Government intervention: competition policy and regulation Theme 3

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A-level Paper 1 (and Paper 3)
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A level only
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Section 3.6, 2 statements
Since 2016
11 question parts: 3 essays, 7 levels-marked responses, 0 multiple-choice items

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SeriesPaperQMarksTitle
June 2023Paper 1725The average UK household energy bill (gas and electric combined) rose 80% from £1 971 in 2021 to £3 549 in 2022. (Source adapted from: https://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/consumer-affairs/ energy-price-cap-rise-october-2022-what-happen-household-bills/) Evaluate possible methods of government intervention to control household energy bills in the UK.
November 2021Paper 31(e)25Evaluate the microeconomic and macroeconomic effects of increased government intervention in an industry. Refer to HCWs or another industry of your choice.
June 2018Paper 32(e)25Evaluate the likely microeconomic and macroeconomic effects of the supply-side policies recently introduced in Indonesia.

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June 2024 · Paper 1 · Q6(d) 12 marks AO1=2, AO2=2, AO3=4, AO4=4 12-mark response
Data and extracts for question 6The electronics industry Extract A Rising prices of electronics devices Computer chips act as the “brain” in all electronic devices. Makers of electronic devices face significant increases in the price of computer chips as they try to source enough components, including games consoles, computers and smartphones. The price of some computer chips has jumped from $0.20 each to more than $1. The prices of electronic 5 devices have risen for a range of reasons, including higher material costs and the growing popularity of home entertainment. (Source: adapted from https://www.ft.com/content/8c718a74- cd95-4b2d-ac0e-de0682e4e3cd) Extract B Labour shortages in the electronics industry Every year, highly skilled and experienced employees in the electronics industry retire. The current tight labour market has made an already difficult problem of hiring suitable engineering and computing graduates worse, especially since the nature of the industry is becoming increasingly technical. As production becomes 5 more automated, electronics jobs are more likely to require problem solving and analysis than just assembling skills. However, artificial intelligence and other new technologies can help fill some of the skills gap. In addition, by giving hazardous, repetitive, grimy work to robots, human beings can focus on more creative, analytic tasks. 10 (Source: adapted from https://www.ericsson.com/en/blog/2021/12/ manufacturing-problems-that-keep-ceos-awake-at-night) Extract C Serious concerns over merger The Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) has said the takeover of the Cambridge- based computer chip designer Arm by its US rival Nvidia raises serious competition concerns. It has launched an in-depth investigation into the £29.5 billion deal. The CMA said the merger could reduce choice for firms reliant on computer chips, pushing 5 up prices of products including cars, games consoles and mobile phones. In addition, severe global shortages of computer chips has disrupted the manufacture of a range of electronic goods pushing up costs for firms. Despite this, large electronics firms benefit from economies of scale and are able to finance high-risk innovation and global advertising. 10 (Source adapted from: https://www.theguardian.com/ business/2021/aug/20/watchdog-expresses-concerns- over-nvidias-takeover-of-uk-chip-designer-arm ) Extract D The growing problem of electronic waste Electronic waste is the fastest growing element of the world’s household waste problem. The problem in the UK is particularly bad. The country produces 24.9 kg a person a year – nearly 10 kg more than the EU average. In 2018, 1.2 million tonnes of electrical devices were sold in the UK, and 500 000 tonnes made it to recycling centres. Some appliances 5 are more likely to be recycled than others. The recycling rate for big appliances, such as fridges and cookers, is about 80%. Of small appliances, barely one in five makes it to the recycling centre. As items such as toasters, hairdryers and headphones fit into household bins, they are not often taken to a recycling centre. This causes many problems, such as hazardous substances contaminating soil, water pollution and other external costs. 10 Policy makers have a long list of options to combat this problem including stricter regulation, environmental education, taxation and financial incentives. In some countries, for example, household rubbish is weighed and recycling initiatives are subsidised. (Source adapted from: https://www.ft.com/content/26e1aa74- 2261-11ea-92da-f0c92e957a96)
(d) Discuss the likely concerns of the competition authorities regarding the proposed merger of the two companies referred to in Extract C. (12)
June 2023 · Paper 1 · Q7 25 marks AO1=4, AO2=4, AO3=8, AO4=9 25-mark essay Either/or
7 The average UK household energy bill (gas and electric combined) rose 80% from £1 971 in 2021 to £3 549 in 2022. (Source adapted from: https://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/consumer-affairs/ energy-price-cap-rise-october-2022-what-happen-household-bills/) Evaluate possible methods of government intervention to control household energy bills in the UK.
June 2022 · Paper 1 · Q5(c) 2 marks AO1=1, AO3=1 Short answer
Data and extracts for question 55 The makers of Fiat cars merged with the makers of Vauxhall cars in 2021. Fiat management had aggressively sought a merger to achieve economies of scale. The competition authorities in the EU investigated the merger. (Source: adapted from https://www.thedrive.com/news/34856/ the-merged-fiat-chrysler-and-peugeot-group-will-be-called-stellantis)
(c) Explain one likely concern the EU competition authorities may have had about the merger. (2)
November 2021 · Paper 3 · Q1(e) 25 marks AO1=4, AO2=4, AO3=8, AO4=9 25-mark essay Either/or
Data and extracts for question 1Hand car wash (HCW) firms in the UK Extract A What is the true human cost of your £5 hand car wash (HCW)? The UK’s hand car washes (HCWs) are extremely price competitive, but they have also been linked to modern slavery. Are they ever fair for workers? There is little agreement about how many HCWs there are in the UK. Estimates range from 10 000 to 20 000. This lack of accurate information about the industry makes 5 government regulation very difficult. Automated car washes, with their fierce rotating bristles, used to be the first option for drivers in a hurry. Now there is more choice. While the economy slows and incomes fail to keep up with inflation, demand for HCWs has grown. Many people see paying £5 for a car washed by someone else, rather than cleaning it at home, as a small expense which yields a high utility. But what is the true 10 cost of a £5 car wash – and what should we be paying? The growth of HCWs is partly the result of changes in the structure of industry in the UK. Many petrol stations have closed as drivers fill up at supermarkets. Garages and their forecourts have closed as cars become more reliable and locked into service agreements. The available sites for HCWs have therefore increased significantly and rents have fallen. 15 HCW entrepreneurs have identified available land and have benefitted from changes in the labour market, partly as a result of EU migration. UK drivers are now able to obtain cheap and effective hand car washing. For many migrants, car washes are a first job. “They accept car washing for a short period while they improve their language skills and move into other industries,” says Ian Clark, a professor of work and employment at 20 Nottingham Business School. “But there are also car-wash workers without networks who are in a dead end, working there for long periods.” Many drivers are only interested in getting the cheapest wash. If the price is very low, it probably means that workers are receiving less than the minimum wage and working in poor conditions. Crude calculations illustrate the problem. A £5 HCW employing five 25 workers for 10 hours a day would need to wash 79 cars a day to just cover the wage costs. This assumes the workers are paid the minimum wage. This is one car every seven and a half minutes. Even if the profit can be higher on valet services, the price of which can be as little as £12 for a full inside-and-out clean, it’s hard to see how a car wash price as low as £5 pays a living wage. This ignores all other costs which HCWs incur such as 30 business rates and rent. Evidence from car-wash workers is limited but Clark and others have been able to build a picture of some of the tougher conditions on drenched forecourts. “Like nail bars and small garment manufacturers, car washes are what we call ‘hard-to-reach places,’” Clark explains. As part of the research, Clark and his team spoke to workers from 45 HCWs in 35 the Midlands. Clark and his team met and observed workers who lacked waterproof boots or trousers, or hi-vis jackets and gloves. “They’re spraying around hydrochloric acid solution for alloy wheels, breathing in the vapour and fumes,” Clark says. Some workers were paid a little over half the minimum wage. 40 (Source adapted from: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/jul/16/true-human-cost- 5-pound-hand-car-wash-modern-slavery) Extract B Government intervention in the HCW industry There are three main areas of government intervention that might impact on labour intensive firms such as HCWs: First, there is the planning issue which focuses on the impact on the environment, for example, the disposal and recycling of waste water and chemicals. There could be 5 planning regulations to prevent the use of tarmac rather than concrete on forecourts. Tarmac allows waste water and chemicals to seep into the sub soil. It could also be a requirement to have a sludge trap to stop the waste entering waterways. Second, there is the health and safety issue for workers. Prolonged exposure to chemicals and lack of protective clothing puts the health of workers at risk. Performance targets 10 could involve minimum levels of protective clothing and rest breaks for the workers. Third, there is the issue of tax. The informal nature of the business type makes tax evasion easier. Not all UK HCWs violate regulations. There are legitimate, regulated HCW firms as well as examples of good practice by independent outlets. One national supermarket, Tesco, 15 has banned all independent hand car washes from its car parks. It is now in a partnership agreement with national car wash operator Waves. It uses a WashMark certificate of quality and compliance which was introduced by the industry to improve working conditions. Other major supermarkets are considering similar changes. One adviser believes £9 is a reasonable minimum price for a basic wash. Some pressure groups have 20 developed a mobile phone app where evidence of unreasonable conditions can be reported by drivers. Involving drivers in the issue, and making them demand fairer car washes, creates an incentive for good businesses to improve practices and come forward to get a WashMark certificate. 25 (Source adapted from: https://www.parliament.uk/documents/commons-committees/ environmental-audit/Hand-Car-Wash-evidence.pdf research into HCWs by Professor Ian Clark, Nottingham Business School May 2018)
(e) Evaluate the microeconomic and macroeconomic effects of increased government intervention in an industry. Refer to HCWs or another industry of your choice. (25)
October 2020 · Paper 1 · Q6(c) 10 marks AO1=2, AO2=2, AO3=2, AO4=4 10-mark response
Data and extracts for question 6The UK Rail Industry Figure 1: UK government subsidy to Northern, a train operating company in Northern England 290 287.9 285 280 277.0 275 0 2017 2018 (Source adapted from: https://www.theyworkforyou.com/wrans/?id=2018-10-18.181280.h) Figure 2: Rail passenger kilometres travelled per year in the UK, billions 70 65 billion (2018) 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1985 1995 2005 2015 (Source adapted from: fullfact.org) Figure 3: Price of a single off-peak train journey, Edinburgh to Leeds Saturday 22nd December 2018 19:00 hours Adult Young Persons (16–25) Railcard £105.30 £69.50 (Source: https://www.lner.co.uk/buy-tickets/booking-engine) Extract A The case for nationalisation Privatisation has not made the rail industry cheaper to operate, despite the promise from one government source that it would see private companies bringing: “more competition, greater efficiency and a wider choice of services”. One reason, suggest the critics, is fragmentation. Instead of pushing British Rail into 5 the private sector as a single supplier the government chose to break it into three components of track, train operators and rolling stock i.e. the trains and carriages. This has encouraged each part of the rail industry to prioritise its own profits rather than collaborating to improve the system. Privatisation, meanwhile, never really worked. The rail network of 2 500 stations and 10 32 000 km of tracks was renationalised in 2001. This has encouraged the government’s transport secretary, a supporter of private sector involvement, to argue that the state Network Rail monopoly should be removed so that companies can bid to build new rail lines to upgrade the railway. The privately-owned train operators are now the subject of fierce criticism, due to 15 overcrowding and cancelled services. Private companies are supposed to compete to win a bid to be the train operator for a region for a short number of years. However in recent years the number of private companies bidding or renewing their contract as rail operators has fallen. In May 2018 the government rescued the East Coast line by renationalising it. The line had been run by the private rail operator Virgin Rail, which was 20 suffering lower passenger numbers and revenue than forecast. Some argue that there is a simple solution: reunite track and train in the only feasible manner, nationalisation. (Source adapted from: https://www.ft.com/content/d82848ca-f7ba-11e7-88f7-5465a6ce1a00) Extract B Southern Rail boss paid £495 000 The Chief Executive of Southern Rail, the private-sector train operator that has become associated with delays, losses, cancellations and strikes, was paid £495 000 last year. This increased calls for nationalisation and a maximum wage for executives at companies with government contracts. In contrast the average base pay for a train driver in the UK is 5 £47 705, although they can earn up to £63 000. Nearly a third of Southern Rail trains were late in 2016 as it tried to deal with a labour dispute that involved extensive strike action. The rail trade unions are opposed to planned changes to the role of train guards, which they claim will put passenger safety at risk. 10 (Source adapted from: Rob Davies, The Guardian 10 April 2017 https://www.theguardian.com/business/2017/apr/10/southern-rail-boss-double-pay-rise)
(c) Assess whether complete nationalisation of the rail industry might protect employees. (10)
June 2019 · Paper 1 · Q6(e) 15 marks AO1=3, AO2=3, AO3=3, AO4=6 15-mark response
Data and extracts for question 6Energy and telecommunication markets in the UK Figure 1: Average annual household bill from the Big Six UK energy suppliers, 2017 1250 1000 * 750 Average annual bill £ 500 250 0 Average annual bill on standard variable tariff Supplier’s cheapest annual average tariff *market cheapest annual tariff (Source: https://www.lovemoney.com/news/67298/standard-variable-tariff-compared- cheapest-deal-provider-savings) Extract A Energy price cap to fix ‘broken’ market in UK The Prime Minister recently said that the regulator Ofgem (Office of Gas and Electricity Markets) should limit electricity and gas suppliers’ most expensive tariffs. Under the planned new legislation, the energy bills of 11 million households will be capped for as long as five years. The government claimed this cap could save households 5 up to £100 a year. This legislation would force Ofgem to change the licence conditions for energy suppliers so that they are required to cap electricity and gas prices. The measure will apply to anyone on a standard variable tariff, the expensive plans that customers are moved to when cheaper, fixed-price deals end. Ofgem will need to consult energy companies on how the cap is calculated, the government said. The Prime Minister 10 repeated her claim that she had to act because the ‘market is broken’, a charge the big energy companies reject. “I have been clear that our broken energy market has to change – it has to offer fairer prices for millions of loyal customers who have been paying hundreds of pounds too much,” she said. However, Michael Lewis, chief executive of E.ON said “the government must guard 15 against any unintended consequences that undermine customer service and push up prices as a whole. A price cap will not be good for customers. It will reduce competition and innovation”. Smaller suppliers such as First Utility said the Big Six had only themselves to blame for the cap, because they had kept millions of people on standard variable tariffs. 20 (Source: adapted from ‘UK puts energy efficiency at heart of climate change strategy’, Adam Vaughan, Copyright Guardian News & Media Ltd 2017 https://www.theguardian.com/ money/2017/oct/12/may-energy-price-cap-ofgem-electricity-gas-tariffs) Figure 2: The monthly rental cost of a telephone landline BT Retail 20 19 Virgin Media 18 Orange/EE 17 Wholesale 16 Line Rental* 15 Price 14 (£) 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 *Wholesale line rental – the rental price BT Openreach charges telephone service providers (Source: https://www.ofcom.org.uk/about-ofcom/latest/features-and-news/ landline-prices-review) Extract B BT profit rises BT Group, which includes BT Openreach and BT Retail, reported a rise in profit as revenue increased following the integration of the consumer mobile business, EE. BT finalised the takeover of EE in August 2016, and the integration has resulted in BT controlling 35% of the mobile consumer market. The profit of the UK-based telecommunication group in its 5 second quarter 2017 rose to £566 million. BT Group chief executive Gavin Patterson said: “We will operate a multi-brand strategy with UK customers being able to choose a mix of BT, EE or Plusnet services, depending on which suits them best. The acquisition enables us to offer great value bundles of services and customers are set to be the winners as we compete for their business”. 10 (Source: adapted from www.marketwatch.com (Oct 27 – 2016) and http://home.bt.com/ news/bt-life/bt-to-retain-ee-brand-as-acquisition-confirmed-11364037422234) Extract C BT to slash landline charges for 1 million customers Rental charges for landline-only customers – households with a telephone-only contract but no BT broadband – will fall from £18.99 to £11.99 per month after the regulator attacked existing deals as ‘poor value for money’. This rental reduction will save a million landline-only customers £84 a year. 5 The regulator Ofcom (Office of Communications) said it stepped in because these bills for landline-only customers – nearly two-thirds of whom are over 65 – have “soared” in recent years. This is despite BT and other landline providers benefiting from significant cuts in the wholesale line rental cost of providing the service by BT Openreach. Many landline-only customers are elderly, and have been with BT for decades. Ofcom has 10 focused on BT because it accounts for two-thirds of the UK’s 1.5m landline-only customers. A spokesperson for Ofcom said “This position [of dominance] has allowed BT to increase prices without much risk of losing customers, and other providers have followed BT’s pricing lead. We expect BT’s price cut to mean other providers will follow suit”. Ofcom 15 said that over three-quarters of BT’s landline-only customers have never switched provider, which has left them a prime target for price rises. The regulator said that all major landline providers have increased their line rental charges by between 23% and 47% in recent years, while their own costs for providing the service have fallen about 27%. Ofcom said it is also looking at measures to help people shop around for better 20 deals with more confidence. (Source: adapted from ‘BT to slash landline charges for 1m customers’, Mark Sweney, Copyright Guardian News & Media Ltd 2017 https://www.theguardian.com/business/2017/ oct/26/bt-to-slash-landline-charges-for-1m-customers)
(e) Discuss methods of government intervention to protect consumers within the utilities markets, such as energy and telecommunications. (15)
June 2018 · Paper 1 · Q6(b) 12 marks AO1=2, AO2=2, AO3=4, AO4=4 12-mark response
Data and extracts for question 6The UK energy market Figure 1: UK retail electricity and gas real price indices, 2004–2015 Gas Electricity Indices: 2010 (base) = 100 140 index 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 (Source: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/5773de34e5274a0da3000113/ final-report-energy-market-investigation.pdf) Figure 2: UK retail electricity and gas supply: market share by company, 2016 Company Electricity Gas % % British Gas 23 36 EON 16 13 SSE 16 13 EDF 12 8 Scottish Power 11 9 RWE (nPower) 10 9 Other companies 12 12 Total 100 100 (Sources: https://www.ofgem.gov.uk/chart/ electricity-supply-market-shares-company-domestic-gb and https://www.ofgem.gov.uk/data-portal/retail-market-indicators) Extract A Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) report into the UK energy market An investigation into the UK energy market by the CMA concluded that customers have been paying £1.4 billion a year more than they would in a fully competitive market. It found that 70% of domestic customers of the six largest energy firms were on an expensive standard rate. These customers could each save over £300 a year by switching 5 to a cheaper deal but appear reluctant to do so. However, the CMA investigation found no evidence of anti-competitive practices by firms. There has even been an increase in new entrant energy suppliers over recent years and their combined market share has reached 12% in both gas and electricity supply. To protect consumers, the CMA has introduced various measures to open up and 10 increase competition in the UK energy market. These include: • the creation of a database designed to help consumers switch energy suppliers – rival suppliers can directly contact these customers • the conversion of all homes to smart energy meters making it easier for customers to measure energy consumption and switch supplier 15 • new rules to protect the four million vulnerable customers using prepaid meters – this includes a temporary price cap until smart meters have been installed. (Source: adapted from ‘Competition and Markets Authority Final report into Energy Market Investigation’ https://www.gov.uk/government/ news/cma-publishes-final-energy-report-in-full) Extract B Proposals to regulate profits in the UK energy market Currently energy retail companies make an average profit of 7% of total revenue. The Chairman of the Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) suggested that these profits are as much as five times higher than they should be, given the companies’ limited role in marketing, metering and billing customers. He recommended a profit cap of 1.25% of 5 total revenue. However, Scottish Power criticised proposals for regulating profits saying that it would reduce investment in the energy industry and undermine long-term energy provision. The firm claimed that such a low rate of return is below the profit margin made by supermarkets. 10 All six large energy firms are vertically integrated – producing as well as distributing gas and electricity. This can provide efficiency benefits but also harm competition. (Source: adapted from ‘Profit cap doesn’t fit with new investment, energy boss warns’, by Robin Pagnamenta, The Times, 19th September 2016) Extract C Skills shortages in the UK energy sector The energy sector is facing a skills shortage of engineers and technicians. Some 29% of employers in the gas and electricity industries report unfilled job vacancies compared with an average of 18% across all industries. A lack of information and advice on career prospects for young people is partly to blame 5 - many graduates have a negative image of the work involved. There is also a lack of students taking science, technology, engineering and maths-based subjects at school and university. Less than one-fifth of the energy sector’s workforce are women. The energy sector is characterised by an ageing workforce - data from the UK Labour Force Survey reveal that around two-thirds of workers are aged over 50. These cannot 10 easily be replaced as a long time period is required for training and developing workers’ skills in a highly regulated industry. Urgent action is required by businesses and the government to reduce labour immobility to benefit the energy sector. This action could include policies to increase investment in training programmes, recruit skilled workers from overseas, change the industry image 15 and deal with its ageing workforce. (Source: adapted from ‘Sector insights: skills and performance challenges in the energy sector’, by the UK Commission for Employment and Skills, March 2015; https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_ data/file/416998/15.03.25._Energy_SLMI_-_evidence_report.pdf)
(b) With reference to Extract A, discuss the likely effectiveness of ‘measures to open up and increase competition’ in the UK energy market. (12)
June 2018 · Paper 1 · Q6(c) 10 marks AO1=2, AO2=2, AO3=2, AO4=4 10-mark response
Data and extracts for question 6The UK energy market Figure 1: UK retail electricity and gas real price indices, 2004–2015 Gas Electricity Indices: 2010 (base) = 100 140 index 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 (Source: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/5773de34e5274a0da3000113/ final-report-energy-market-investigation.pdf) Figure 2: UK retail electricity and gas supply: market share by company, 2016 Company Electricity Gas % % British Gas 23 36 EON 16 13 SSE 16 13 EDF 12 8 Scottish Power 11 9 RWE (nPower) 10 9 Other companies 12 12 Total 100 100 (Sources: https://www.ofgem.gov.uk/chart/ electricity-supply-market-shares-company-domestic-gb and https://www.ofgem.gov.uk/data-portal/retail-market-indicators) Extract A Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) report into the UK energy market An investigation into the UK energy market by the CMA concluded that customers have been paying £1.4 billion a year more than they would in a fully competitive market. It found that 70% of domestic customers of the six largest energy firms were on an expensive standard rate. These customers could each save over £300 a year by switching 5 to a cheaper deal but appear reluctant to do so. However, the CMA investigation found no evidence of anti-competitive practices by firms. There has even been an increase in new entrant energy suppliers over recent years and their combined market share has reached 12% in both gas and electricity supply. To protect consumers, the CMA has introduced various measures to open up and 10 increase competition in the UK energy market. These include: • the creation of a database designed to help consumers switch energy suppliers – rival suppliers can directly contact these customers • the conversion of all homes to smart energy meters making it easier for customers to measure energy consumption and switch supplier 15 • new rules to protect the four million vulnerable customers using prepaid meters – this includes a temporary price cap until smart meters have been installed. (Source: adapted from ‘Competition and Markets Authority Final report into Energy Market Investigation’ https://www.gov.uk/government/ news/cma-publishes-final-energy-report-in-full) Extract B Proposals to regulate profits in the UK energy market Currently energy retail companies make an average profit of 7% of total revenue. The Chairman of the Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) suggested that these profits are as much as five times higher than they should be, given the companies’ limited role in marketing, metering and billing customers. He recommended a profit cap of 1.25% of 5 total revenue. However, Scottish Power criticised proposals for regulating profits saying that it would reduce investment in the energy industry and undermine long-term energy provision. The firm claimed that such a low rate of return is below the profit margin made by supermarkets. 10 All six large energy firms are vertically integrated – producing as well as distributing gas and electricity. This can provide efficiency benefits but also harm competition. (Source: adapted from ‘Profit cap doesn’t fit with new investment, energy boss warns’, by Robin Pagnamenta, The Times, 19th September 2016) Extract C Skills shortages in the UK energy sector The energy sector is facing a skills shortage of engineers and technicians. Some 29% of employers in the gas and electricity industries report unfilled job vacancies compared with an average of 18% across all industries. A lack of information and advice on career prospects for young people is partly to blame 5 - many graduates have a negative image of the work involved. There is also a lack of students taking science, technology, engineering and maths-based subjects at school and university. Less than one-fifth of the energy sector’s workforce are women. The energy sector is characterised by an ageing workforce - data from the UK Labour Force Survey reveal that around two-thirds of workers are aged over 50. These cannot 10 easily be replaced as a long time period is required for training and developing workers’ skills in a highly regulated industry. Urgent action is required by businesses and the government to reduce labour immobility to benefit the energy sector. This action could include policies to increase investment in training programmes, recruit skilled workers from overseas, change the industry image 15 and deal with its ageing workforce. (Source: adapted from ‘Sector insights: skills and performance challenges in the energy sector’, by the UK Commission for Employment and Skills, March 2015; https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_ data/file/416998/15.03.25._Energy_SLMI_-_evidence_report.pdf)
(c) With reference to Extract B, assess how the regulation of energy suppliers’ profits is likely to affect consumers and suppliers in the energy market. (10)
June 2018 · Paper 3 · Q2(e) 25 marks AO1=4, AO2=4, AO3=8, AO4=9 25-mark essay Either/or
Data and extracts for question 2Indonesia Figure 4: World coal prices, 2006–2016, US dollars per tonne 250 200 150 $ per tonne 100 50 0 2006 08 10 12 14 16 (Source: http://www.economist.com/news/world-week/21697025-business-week) Figure 5: Indonesia’s real GDP, annual percentage change 10 5 + % 0 change – in GDP 5 10 15 2006 08 10 12 14 16 (Source: http://www.economist.com/news/world-week/21697025-business-week) Extract D Indonesia’s economic outlook The Indonesian economy is expected to grow by an average of 4.8% a year between 2017 and 2021. Joko Widodo, president of Indonesia since 2014, is increasingly confident in his role and now has enough political support to pass some of his desired supply-side reforms. His government has been aggressively trying to improve the business and investment 5 environment by easing regulations and offering tax incentives, for example to firms investing in special economic zones. Indonesia receives US$2.3 billion a year in overseas development aid, which is mainly spent on education and healthcare. There is also ongoing aid from international institutions and non-government organisations paying for restructuring after the 2004 10 Indian Ocean earthquake and tsunami, which led to the loss of over 170 000 lives and much damage to economic livelihood. Aid agencies have supported the Indonesian government in providing healthcare free at the point of access for 88 million of the poorest people, free schooling for 12 years for each child, and tertiary education for students accepted into university. There is a scheme to provide each of Indonesia’s 15 15.5 million poorest households with a cash transfer of 200 000 rupiah (US$14.37) a month. The World Bank has approved US$800 million in infrastructure loans to Indonesia, with another US$950 million as conditional loans. The Asian Development Bank has committed itself to lending US$2 billion. In December Japan’s development agency lent Indonesia US$535 million to construct two power stations. 20 (Sources: adapted from http://country.eiu.com/Indonesia and http://www.economist.com/ news/special-report/21693404-after-decades-underinvestment- infrastructure-spending-picking-up-last) Extract E Indonesia’s economic policies as commodity prices collapse Indonesia is the world’s fourth largest exporter of coal and the raw material accounts for 11% of its exports. Its other main exports are crude oil, palm oil, rubber and tin. Its main commodity exports tripled in value between 2000 and 2010, and as exports boomed, so did the economy. But the value of commodity exports has fallen by more than half from 5 its peak. Coal now sells for just US$50 per tonne, against US$125 in 2011. In the decade to 2014, Indonesia’s real GDP grew by an annual average of 6%, but the collapse in commodity prices has slowed the economy. In 2015 growth was 4.8%, the slowest rate since 2009. But compared with many other commodity exporters, Indonesia is getting off lightly. 10 The value of the rupiah, Indonesia’s currency, against the US dollar has fallen by 30% since 2013, but has since stabilised. Other emerging market currencies have depreciated even more steeply over that period. Despite the weak exchange rate, Indonesia’s inflation rate has mostly remained within the central bank’s target range of 3-5%. The main impact of the rupiah’s fall has been to curb imports, helping limit Indonesia’s current account 15 deficit to around 2% of GDP despite weaker export earnings. A cautious fiscal policy during the boom years has allowed for a modest fiscal expansion to offset the effects of weak exports and investment. The national debt is just 26% of GDP. Mr Widodo knows that Indonesia cannot raise its long-term growth rate if the economy remains reliant on coal. It needs a broader range of manufacturing and service industries. 20 If new enterprise is to flourish, Indonesia must support local entrepreneurship. The labour market is inflexible. To start a business takes an average of 47 days, compared with four in Malaysia and two in Singapore. The President’s supply-side policies are improving the business climate. The average number of days needed to approve a new power plant has declined from 900 to 200. The government recently revised its “negative investment 25 list” of sectors in which foreign ownership is banned or restricted, fully opening up the rubber, film and restaurant sectors, among others. In 2015 he launched a series of measures to try to reduce government failure, including easing some regulations, streamlining licensing procedures for firms on industrial estates and providing tax incentives to invest in special economic zones. 30 The government has used savings from cutting fuel subsidies, worth over 4% of GDP, to fund extra capital spending. But the budget deficit still widened to 2.8% of GDP, very close to the legal limit of 3%. If public expenditure is to increase further, the government will need to raise more revenue. That will not be easy. Most workers and employers pay little or no tax. Only 27 million of Indonesia’s 255 million people are registered taxpayers, 35 and in 2014 just 900 000 of them paid what they owed, leaving it with a tax revenue to GDP ratio of around 10%. Big companies say that they are being squeezed harder by the tax authorities because they are an easier target. Infrastructure spending will help bring foreign investment and good jobs to Indonesia as well as encouraging exports. Indonesia’s infrastructure problem can be summed up 40 as too few roads and congested ports. In the short term, infrastructure spending puts people to work and boosts demand for raw materials. In the longer term this spending offers the chance to make up for decades of neglect and underinvestment. Indonesia has plans for 65 dams, 16 of which are already under construction. In 2015 work started on the Keureuto Dam, designed to boost agricultural productivity in Aceh. Recently fields 45 were flooded for the massive Jatigede Dam in West Java, after 20 years of delays. Once complete, the dam will irrigate 90 000 hectares of rice paddy, increasing efficiency by giving farmers two harvests a year instead of one. (Sources: adapted from http://www.economist.com/news/special-report/21693405- secure-growth-it-needs-indonesia-must-resist-its-protectionist-urges-roll- out and http://www.economist.com/news/special-report/21693404-after- decades-underinvestment-infrastructure-spending-picking-up-last)
(e) Evaluate the likely microeconomic and macroeconomic effects of the supply-side policies recently introduced in Indonesia. (25)
June 2017 · Paper 1 · Q6(c) 8 marks AO1=2, AO2=2, AO3=2, AO4=2 8-mark response
Data and extracts for question 6Supermarket price war, food waste and possible mergers Figure 1: Market shares by total revenue in the UK supermarket sector, 2010 and 2015 2010 2015 Others Others Lidl Lidl 7.7% 6.7% Aldi 2.2% Aldi 4.0% 2.8% 5.5% Tesco Tesco 30.8% 28.6% Waitrose Waitrose 4.1% 5.1% Co-op Co-op 7.1% 6.2% Morrisons Morrisons Asda Asda 11.6% 10.9% 17.6% 16.5% Sainbury’s Sainbury’s 16.1% 16.5% (Source: Kantar worldpanel, http://www.kantarworldpanel.com/en/ grocery-market-share/great-britain/snapshot/11.10.15/) Figure 2: Proportion of food suppliers reporting that the following supermarkets fail to meet the Groceries Code of Conduct, 2015. Aldi Sainsbury’s Lidl Waitrose Asda Co-op Morrisons Tesco 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 % (Source: YouGov poll of more than 1100 food suppliers to supermarkets. Reported in The Times, 23 June 2015) Extract A Supermarket price war puts pressure on their food suppliers The number of food suppliers (to supermarkets) struggling to remain in business has increased by more than 50% over the past year as supermarkets engage in an intense price war. It has never been tougher for the UK’s food suppliers according to a study by accountants Begbies Traynor. It blames aggressive price-cutting by the supermarkets 5 and delays in payments to food suppliers as the main causes of the difficulties. Further problems include food suppliers being forced to pay excessive amounts for packaging specified by supermarkets and funding in-store promotions. Almost 90% of struggling food suppliers are small and medium-sized businesses. The price war has contributed to food prices paid by consumers falling by 1.7% over the 10 past two years. The market shares of the big four supermarkets – Tesco, Asda, Sainsbury’s and Morrisons – are under pressure as shopping habits change. Many consumers are switching from one main weekly shop to shopping more frequently at local discount stores such as Aldi and Lidl or purchasing goods online from other grocery retailers. 15 The big four supermarkets have responded by putting more pressure on their suppliers despite an investigation by the Groceries Code Adjudicator (GCA). The GCA has the power to fine supermarkets up to 1% of their annual sales revenue if they break the Groceries Code of Conduct. A YouGov study found considerable differences between the supermarkets in meeting the Code with Aldi performing well but Tesco badly. Despite 20 the Groceries Code, many food suppliers are reluctant to complain for fear of losing contracts with the supermarkets. (Source: adapted from ‘Supermarket price war takes toll on UK food suppliers’. Rupert Jones, The Guardian, 20th July 2015) Extract B Food waste in the supply chain A report from the British Retail Consortium reveals that supermarkets are directly responsible for around 0.2 million tonnes of food waste every year. This is due to the expiry of use-by-dates and poor handling of stock. However, 4.1 million tonnes of food waste occurs annually in the food supply chain 5 before it even reaches the supermarkets, indicating the existence of information gaps. The supermarkets are cooperating with food suppliers and farmers to try to reduce this waste. This involves improving forecasts for supply and demand of food and increasing the reliability of transportation and storage. Consumers, the final stage of the supply chain, waste a further 7 million tonnes of 10 food each year. This suggests irrational behaviour. Supermarkets are also working with consumers to reduce the waste by providing advice on how to store and use leftover food. The development of packaging designs to keep food fresher for longer is one of the innovations under way to reduce waste. (Source: adapted from ‘Supermarkets tally up food waste bill’. Will Nicholls, in Businessgreen, 19th January 2015. http://www.businessgreen.com/ bg/news/2390792/supermarkets-tally-up-food-waste-bill) Extract C Proposed merger activity in the supermarket sector Analysts at Société Générale, an investment bank, have recommended a merger between Sainsbury’s and Morrisons. They claim it would lead to increased economies of scale and market power for the combined business. Such a merger between the third and fourth largest supermarkets in Britain would have been unrealistic a few years ago due 5 to concerns of its impact in reducing competition. However, the chances of getting permission from the Competition and Markets Authority have increased following the growth of Aldi and Lidl. Giant mergers have been approved in other sectors such as Lloyds-HBOS (banking) and British Telecom-EE (telecommunications). The suggested merger would have its challenges. There is considerable overlap between 10 the locations of the stores and the enlarged company would require the rationalisation and co-ordination of hundreds of thousands of employees. A new expensive IT system is likely to be required and the underlying difficult market trends would remain in the food retailing industry. (Source: adapted from ‘Tesco-bury and AS-Morrisons. Could Britain’s supermarkets be about to merge?’ Graham Ruddick, in The Telegraph, 16th December, 2015. http://www.telegraph. co.uk/finance/newsbysector/retailandconsumer/11699724/Tesco-burys-and-AS-Morrisons.- Could-Britains-supermarkets-be-about-to-merge.html)
(c) Examine measures the government might use to restrict the monopsony power of supermarkets. (8)
June 2017 · Paper 1 · Q6(e) 15 marks AO1=3, AO2=3, AO3=3, AO4=6 15-mark response
Data and extracts for question 6Supermarket price war, food waste and possible mergers Figure 1: Market shares by total revenue in the UK supermarket sector, 2010 and 2015 2010 2015 Others Others Lidl Lidl 7.7% 6.7% Aldi 2.2% Aldi 4.0% 2.8% 5.5% Tesco Tesco 30.8% 28.6% Waitrose Waitrose 4.1% 5.1% Co-op Co-op 7.1% 6.2% Morrisons Morrisons Asda Asda 11.6% 10.9% 17.6% 16.5% Sainbury’s Sainbury’s 16.1% 16.5% (Source: Kantar worldpanel, http://www.kantarworldpanel.com/en/ grocery-market-share/great-britain/snapshot/11.10.15/) Figure 2: Proportion of food suppliers reporting that the following supermarkets fail to meet the Groceries Code of Conduct, 2015. Aldi Sainsbury’s Lidl Waitrose Asda Co-op Morrisons Tesco 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 % (Source: YouGov poll of more than 1100 food suppliers to supermarkets. Reported in The Times, 23 June 2015) Extract A Supermarket price war puts pressure on their food suppliers The number of food suppliers (to supermarkets) struggling to remain in business has increased by more than 50% over the past year as supermarkets engage in an intense price war. It has never been tougher for the UK’s food suppliers according to a study by accountants Begbies Traynor. It blames aggressive price-cutting by the supermarkets 5 and delays in payments to food suppliers as the main causes of the difficulties. Further problems include food suppliers being forced to pay excessive amounts for packaging specified by supermarkets and funding in-store promotions. Almost 90% of struggling food suppliers are small and medium-sized businesses. The price war has contributed to food prices paid by consumers falling by 1.7% over the 10 past two years. The market shares of the big four supermarkets – Tesco, Asda, Sainsbury’s and Morrisons – are under pressure as shopping habits change. Many consumers are switching from one main weekly shop to shopping more frequently at local discount stores such as Aldi and Lidl or purchasing goods online from other grocery retailers. 15 The big four supermarkets have responded by putting more pressure on their suppliers despite an investigation by the Groceries Code Adjudicator (GCA). The GCA has the power to fine supermarkets up to 1% of their annual sales revenue if they break the Groceries Code of Conduct. A YouGov study found considerable differences between the supermarkets in meeting the Code with Aldi performing well but Tesco badly. Despite 20 the Groceries Code, many food suppliers are reluctant to complain for fear of losing contracts with the supermarkets. (Source: adapted from ‘Supermarket price war takes toll on UK food suppliers’. Rupert Jones, The Guardian, 20th July 2015) Extract B Food waste in the supply chain A report from the British Retail Consortium reveals that supermarkets are directly responsible for around 0.2 million tonnes of food waste every year. This is due to the expiry of use-by-dates and poor handling of stock. However, 4.1 million tonnes of food waste occurs annually in the food supply chain 5 before it even reaches the supermarkets, indicating the existence of information gaps. The supermarkets are cooperating with food suppliers and farmers to try to reduce this waste. This involves improving forecasts for supply and demand of food and increasing the reliability of transportation and storage. Consumers, the final stage of the supply chain, waste a further 7 million tonnes of 10 food each year. This suggests irrational behaviour. Supermarkets are also working with consumers to reduce the waste by providing advice on how to store and use leftover food. The development of packaging designs to keep food fresher for longer is one of the innovations under way to reduce waste. (Source: adapted from ‘Supermarkets tally up food waste bill’. Will Nicholls, in Businessgreen, 19th January 2015. http://www.businessgreen.com/ bg/news/2390792/supermarkets-tally-up-food-waste-bill) Extract C Proposed merger activity in the supermarket sector Analysts at Société Générale, an investment bank, have recommended a merger between Sainsbury’s and Morrisons. They claim it would lead to increased economies of scale and market power for the combined business. Such a merger between the third and fourth largest supermarkets in Britain would have been unrealistic a few years ago due 5 to concerns of its impact in reducing competition. However, the chances of getting permission from the Competition and Markets Authority have increased following the growth of Aldi and Lidl. Giant mergers have been approved in other sectors such as Lloyds-HBOS (banking) and British Telecom-EE (telecommunications). The suggested merger would have its challenges. There is considerable overlap between 10 the locations of the stores and the enlarged company would require the rationalisation and co-ordination of hundreds of thousands of employees. A new expensive IT system is likely to be required and the underlying difficult market trends would remain in the food retailing industry. (Source: adapted from ‘Tesco-bury and AS-Morrisons. Could Britain’s supermarkets be about to merge?’ Graham Ruddick, in The Telegraph, 16th December, 2015. http://www.telegraph. co.uk/finance/newsbysector/retailandconsumer/11699724/Tesco-burys-and-AS-Morrisons.- Could-Britains-supermarkets-be-about-to-merge.html)
(e) Discuss the likely problems for Sainsbury’s and Morrisons if the suggested merger between them goes ahead. Refer to Figure 1, Extract C and your own knowledge in your answer. (15)

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