased their line rental charges by between 23% and 47% in recent years, while their own costs for providing the service have fallen about 27%. Ofcom said it is also looking at measures to help people shop around for better 20 deals with more confidence. (Source: adapted from ‘BT to slash landline charges for 1m customers’, Mark Sweney, Copyright Guardian News & Media Ltd 2017 https://www.theguardian.com/business/2017/ oct/26/bt-to-slash-landline-charges-for-1m-customers)
(a) With reference to Extract A, explain the difference between a positive statement and a normative statement. (5)
June 2019 · Paper 3 · Q2(a) 5 marks AO1=2, AO2=2, AO3=1 Short answer
Data and extracts for question 2Mozambique Figure 2: Interest rates (bank rate of the central bank) and inflation rates of selected African countries, 2017 Selected country Central bank Inflation rate rate of interest (CPI measure) Congo (D.R.) 14% 13.8% Ghana 21% 9.1% Kenya 10% 10.1% Malawi 18% 21.4% Mozambique 21.75% 18.0% Nigeria 14% 21.1% (Source: official government websites, and other news sources, July 2017) Extract D Rising debt levels in Africa Increases in national debt have brought several African governments towards a debt-servicing crisis when the repayment of debt and interest become unsustainable. Between 2010 and 2015, many sub-Saharan countries raised debt totalling more than £20 billion. Back then, with commodity prices soaring and foreign loans available at very 5 low interest rates, everyone agreed that borrowing was the way to grow an economy with expansionary fiscal policy. Since 2015, some African governments – beneficiaries of big debt write-offs at the start of the century – have taken to private debt markets too eagerly, leaving them with heavy repayment schedules at a time of lower commodity prices. 10 Until recently, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has played down African debt concerns, pointing to better management of public resources and greater transparency. But it was shaken by Mozambique’s default on more than £2 billion of secret loans used to purchase a non-existent tuna-fishing fleet, raising fears of hidden debt in other African countries with similar levels of corruption. The median level of debt in sub-Saharan Africa 15 had risen sharply from 34% of gross domestic product in 2013 to 48% in 2017. Although that is low by international standards, analysts said debt burdens were heavier than they appeared because of most African countries’ low tax base. “The real thing to look for is debt to revenue, or debt-service as a percentage of government spending,” said John Ashbourne, Africa Economist at Capital Economics. In several countries, he said, debt 20 payments were above 20% of government revenue, with an opportunity cost in terms of government spending. (Source: adapted from African debt worries intensify as levels near tipping point by David Pilling © Financial Times 2017 https://www.ft.com/ content/939808dc-b4d8-11e7-a398-73d59db9e399) Extract E Mozambique’s economic stability is being put to the test The economy of Mozambique, which gained independence from Portugal in 1975, has continued to under-perform. Large-scale emigration, especially of skilled workers, economic dependence on South Africa, a severe drought, a prolonged civil war and political tensions have hindered the country’s development. More than half of 5 Mozambique’s 26 million people continue to live below the poverty line. GDP growth declined to 3.6% in 2016 due to fiscal tightening and a slowdown in foreign direct investment. A weak manufacturing sector employs just 3.2% of the population, and is made up of small enterprises (90%), many of which were set up with the aid of microfinance. Traditional export earnings dropped due to depressed global demand. 10 In addition a wide-scale drought seriously affected agricultural production. Foreign currency inflows have weakened – as large-scale gas projects were put on hold, and 14 external lenders suspended direct budget support, as a lesson to be learned from the tuna-fleet scandal. The state budget deficit was 10.7% of GDP in 2017. High interest rates have reduced aggregate demand, and import costs added to inflation following further 15 depreciation of Mozambique’s currency, the metical, to a new low of 100 meticals to £1. Mozambique needs urgently to improve its investment environment and confidence in its institutions. The World Economic Forum’s global competitiveness ranking placed Mozambique 136 out of 137 countries. Longer term, Mozambique’s economic prospects are promising. There has been 20 progress in talks on restoring international confidence in the government’s running of the economy, leading to a lasting and sustainable agreement between rival political groups. The development of gas fields off Mozambique’s coast discovered in 2011 is set to transform the economy, coming into production in the 2020s. A rise in coal and electricity exports should help growth to increase. But in the short term, it remains 25 uncertain whether Mozambique can deliver badly needed economic stability. (Source: adapted from http://www.africaneconomicoutlook.org/en/country-notes/ mozambiqua and https://www.chathamhouse.org/expert/comment/ mozambique-s-stability-being-put-test 6 October 2017 Dr Alex Vines OBE) Extract F Microfinance in Mozambique Microfinance in Mozambique started in the late 1980s through projects initiated by international relief organisations. The sector has expanded to include many private banks and non-government organisations (NGOs), see Figure 3. This has resulted in wider use (over 100 000 borrowers) and many new business start-ups which could not have gained 5 finance from any other source. Evidence suggests that there is unfulfilled demand for microfinance and a large potential for expansion. (Source: adapted from http://www.mftransparency.org/microfinance-pricing/mozambique/) Figure 3: The cost of microfinance loans in Mozambique, 2015 Each symbol represents loans 200% to a number of borrowers (up to 2 000) by one institution. Institution Type Private banks 150% NGO 100% Mean annual percentage rate of interest 50% 0% 40 000 0 20 000 60 000 Loan size (meticals) (Source: http://www.mftransparency.org/microfinance-pricing/mozambique/)
(a) With reference to Extract D line 21, explain why ‘opportunity cost’ is a problem for governments of developing countries when servicing debt. (5)
June 2018 · AS Paper 1 · Q1(a) 1 mark Multiple choice
Data and extracts for question 11 Statement 1: Cuba has a healthcare system with a patient to doctor ratio of 155:1. Statement 2: Other countries ought to adopt a similar healthcare system to that which exists in Cuba.
(a) Which one of the following best describes the two statements above? (1) Statement 1 Statement 2 A Normative Normative B Normative Positive C Positive Normative D Positive Positive
June 2018 · AS Paper 1 · Q1(b) 2 marks AO2=2 Calculation
Data and extracts for question 11 Statement 1: Cuba has a healthcare system with a patient to doctor ratio of 155:1. Statement 2: Other countries ought to adopt a similar healthcare system to that which exists in Cuba.
(b) Cuba’s population is estimated to be 11 million. With reference to Statement 1 above, calculate the estimated number of doctors in Cuba. You are advised to show your working. (2)
June 2018 · AS Paper 1 · Q2(c) 1 mark AO1=1 Definition
Data and extracts for question 22 In February 2016 the Daily Mail newspaper increased its price from 60p to 65p. By August 2016 its sales had fallen by 5.41%.
(c) Define the term ‘ceteris paribus’. (1)
June 2018 · AS Paper 1 · Q6(d) 4 marks AO1=2, AO2=2 Short answer
Data and extracts for question 6Energy markets Figure 1: Annual surplus or shortage of uranium, measured in millions of kilograms 25 Kg millions 15 5 0 -5 -15 -25 Figures from 2016 are forecast (Source: adapted from http://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2016/11/20/uranium- the-unloved-metal-whose-price-is-poised-to-go-radioactiv/) Extract A Uranium: the unloved metal Uranium is a fuel source for nuclear energy production. The price of uranium has fallen to a 13-year low. Uranium is a relatively common metal but locating it in the right concentrations can be difficult. Australia has the biggest known resource of uranium, followed by Kazakhstan. Kazakhstan’s production has increased significantly since 2007, 5 accounting for a large proportion of the surplus of this metal. Given the large stockpiles of uranium some firms have ceased production. The biggest impact on the uranium market has been the devastating accident at the nuclear power station in Fukushima, Japan, in 2011. The accident caused a leak of radiation. The accident reduced confidence in the entire nuclear industry, as high doses 10 of radiation leaks increase the risk of cancer. In addition the high cost of safely storing radioactive waste has delayed the building of new nuclear power stations. Japan initially closed all of its 50 nuclear power stations which reduced the demand for uranium. But it has since concluded that nuclear power must be part of its mix of energy suppliers. Despite this setback in 2016 work started on a new uranium mine in Spain to meet 15 the expected rise in demand for the metal. Uranium is a controlled material, so mining companies have to comply with many regulations before opening a new mine. When it opens in 2018, this will be the only uranium mine in Europe, producing 2.2 million kilos a year. It has been in development for more than a decade. Most developed countries, with the notable exception of Germany, have concluded that 20 nuclear power is an essential part of their energy supply. The US and UK are committed to building new nuclear power stations, the latter providing a £30 billion subsidy to build a new nuclear plant at Hinkley Point. China is also building a further 60 nuclear power stations. Supporters of nuclear power say it provides a reliable source of energy at a time when 25 the world’s population is increasing, unlike solar power and wind power which both vary with the weather. In addition they argue that no country can significantly reduce carbon emissions, which are causing climate change, without nuclear. France and the UK have committed themselves to shut down all coal-fired power stations by 2025. So demand for uranium over the next two decades seems guaranteed. 30 (Source: adapted from Uranium: the unloved metal whose price is poised to go radioactive, Jon Yeomans, The Telegraph, 20 November 2016 http://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2016/11/20/uranium-the- unloved-metal-whose-price-is-poised-to-go-radioactiv/) Extract B Irrational consumers pay the price The UK Government has announced that it might introduce maximum price controls on energy used by households. The UK’s largest energy suppliers are braced for what could be the industry’s most significant government intervention following a decade of rising energy bills and low 5 numbers of consumers switching between energy providers. The Prime Minister promised to intervene because the energy market is “manifestly not working” for consumers. Energy prices have risen by 158% in the last 15 years, and four million households, especially those on low incomes, are still on the most expensive energy rates. 10 Some energy analysts have warned the Government against taking a highly interventionist approach that could undermine the energy market and leave customers paying higher prices in the future. (Source: adapted from http://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2017/03/22/ governments-pledge-cut-energy-prices-risks-leaving-consumers/) Extract C The economics of climate change Rising carbon dioxide emissions result from the increase in the use of coal, gas and oil in transport and for energy production. In addition, deforestation, food production and processing methods make the problem worse. These carbon emissions are causing a rise in global average temperatures, known as climate change. Climate change could cause 5 hundreds of millions of people to suffer hunger, water shortages and coastal flooding. Three elements of policy are required for an effective global response to reduce carbon emissions. The first is the pricing of carbon, implemented through tax, trading pollution permits or regulation. The second policy is to support innovation and the deployment of low-carbon technologies. And the third is action to remove barriers to energy efficiency, 10 and to inform, educate and persuade individuals about what they can do to respond to climate change. (Source: adapted from www.sternreview.org.uk/)
(d) Using examples from the information provided, explain what is meant by renewable and non-renewable energy. (4)
June 2017 · AS Paper 1 · Q1(a) 3 marks AO1=1, AO2=1, AO3=1 Calculation
Data and extracts for question 11 The production possibility frontier for an economy is shown in the table below. Capital goods output Consumer goods output Opportunity cost (million units) (million units) 0 42 – 10 40 20 36 30 30 40 22 50 12 60 0
(a) Explain, using marginal analysis from the table above, the concept of opportunity cost. (You may use the last column in answering the question.) (3)

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